Jacksonville ended the season on a winning streak and upset the Chargers at home in the Wild Card round. They were down by 27 points last weekend before coming back to earn the victory. It was certainly a collapse by the Chargers, but the Jaguars deserve credit for their effort.
The Chiefs also ended the season on a winning streak and earned a bye in the Wild Card round. It will be intriguing to see how they fare following their week off from football.
Kansas City is the team to beat without question. With that being said, the Chiefs cannot afford to take Jacksonville for granted.
Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30 PM EST on Saturday, January 21, 2023, at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. Let’s take a look at the odds, trends, and predictions for this game.
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Overall Game Info & Outlook
- Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs
- The Jaguars are 5-0 over their last five games.
- The Chiefs are 5-0 over their last five games.
- Arrowhead Stadium
- Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30 PM EST
Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview
Jacksonville Jaguars Preview
The Jaguars endured a fairly mediocre season in all reality. Jacksonville is 9-9 against the spread and finished with a 9-8 regular season record.
They ended up winning 31-30 against the Chargers last weekend. Trevor Lawrence threw four early interceptions, and it seemed as if the game was over. However, he led a comeback and ultimately threw four touchdowns for 288 passing yards.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars are 9-9 against the spread this year.
- The Jaguars are 4-5 against the spread when playing on the road.
- Jacksonville is 8-5 against the spread as an underdog.
- They are 3-5 against the spread as an away underdog this season.
The Jaguars are a dangerous team that tends to get overlooked. They don’t feature as much talent as teams like Kansas City and the Buffalo Bills, but they are pesky.
Jacksonville will not be intimidated despite the odds. We can expect them to at least give the Chiefs a challenge.
Offensively, they are 10th in points per game, 10th in total yards per game, 10th in passing yards per game, and 14th in rushing yards per game.
Trevor Lawrence threw for over 4,000 passing yards this year. He did a solid job of limiting interceptions throughout the season, which made his four interceptions surprising last week. However, he’s a young QB who likely had some jitters to open his NFL Playoffs career.
Defensively, they are 12th in points against per game, 24th in total yards against per game, 28th in passing yards against per game, 12th in rushing yards against per game, 25th in sacks, and 12th in interceptions.
The Jaguars will need their defense to step up against KC if they have any chance of winning this game.
Kansas City Chiefs Preview
The Chiefs, following a somewhat slow start to the season, finished the year on a high note and clinched a first-round bye. Their defense has questions, but their top-tier offense helps them overcome those problems.
The Chiefs may start slow on Saturday after their week off, but this is an explosive team more than capable of making a deep run.
- The Kansas City Chiefs are 6-10-1 against the spread this year.
- The Chiefs are 2-5-1 against the spread when playing at their home field.
- Kansas City is 5-9-1 against the spread when playing as a favorite.
- They are 2-4-1 against the spread as a home favorite this year.
The Chiefs know that they can’t overlook the Jaguars, but if Kansas City’s offense plays up to its full capability, they will win the game.
The Chiefs’ offense is ranked first in points per game, first in total yards per game, first in passing yards per game, and 20th in rushing yards per game.
QB Patrick Mahomes is likely going to win the MVP. He threw for over 5,200 yards this season, to go along with 41 passing touchdowns. His playoff experience should set him up well for another strong effort on Saturday.
The Chiefs’ defense is where the Jaguars may be able to take advantage. It isn’t the worst in the league by any means, but it has some holes.
Kansas City’s defensive unit is 16th in points against per game, 11th in total yards against per game, 18th in passing yards against per game, eighth in rushing yards against per game, second in sacks, and 21st in interceptions.
However, as we said before, their offense will be in a position to lead them to a win.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
- Betonline: Kansas City Chiefs -8.5
- Bovada: Kansas City Chiefs -8.5
- MyBookie: Kansas City Chiefs -8.5
- BetUS: Kansas City Chiefs -8.5
- BetNow: Kansas City Chiefs -8.5
The Chiefs are the obvious favorites for Saturday. The Jaguars will need their offense to keep pace if they want to cover this spread.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs Odds & Picks
Odds for this Matchup:
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +8.5 | +360 | O/52 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -8.5 | -450 | U/52 |
Recommended Pick:
Can the Chiefs cover the spread at home, or will the Jaguars pull off yet another upset?
Jacksonville is an interesting team, but this is Kansas City’s game to lose. Barring unforeseen circumstances, the Chiefs will win this contest while covering the spread.
Go ahead and roll with the Chiefs -8.5 as your main betting selection.
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