Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs
The Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs prepare to battle in a postseason rematch on Sunday after Kansas City eliminated Buffalo last year. The Bills will seek revenge in this divisional round matchup.
Buffalo fought tooth and nail to get to this position. They narrowly won the AFC East division before dominating the Patriots last weekend to the tune of a 47-17 victory.
Kansas City played a Pittsburgh Steelers team that barely squeaked into the playoffs last week, and the Chiefs did not disappoint. They posted 42 points in a 21 point win to advance to the divisional round.
Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 P.M. EST on Sunday, January 23rd, at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO.
Betting Analysis for Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs NFL
Buffalo Bills Betting Stats & Analysis
The Bills fell short last season in the AFC championship game against Kansas City, losing by a final score of 38-24. But the Bills are confident that they can overcome the Chiefs this season.
The Bills had to first get through the Patriots last week at home. They not only covered a narrow spread, Buffalo annihilated their division foes by 30 points.
Josh Allen led an explosive offensive outburst with 308 passing yards and five touchdowns on an extremely efficient 21-25 passing. Allen, Devin Singletary, and Isaiah McKenzie all combined for 176 yards and two rushing touchdowns in the win as well.
The Buffalo defense, which finished first in terms of limiting points per game during the season, held New England to just 17 points while forcing two Mac Jones interceptions.
It was clear who wanted this game more. The Bills were fired up, and one has to figure their postseason exit in the AFC Championship from a season ago played a role in developing that motivation. One might also conclude that this matchup with Kansas City will certainly enhance that same motivation.
Regardless of the final outcome on Sunday night, there is no doubt that we are going to see the Bills leave it all on the field.
Buffalo may very well be the most well-rounded postseason team. They finished within the top three in both points per game and limiting points in defense.
Additionally, they finished in the top ten in both passing and rushing yards on offense. The defense also finished 11th in total sacks and third in interceptions.
The Chiefs ended the season on a hot streak, but they displayed some weaknesses earlier in the campaign. Patrick Mahomes also showed he was human and dealt with some turnover issues. Buffalo will need to keep the pedal down and consistently pressure Mahomes on Sunday if they want to upset the odds in KC.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Stats & Analysis
Kansas City was a difficult team to figure out this season. They started off the campaign with a 3-4 record, including a 38-20 home loss against the Bills in October. But they rebounded nine of their final ten regular-season games to clinch the AFC West.
The Chiefs still had to play during Wild Card weekend in a home affair with the Steelers, but Pittsburgh gave Kansas City minimal trouble. Patrick Mahomes fired five touchdown passes with 404 yards through the air on 30-39 passing to lead Kansas City to a 42-21 rout.
Tight end Travis Kelce not only caught five passes for 108 yards and a touchdown, but he also threw a touchdown pass on a trick play as well.
The Chiefs defense surrendered 21 points while causing one Pittsburgh turnover in the game.
However, they will have their hands full trying to contain this potent Buffalo Bills offense that can attack in all facets of the game. The Chiefs defensive unit finished an impressive eighth in points allowed during the regular season.
But they also finished just 27th in total yards allowed per contest. Kansas City was the 28th ranked team in total sacks as well.
It is very possible that Josh Allen finds plenty of time in the pocket and is able to carve up the Kansas City secondary. The Chiefs will need to find a way to pressure him, or this will turn into a shootout.
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Trends
- Buffalo finished 10-6-2 ATS during the regular season and are 1-0 ATS so far during the postseason.
- The Bills finished 5-3 ATS on the road.
- They were 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
- Buffalo was 2-1 ATS as a road underdog.
- The Bills were 5-3 SU away from home this season.
Kansas City Chiefs:
- Kansas City was 9-9 ATS over the course of the regular season. They are 1-0 ATS in the playoffs.
- The Chiefs were 5-5 ATS at home.
- They finished 9-9 ATS as a favorite.
- Kansas City was 5-5 ATS as a home favorite.
- The Chiefs completed the regular season with an 8-2 mark at home.
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Odds
- BetUS: Kansas City -1
- MyBookie: Kansas City -2.5
- BetNow: Kansas City -1.5
- Bovada: Kansas City -1.5
- Betonline: Kansas City -1.5
The Chiefs are now lower than a one-point favorite and no higher than a 2.5 favorite, according to those top sportsbooks. Any way you slice it, we should be in store for a competitive game throughout.
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How To Bet On: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs NFL – Betting lines
The real question is can you trust Kansas City?
The Chiefs certainly displayed some inconsistencies this season. However, they came mostly during the beginning of the year. But on the same note, one has to wonder if the Chiefs truly are a better team than Buffalo.
The Bills feature a well-rounded attack which bodes well for them in that matchup. Josh Allen has proven to be an elite QB and should be able to compete with Mahomes in this affair.
Taking Buffalo at Arrowhead Stadium is risky, but I truly believe the Bills have the talent and momentum to upset the odds on the road.
OBS Betting Picks for Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs NFL
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