Odds, Picks and Predictions
- The New York Mets are 84-72 against the run line this season.
- The Atlanta Braves are 80-76 against the run line this year.
- The Mets are 46-32 against the run line when playing on the road.
- The Braves are 37-41 against the run line when playing at their home field.
- Atlanta is 15-16 against the run line as an underdog.
- New York is 63-57 against the run line as a favorite.
The New York Mets (98-58) travel to Atlanta to take on the Braves (97-59) in a crucial three-game series.
The Mets enter this series with a one-game lead over the Braves in the division. They will look to put the finishing touches on the NL East with a strong performance this weekend.
Atlanta’s home-field advantage will provide them with a major advantage in this set. They can turn the tide and overtake the Mets by playing well this weekend.
Many of the division races are already over around the league. However, this is the last division that is still up for grabs. It is going to be an exciting weekend of baseball in Atlanta.
The first pitch is scheduled for 7:20 PM EST on Friday, September 30th, at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA.
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Odds
| Teams | Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
| New York Mets | -115 | O/6.5 | -1.5 |
| Atlanta Braves | +105 | U/6.5 | +1.5 |
Which of these teams should you place your money on? The Braves are home underdogs and certainly profile as a decent pick. But the Mets are the favorite for a reason.
With Jacob deGrom set to take the ball for New York, Atlanta’s offense is going to have their backs against the wall out of the gate. But Max Fried certainly is a worthy adversary.
The over/under is at an unsurprising low mark. This projects to be a pitcher’s duel.
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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
New York Mets Preview
The Mets are 7-3 over their last ten games and 3-2 over their past five contests. They most recently split a two-game set with the Miami Marlins.
The Mets are going to be in the playoffs. But they want to win the NL East.
Their all-around balance makes them one of the most difficult teams to match up with in baseball. In past years, they have had decent pitching, but the offense has been lackluster. But New York is hitting the ball all over the yard this season.
They are third in batting average, second in OBP, 10th in slugging percentage, fourth in runs scored, and 16th in home runs. Pitching-wise, they are eighth in team ERA, sixth in WHIP, 11th in home runs allowed, and 10th in batting average against.
Jacob deGrom (5-3, 2.93) is the scheduled starter for the Mets on Friday to open the series. deGrom hasn’t been quite as dominant as of late. He’s surrendered 11 runs over the course of his past three starts.
Most recently, in a shocking development, he allowed five runs against the lowly Oakland A’s. One would figure it is an outlier. But there may be cause for concern if he keeps struggling to find his rhythm.
deGrom will look to flip the script and pitch well in this big matchup on Friday.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Braves need to step up at home against the Mets at home. Defying the odds won’t be easy, but they have the talent to do so.
Atlanta is 6-4 over the course of 10 games and 4-1 over their last five contests. They are playing well at the right time and continuing to apply pleasure on the Mets.
But New York is not rolling over. All the Braves can do is keep playing a quality brand of baseball and take care of business this weekend.
On the season, their offense is ranked eighth in batting average, ninth in OBP, second in slugging percentage, third in runs scored, and second in home runs. Pitching-wise, they are fifth in ERA, sixth in WHIP, third in home runs allowed, and fourth in batting average against.
The Braves will send Max Fried (13-7, 2.50) to the mound on Friday. Fried has pitched well all season and is firmly in the NL Wild Card race. He likely won’t win the award, but he deserves strong consideration.
He can strengthen his case by pitching well in this vital contest. More importantly, Fried can lead the Braves to a win and a tie in the division with a strong effort opposite Jacob deGrom on Friday.
We can expect the Braves to give everything they have this weekend. But will it be enough?
Injury Report
For the Mets, Tommy Hunter was placed on the IL last week. Meanwhile, they received a negative update on OF Starling Marte.
They are still hopeful he can return in the playoffs, but manager Buck Showalter said Marte’s return is “not imminent.”
New York’s offense will need to step up amid his absence in the postseason if he can’t return.
For the Braves, Spencer Strider will be out until the playoffs. It is unclear whether Strider will pitch at the beginning of the postseason. For now, the Braves hope he will be able to log innings in the first round of playoff baseball.
But nothing is confirmed at this juncture.
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Picks and Predictions
Can the Braves upset the odds at home?
Yes, they should be able to keep it competitive. In what should be a low-scoring affair, I don’t expect this game to see much separation on the scoreboard.
The Pick:
Go ahead and take the Atlanta Braves -1.5 in this Friday night National League East affair.
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