UFC events are happening pretty much every single weekend right now, and they never disappoint. This weekend, we have the pleasure of watching two of the most skilled martial artists on the entire UFC roster battle it out in the octagon in the main event.
In the UFC Fight Night tonight, Rafael Fiziev will meet Mateusz Gamrot in a 5-round bout to see who gets to move onto the top 5 of the stacked lightweight division. Fiziev is coming off a loss, and Gamrot is moving up coming off a win, and this Saturday is the crossroads.
Let’s take a deep dive into this matchup and break down the UFC odds, compare the styles of both men, and find the best Fiziev vs Gamrot picks to make on this weekend’s betting slate.
When you try to make UFC predictions every weekend, you need to be able to put a lot of thought and effort into arriving at the best picks possible. If you know how to bet on UFC, you know that fights of this magnitude and skill level are much closer to a 50/50 coin flip than the odds could ever suggest.
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UFC: Rafael Fiziev vs. Mateusz Gamrot Betting Trends
- Rafael Fiziev is 4-1 in his last five appearances in the UFC octagon.
- Mateusz Gamrot is 4-1 in his last five UFC appearances.
- Fiziev has been the betting favorite in every single UFC bout he’s been in besides his fight against Marc Diakiese in 2020. (He was +152 as the lines closed)
- Gamrot is the underdog for only the second time in his UFC career. The first being against the highly-touted Arman Tsarukyan, and he won that fight via decision in the main event as well.
- Fiziev has nine finishes (eight KO and one SUB) in his professional MMA career. (14 fights)
- Gamrot has 12 finishes (seven KO and five SUB) in his professional MMA career. (25 fights)
How to Bet on Rafael Fiziev vs. Mateusz Gamrot
When you find out how to bet on the UFC, you learn that it’s not a good way of earning consistent income. MMA is the toughest sport to bet on, and the UFC makes it even tougher with all the great matchmaking every weekend.
The first thing you have to do is understand that even if you bet at UFC on Bovada, this fight should be looked at as a 50/50 EVEN odds matchup. These fighters are exceptionally skilled, making it challenging to confidently label either as the betting favorite, regardless of sportsbook odds.
After breaking down the available betting lines and seeing that Fiziev is the slight betting favorite at -155 odds now as fight night creeps closer, you can have confidence in a straight-up moneyline pick. A pick with either fighter will give you a solid payout if you guessed correctly.
The Battle of Cardio Kings: Fiziev and Gamrot Ready for a 25-Minute War!
Next, let’s break down the tape on both fighters. We can see what the game plan will most likely be in both corners on Saturday night. Fiziev is a world-class Muay Thai fighter with great striking, and Gamrot is a world-class MMA grappler.
Both fighters consistently enter top shape and possess the capacity to perform at a high level for the full 25 minutes. Truthfully, this bout promises such excitement that you might prefer to savor it without any financial bets, just pure enjoyment.
Recognize the Unique Skills Each Fighter Brings to the Octagon, Crucial for Their Victory in the Match. Fiziev has the speed, timing, accuracy, and creativity to knock out anybody in the division. Gamrot has the toughness, wrestling, and grittiness to beat anybody on any given night.
The key to the outcome of this fight will fall on whether or not Fiziev can defend the relentless takedowns from Gamrot and earn the respect he needs to keep Gamrot at bay. This fight will go to whoever can implement their game plan in the octagon on that given night.
Rafael Fiziev vs. Mateusz Gamrot Betting Picks
The Fiziev vs Gamrot picks don’t need to be too fancy to win a good chunk of change. A moneyline pick will do just fine and is probably the only pick that you can justify making on Saturday. Don’t try to guess the method of victory or any crazy prop bets.
The official prediction for this main event bout is that it’s going to be a chess match for the ages and will be a legendary fight to watch over and over again for years to come. That is a bold prediction, but the way these two fight suggests that exact outcome.
In terms of a betting pick, we are going with Fiziev to get his hand raised. Honestly, it will probably be a decision victory after both guys get hurt badly and maybe even dropped. Gamrot’s Feints and Level Changes Could Catch Fiziev Off Guard, Forcing Defensive Reactions.
Fiziev has the takedown defense, the durability, and the creativity to adjust accordingly round after round and pull this one out. He’s going to land the cleaner shots and cause the most damage, which will show on the judges’ scorecards.
Gamrot is probably too tough and way too good to get finished, but a flash KO could literally happen to either guy in the first round. That’s how crazy the sport of MMA is. So, when making your Fiziev vs Gamrot picks, look at this fight as a complete coin toss.
- Our betting pick is Fiziev, winning at -155.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
BetOnline: Fiziev -155
Bovada: Fiziev -155
MyBookie: Fiziev -161
BetUS: Fiziev -155
BetNow: Fiziev -155
Bonus! Other Fights Worth Placing a Bet On
UFC Fight Night co-main event: Bryce Mitchell (-205) vs. Dan Ige (+175)
This featherweight bout in the co-main has all the makings to be the fight of the night on Saturday. Mitchell is a pure grappler, but we have seen him test his hands a bit in the recent past, and he has a good chin. Ige has the tools he needs to pull up an upset win.
Mitchell doesn’t bring any slick takedown setups to the table, and Ige can stuff those and start busting him up with his hands.
UFC Fight Night main card bout: Bryan Battle (-185) vs. AJ Fletcher (+160)
Another fight worth placing a bet on this Saturday is this main card bout in the welterweight division. This is just a hunch, but Battle looks like he is going to blossom into a legit contender in the welterweight division after moving down a weight class.
He is a BIG welterweight with a lot of speed and tons of skill.
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