Odds, Picks and Predictions
The Colorado Rockies (46-60) and San Diego Padres (60-46) prepare to face off in San Diego on Wednesday. These two teams with exact opposite records will face off in Game Four of a rare five-game series on Wednesday.
The Padres took the first three games of the series, including a double-header victory on Tuesday. San Diego crushed Colorado in Game One before walking them off in Game Two. Padres fans are over the moon right now after a Tuesday night walk-off and the acquisitions of Juan Soto, Josh Bell, and Josh Hader ahead of the trade deadline.
Meanwhile, the Rockies continue to struggle. They will try to do the improbable and upset the odds on Wednesday in San Diego.
The first pitch is scheduled for 9:40 PM EST on Wednesday, August 3rd, at Petco Park in San Diego, CA.
Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres Info
Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Date: Wednesday, August 3rd, 2022
Time: 9:40 PM EST
TV: ATRM, BSSD, MLB Network
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Betting Trends
- The Colorado Rockies are 56-49 against the run line so far this season.
- The San Diego Padres are 50-55 against the run line so far this year.
- The Rockies are 23-25 against the run line when playing on the road.
- The Padres are 18-33 against the run line when playing at their home ballpark.
- Colorado is 47-35 against the run line as an underdog this year.
- San Diego is 28-45 against the run line as a favorite this year.
Betting on Colorado Rockies
The Rockies are facing an uphill battle in this series. The Padres are riding high after their trade deadline acquisitions. Beating San Diego was difficult enough, but now it will be even more of a challenge.
The Rockies enter Wednesday’s game, having lost four straight contests. On the season, they are 28th in team ERA, 28th in WHIP, 16th in home runs, and dead last in batting average against. Meanwhile, their offense ranks second in batting average, fifth in OBP, 11th in slugging, 10th in runs scored, and 22nd in home runs.
The offensive numbers don’t look bad. But it is important to remember this ball club plays half of their games at hitter-friendly Coors Field. They are a completely different team on the road.
So is there any hope for the Rockies on Wednesday?
RHP Chad Kuhl (6-6, 4.59) is the scheduled starter for Colorado. Despite his high ERA, Kuhl has pitched a number of good games this season. He is capable of shutting down an opposing offense.
I still don’t like the chances, but Kuhl will have an opportunity to pitch away from Coors Field, which is always a good thing.
Betting on San Diego Padres
The Padres still trail the Dodgers in the NL West. But their roster is now one of the best on paper.
Josh Hader is the name that got lost in the news. Juan Soto is obviously a big pickup, and Josh Bell is the icing on the cake.
But Hader helps to stabilize the bullpen. And I’m a firm believer that bullpens win World Series rings. They win regular season games as well.
On the year, San Diego is eighth in ERA, sixth in WHIP, ninth in home runs allowed, and fourth in batting average against. Offensively, they are 16th in batting average, ninth in OBP, 21st in slugging percentage, 12th in runs scored, and 23rd in home runs.
So they certainly had room to improve on offense. And they accomplished that without question at the trade deadline. Additionally, Fernando Tatis Jr will return at some point this season.
Blake Snell (3-5, 4.43) is the scheduled starter for the Padres. Snell hasn’t been good this season. But he is also a guy who is capable of producing a great start on any given occasion.
Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres Picks and Predictions
So who wins this game? Which team should you place your money on?
The Padres are the clear favorites for this Wednesday matchup. San Diego is an extremely talented ball club with an offense ready to roll. And Juan Soto and Josh Bell are expected to join the team before this game.
San Diego realistically should win this game.
But let’s break down the total first. I like taking the over on the implied run total. Neither Kuhl nor Snell are dominant by any means. And even if Snell pitches well, the Padres offense will likely produce an impressive amount of runs.
Take the over on the total.
As for the run line, San Diego should cruise to a win. I don’t trust Snell, but the Padres’ enhanced bullpen will pick up any potential slack. And the offense should provide enough run support.
With that being said, you should obviously roll with San Diego on the moneyline. Upsets happen all of the time in baseball, but the Padres are in a great position to reward bettors who take the favorite.
Additionally, I like rolling with a few prop bets in this one.
Take the over on Blake Snell’s strikeout total. The set number will vary based on the website you use. But Snell, whether he pitches well or not, should provide plenty of K’s against the Rockies away from Coors Field.
Take Juan Soto to get a hit in his first game. Assuming Soto plays on Wednesday, the superstar outfielder should be able to get a base hit in his first Padres game.
And finally, take a chance on Manny Machado. Place a bet on Machado to hit a home run.
The Padres third baseman has struggled a bit as of late, but I like his chances of breaking out against the Rockies.
The Picks:
- Go ahead and take the San Diego Padres on the moneyline.
- Take the over on the total.
- Roll with the San Diego Padres -1.5 to cover
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