After Usman Nurmagomedov dropped out of this main event slot due to injury, Rob Font jumped in to replace him and take on Cory Sanhagen in front of a packed Nashville crowd. This bout will be at a catchweight of 130 lbs, meaning both men will be in even better condition on fight night. Sandhagen has the edge right away due to the full training camp for this fight, but can Font shake the bantamweight division up with an upset victory?
Let’s break down UFC odds, this matchup, and get to Sandhagen vs Font betting prediction ahead of making your bets official this weekend. By the looks of it, we should be in for one of the better UFC events.
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UFC: Sandhagen vs. Font Betting Trends
- Cory Sandhagen is 3-2 in his last five appearances in the UFC octagon.
- Rob Font is 3-2 in his last five UFC appearances.
- Sandhagen has been the betting favorite in four out of his last five UFC bouts.
- Font has been the underdog in four out of his last 10 UFC fights.
- Sandhagen has ten finishes (seven KO and three SUB) in his professional MMA career.
- Font has 13 finishes (nine KO and four SUB) in his professional MMA career.
How to Bet on Sandhagen vs. Font
If you’re looking to bet on the main event this weekend, make sure you take time to look over the lines you can get for the UFC at BetUS and any other sportsbooks you can bet on.
In this fight, there are a lot more factors than just what you can see on paper. Both fighters light up the stat book. Sandhagen averages 5.98 significant strikes landed per minute, and Font averages 6.46 of the same.
From a technical standpoint, it seems like Sandhagen has the advantage of having a more all-around skillset. His sharp punches, creativity, footwork, and now a new wrinkle of offensive wrestling added to his game make him a new beast in the octagon.
Font has been the same kind of fighter for years now; he comes forward with lots of pressure and has some of the cleanest boxing on the whole roster. The issue for Font with this matchup is that Sandhagen has the footwork to combat that pressure very well.
On paper, this fight is a lot closer than what the betting odds say–but it all comes down to who shows up on fight night and puts on a better performance. Both men have a lot of confidence coming off impressive performances. You should look at this as a pick ’em fight, even though the odds don’t say that.
Sandhagen vs. Font Betting Picks
The official Sandhagen vs Font betting pick is that Font is going to win via TKO. This is the opposite of what most UFC predictions are from “experts,” and that’s okay. Sandhagen is one of the best fighters on the roster.
The reasoning for this pick is the confidence of Font and how he performed in his last fight against Adrian Yanez. Yanez had a lot of danger coming Font’s way, but Font stayed calm and absolutely starched Yanez.
Font has such clean boxing and good eyes he is going to be able to find an opening when Sandhagen switches stances to land heavy shots. Most likely when Sandhagen is in southpaw or even catching up as he squares up to Font.
The cardio of Font is a concern after taking this fight on short notice, but the lesser of a weight cut will make it better for him. Font has a solid defensive wrestling skillset as well, so it’s hard to imagine Sandhagen being able to win this fight with wrestling.
Remember, this is a big underdog pick, so don’t take this as fact. Sandhagen has all the ability in the world to win this fight, and there’s a reason he is a big favorite. But this is just an opinion being justified by a potential outcome of this awesome matchup in this weekend’s main event.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
BetOnline: Font +285
Bovada: Font -+250
MyBookie: Font +234
BetUS: Font +250
BetNow: Font +230
Bonus! Other Fights Worth Placing a Bet On
UFC women’s strawweight bout: Jessica Andrade (+295) vs. Tatiana Suarez (-360)
This is a very interesting matchup in women’s MMA this weekend. Andrade is a former champion but has dropped her last two fights and has gotten finished. Suarez is a rising contender with tons of potential and an undefeated record. A win for Suarez against someone like Andrade will put her at the top of the division, and a massive fight with title implications will be next.
This fight is +160 for the over 2.5 round total, but +195 to go the distance–which is very interesting.
- The edge for sure goes to Suarez with all the ways she could win.
UFC light heavyweight bout: Dustin Jacoby (+135) vs. Kennedy Nzechukwu (-155)
Every time Jacoby steps in the octagon, it’s worth watching. He has an awesome style with craftiness and world-class kickboxing. Nzechukwu gets a big test to solve the puzzle and uses more skills than just his power and strength.
- Jacoby is the perfect style to be able to expose the holes in Nzechukwu’s game. The underdog is a great pick in this one.
UFC bantamweight bout: Raoni Barcelos (+165) vs. Kyler Phillips (-200)
Kyler Phillips is the next exciting bantamweight contender to rise in the next year or two. He is so talented and so great in both grappling and striking that it’s almost hard for him to choose a game plan. He has been tied up in a tainted supplement test and has finally won his appeal and been cleared to compete again.
- Barcelos is very tough and durable, but this is a dangerous Kyler Phillips ready to make up for lost time.
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