Odds and Picks

Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee is 38-51 against the run line so far in 2022.
  • San Francisco is 42-25 against the run line this season.
  • The Giants are 15-29 against the run line at their home field.
  • The Brewers are 23-26 against the run line on the road.
  • Milwaukee is 26-44 against the run line as a favorite.
  • San Francisco is 16-6 against the run line as the underdog.
  • The Giants are 4-0 against the run line as a home underdog.
  • The Brewers are 12-22 against the run line as an away favorite.  

Brief Introduction

The Milwaukee Brewers (49-40) and San Francisco Giants (45-42) will square off in a National League matchup on Thursday. This game represents Game One of a four-game set between these ball clubs. The first pitch is scheduled for 9:45 PM EST at Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA.

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants Odds

TeamsMoneylineTotalRun Line

Betonline is fully trusting in Corbin Burnes (7-4, 2.20) and Carlos Rodon (8-5, 2.70) on Thursday. This pitching matchup will steal the majority of headlines. 

But will these offenses fail to score more than six runs combined? Neither lineup is elite, and these pitchers have both been excellent in 2022. So taking the under on the total may be smart. 

Additionally, both the Giants and Brewers feature bullpens capable of taking care of business. 

But which team should you place your money on? Will the Brewers uphold the spread as the road favorites? Or can San Francisco upset the odds at home?

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Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Brewers enter play, having won just two of their past five games overall. However, they still hold a two-game lead in the NL Central. 

Once again, the Brewers’ pitching has carried the load. But their pitching hasn’t been quite as dominant as it has been in year’s past. Milwaukee owns a 3.78 team ERA which is good for 10th in MLB. They are also 11th in WHIP and seventh in batting average against. 

The offense has posted mixed results. 

Milwaukee is 23rd in batting average, 15th in OBP, ninth in slugging percentage, 11th in runs scored, and fourth in home runs. So despite not hitting for much of an average, the Brewers are hitting homers and scoring runs.

Milwaukee finds ways to win games. They pitch well enough to limit opponents while scoring just enough runs. They will aim for those kinds of results in this ball game. 

Corbin Burnes is the scheduled starter for the Brewers. Burnes is posting another Cy Young-esque season. The right-hander has emerged as one of the most consistent stars in the sport. 

Burnes will try to lead Milwaukee to victory in this matchup. 

San Francisco Giants Preview

The Giants enter play on a good stretch. They have won four of their past five games as they try to keep their Wild Card dreams alive. They sit 12 games back in the division, but the Wild Card still is in play.

Earlier this month, there was a discussion about the Giants being a potential seller. They were laboring, and one wondered if they would even try to compete ahead of the 2022 MLB trade deadline. But their recent string of solid performances suggest they will attempt to win moving forward.

The Giants are 17th in team ERA, 18th in WHIP, and 22nd in batting average against. However, they are first in all of MLB, with 68 total home runs allowed. So this is a team that keeps the ball in the yard. 

San Francisco is 22nd in batting average, eighth in OBP, 11th in slugging percentage, sixth in runs scored, and 10th in home runs. 

So they have not been dominant on either side of the ball, but they also do just enough to win games. 

Left-hander Carlos Rodon was recently named to the All-Star game and will aim to lead SF to a home win in this one. The left-hander has been a great pickup for the Giants and features the potential to dominate any team. 

It will be interesting to see if the Brewers can get anything going against SF.

Injury Report

For the Giants, Evan Longoria and Tommy La Stella are expected to be out until this weekend. Longoria is dealing with an oblique injury, while La Stella is facing an illness. Both could return this weekend, but it will be interesting to see if they actually do. 

Jake Junis will be out until late July with a hamstring ailment. Jose Alvarez and Zach Litell will also be out until late July as they battle back from injuries. 

Anthony DeScalfani is out for the season.

Curt Casali will be out until late July with an oblique injury. Matthew Boyd is expected to be out until mid-August as he recovers from his elbow ailment. 

For the Brewers, Christian Yelich is probable for Thursday’s game with a back ailment. 

Adrian Houser, Tyrone Taylor, and Luis Perdomo are all expected back in late July as they recover from various injuries. 

Freddy Peralta is working his way back from a late injury. His timetable is fairly unclear, but an early August return date is realistic. The Brewers are excited to get back in the rotation.

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants Preview and Predictions

This is a ball game that could go either way. Both the Giants and Brewers find ways to win games late. 

Expect a low-scoring affair. I like the over/under total of six, and I will take the under on that number. A 2-1 or 3-1 final score seems realistic. 

But that is where it gets difficult. Even if the Brewers win, there is no guarantee they win by more than two runs. So taking the Giants as a home favorite against the run line is the smart move here. 

I expect this contest to be close, and I actually like the Brewers as the moneyline favorites. But expect San Francisco to cover the run line at the very least. 

The Pick: Go ahead and roll with the San Francisco Giants +1.5 in this Thursday night affair in what should be an exciting NL matchup.

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