If you are wondering about how to bet on UFC, you have come to the right place! UFC 293 is underway this weekend in Sydney, Australia, with a great card full of interesting matchups showcasing talent from all over the globe.
In the main event, Israel Adesanya looks to start his second reign as middleweight champion off right with a title defense over new challenger, Sean Strickland.
As fight week progresses and the mini battles are fought throughout media day, the press conference, and the weight-cut process, let’s take a closer look at this fight from multiple angles and arrive at the best possible Adesanya vs Strickland prediction before you make your bets this weekend.
If you want to learn how to bet on the UFC, this is the place to be. Read more for a deep dive into this middleweight title bout and a breakdown of UFC odds, the stylistic matchup of these two athletes, and more. By the looks of it, this should be one of the betting UFC events this week!
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UFC: Adesanya vs. Strickland Betting Trends
- Israel Adesanya is 4-1 in his last five appearances in the UFC octagon.
- Sean Strickland is 3-2 in his last five UFC appearances.
- Adesanya has been the betting favorite in every single UFC bout besides his bout against Kelvin Gastelum back in 2019.
- Strickland is the betting underdog this weekend for the 4th time in his last 10 UFC bouts.
- Adesanya has 16 finishes (16 KO and zero SUB) in his professional MMA career. (26 fights)
- Strickland has 15 finishes (11 KO and four SUB) in his professional MMA career. (32 fights)
How to Bet on Adesanya vs. Strickland
Making UFC predictions is probably the most difficult thing to do in all of the sports betting industry. MMA is the most unpredictable sport, and the UFC is where that sport is showcased at the highest level.
According to UFC odds, Adesanya is coming into this fight week as the massive -650 betting favorite over Strickland at +475. These one-sided odds are a product of not only the legendary reign of Adesanya over this division but also the styles that these two bring.
One of the most important things to do when making betting picks on fights like this is to watch the film on past performances of both men. Watching these two athletes implement a game plan and use their skills in the past can give you an idea of what they will bring into the octagon.
In this matchup, Adesanya is the world-class kickboxer in the equation. He has the length at 6’4” and a reach of 80” to use as a major advantage in the striking exchanges. Adesanya will be looking to keep this fight on the feet and beat up Strickland at a distance where he can’t get touched as well.
Strickland is one of the biggest wild cards on the entire UFC roster. If you are a fan of him and want to see him succeed, you’d hope he learned from letting his ego dictate his game plan against Alex Pereira. Pereira is another world-class kickboxer that ended up knocking out Strickland.
The only way that Strickland can have an advantage over Adesanya is if he can get him onto the ground. That needs to be an important part of Strickland’s game plan; if it’s not, then he might be making the trip down under an unfortunate one.
Adesanya vs. Strickland Betting Picks
Since we broke down this matchup by previewing the betting lines and watching the film, it’s time to make a betting prediction.
To start things off, the Adesanya vs Strickland prediction is that Adesanya will dominate this fight from start to finish. When someone comes along and is as great as Adesanya has been, with the unique personality he has, it tends to come along with a lot of hate from “fans” of the sport.
The narrative that gives Strickland a chance in this fight stems from people who want to see Adesanya lose. The truth is that Adesanya is the best middleweight champion we have ever seen, and the work he puts in to perfect his craft is second to none. Strickland isn’t going to do anything that others haven’t tried.
This is going to be reminiscent to Sean O’Malley’s recent victory. When someone is as focused and has the skillset and mindset as someone like an O’Malley or Adesanya, they aren’t going to be challenged by someone who doesn’t bring something special to the table.
Since the moneyline is outrageous, we are taking Adesanya winning inside the distance. You can get that prop bet at -105 if you bet on UFC at Bovada. This is probably the most confident MMA prop bet in a main event of the entire year.
As stated before, the clash of styles is the main reason for this pick. If Strickland wants to do “the man dance” with Adesanya, he is going to be hurt badly and knocked out. If he tries to cut off the cage and take Adesanya down, who’s been able to do that before?
Top Sportsbooks Odds
BetOnline: Adesanya inside the distance -110
Bovada: Adesanya inside the distance -105
MyBookie: Adesanya inside the distance -110
BetUs: Adesanya inside the distance -110
BetNow: Adesanya inside the distance -114
Bonus! Other Fights Worth Placing a Bet On
UFC 293 Co-Main Event: Tai Tuivasa (+210) vs. Alexander Volkov (-250)
To set the table for the main event, Tai Tuivasa has a homecoming in his home country as he tries to bounce back into the winning column against the UFC veteran Volkov.
This is a tough matchup for the much smaller Tuivasa, but he has the hands and the heart to knock out anybody in the world. Volkov has a massive advantage due to his size and fight IQ. This could either be a fun fight or a super boring and frustrating one for Australian fans.
UFC 293 light heavyweight bout: Carlos Ulberg (-260) vs. Da Woon Jung (+220)
One more interesting fight that sets the table for the main event will be this light-heavyweight bout. Ulberg is a product of City Kickboxing and is one of Adesanya’s main training partners.
This is surely his coming out party against a guy who’s good but has a good style for Ulberg to showcase his skills on.
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