MLB

Odds, Picks and Predictions

  • The Guardians are 51-45 against the run line so far this season. 
  • The Red Sox are 51-47 against the run line so far this year.
  • The Red Sox are 22-26 against the run line at their home field. 
  • The Guardians are 28-24 against the run line when playing on the road. 
  • The Red Sox are 25-29 against the run line as a favorite. 
  • The Guardians are 30-24 against the run line as an underdog.

The Cleveland Guardians (49-47) and Boston Red Sox (49-49) prepare to face off in Boston on Wednesday. The Red Sox took Game One of this series by a final score of 3-1, but Cleveland roared back in Game Two and won 8-3.

Wednesday night’s affair will represent Game Three of this four-game set. The winner of Wednesday’s game will clinch a split at the very least in this series. 

The Guardians snapped a three-game losing streak on Tuesday. However, they had won five games in a row prior to their losing streak. 

Meanwhile, the Red Sox have dropped four of their past five games. They are falling in the standings and could sell ahead of the trade deadline. 

The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM EST on Wednesday, July 27th, at Fenway Park in Boston, MA.

Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox Odds

TeamsMoneylineTotalRun Line
Guardians+120O/9+1.5
Red Sox-130U/9-1.5

The Red Sox enter this ball game as an unsurprising home favorite. However, Cleveland has enjoyed a better overall season than Boston and could upset the odds. 

The Guardians are a pesky team more than capable of giving the Red Sox some trouble. 

Let’s break down the over/under. 

These teams feature fairly similar offenses. They both have a couple of stars in their lineup with not much depth. They also both put the ball in play but don’t produce much in the way of power overall. 

Cal Quantrill (7-5, 3.75) is slated to go for Cleveland, while Nathan Eovaldi (4-3, 4.30) will take the ball for the Red Sox. Quantrill has enjoyed a fairly solid campaign, but Eovaldi has labored. He was the starting pitcher in Boston’s 28-5 loss against the Blue Jays last week. 

So he will be hoping for a rebound effort against Cleveland. 

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Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Cleveland Guardians Preview

The Guardians have played an inconsistent brand of baseball as of late. They have gone on winning streaks and then endured losing streaks. 

In all reality, that is how their entire season has gone. At one moment, they are looking like World Series contenders, and the next, you find yourself wondering if they will even make the playoffs. 

But they are clinging to an above .500 record and are in the playoff conversation. This is a team that relies on pitching for the most part. 

The Guardians are 11th in team ERA, 10th in WHIP, 14th in home runs allowed, and 14th in batting average against. No, their pitching isn’t as dominant as it has been in recent years. But it is above league average. 

Meanwhile, Cleveland’s offense is pesky. They are sixth in batting average. However, they don’t produce much power. 

Cleveland ranks 12th in OBP but 17th in slugging percentage, 17th in runs scored, and just 29th in home runs. 

So although they put the ball in play and get on base, they don’t feature a ton of run producers (with the obvious exception of Jose Ramirez). 

Cal Quantrill gets the ball for Cleveland in Game Three of this series. The right-hander has enjoyed a solid campaign overall. He has been a reliable option for Terry Francona and the Guardians this year. 

Cleveland will aim to clinch a series split on Wednesday.

Boston Red Sox Preview

The Red Sox enter play as the favorites. But they haven’t played well over the past week. 

Boston’s pitching has been its overall downfall. The Red Sox rank 23rd in team ERA, 21st in WHIP, 21st in home runs allowed, and 19th in batting average against. 

The offense has been much better, without question. The Red Sox are fourth in batting average, 12th in OBP, ninth in slugging, 11th in runs, and 18th in home runs. Their lack of power production is concerning, but they have a number of impressive hitters. 

The Red Sox want to win this series. They are trying to stay in playoff contention, but their recent trends suggest they are headed in the opposite direction. 

Boston turns to Nathan Eovaldi for this start. He is looking for a rebound performance after struggling mightily in his last outing. 

Injury Report

The Guardians have remained fairly healthy this season. But they have a few injuries worth noting. 

Aaron Civale is currently on the 15-day IL with a sprained right wrist. Anthony Gose is also on the 15-day with a strained tricep. 

Young outfielder Oscar Gonzales is on the 10-day IL with an intercostal strain. 

For Boston, they have a far lengthier injured list. 

Rafael Devers is on the 10-day IL due to hamstring inflammation. Chris Sale was placed back on the IL after he broke his pinky in his last outing. 

Trevor Story and Christian Arroyo are also both on the 10-day IL. 

There are a ton more injuries, so here are a few more names of injured Red Sox players: Rich Hill, Kike Hernandez, Matt Barnes, James Paxton, and Michael Wacha, just to name a few. 

One has to wonder if the Red Sox would be in contention if they were healthier. I would assume they’d be buying at the deadline at the very least.

Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions

The Red Sox got the job done in Game One. But the Guardians took care of business in Game Two. 

I expect Game Three to be a competitive affair. Cleveland’s offense is difficult to predict. They tend to either score runs in bunches, or they don’t score at all. 

Nathan Eovaldi should be in line for a bounce-back effort. But Cleveland has offensive momentum following Game Two’s effort. In the end, I like the Guardians as underdogs on the run line. 

They should be able to keep this game close. 
The Pick: Roll with the Cleveland Guardians +1.5 in this Wednesday night ball game.

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