MLB

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels Odds, Picks and Predictions

For as much attention as the New York Yankees have gotten for having the best record in baseball, the Houston Astros (57-29) are rivaling them sitting 3 ½ games behind the American League East power. Houston hopes to lock up another victory at 9:38 p.m. ET on Wednesday when they visit the Los Angeles Angels (38-50). 

The Astros are 8-3 in the season series this year, looking to win a third series against their West divisional rivals. Though it should be as good a pitching matchup as one can see between these two.

The Angels send reigning Most Valuable Player Shohei Ohtani to the bump. He is 8-4 with a 2.44 ERA and 0.99 WHIP (Walks, Hits, per Innings Pitched). The Angels are 8-6 in his starts and the over/under is 4-8. Ohtani has had four straight scoreless outings and had 34 strikeouts over his last 20.2 innings pitched.

Cristian Javier has been lights out for the Astros, including throwing seven no-hit innings that his bullpen finished off against the Yankees a few weeks ago. Though he did surrender five earned runs his last time out, four earned runs across his previous four starts. He is 6-4 with a 3.01 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. The Astros are 7-5 in his starts and the over/under is 4-7.

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels Match Info

Location: Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California

Date: Wednesday, July 13, 2022

Time: 9:38 p.m. ET

TV: ATT Sportsnet Southwest, Bally Sports West

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels Odds

Odds are listed in moneyline, run line and over/under order:

  • BetOnline – Astros +103, Angels -113; Astros +1.5 (-205), Angels -1.5 (+175); 7
  • Bovada – Astros +100, Angels -120; Astros +1.5 (-200), Angels -1.5 (+170); 7
  • MyBookie – Astros +105, Angels -125; Astros +1.5 (-195), Angels -1.5 (+165); 7
  • BetUS – Astros +104, Angels -114; Astros +1.5 (-210), Angels -1.5 (+175); 7
  • BetNow – Astros +105, Angels -115; Astros +1.5 (-200), Angels -1.5 (+170); 7

The Angels are slight favorites with Ohtani on the mound, regardless of where you bet. The best moneyline odds on the Halos are at BetOnline at -113 while the Astros are +105 at either MyBookie or BetNow. Houston’s best run line odds are +1.5 (-195) at MyBookie. The Angels’ best run line odds are -1.5 (+175) at either BetOnline or BetUS. The over/under is set at 7 for all books but some favor the over while others the under, though it’s slight in either direction, so be sure to check for that at your favorite book.

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  • In 11 meetings this season, the over is 6-5 and the Astros are 8-3
  • The under is 4-1 in the last five games at Angel Stadium
  • Though the over is 5-2 over the last seven meetings regardless of location
  • The Astros are 38-18 across the last 56 meetings in Los Angeles
  • Houston is 51-23 across the last 74 meetings regardless of location
  • Public bettors favor the Astros’ moneyline with 56% of the bets placed
  • Public betting data shows a split on the over/under
  • The Astros are 30-52-3 on over/unders and 29-17 straight up away from home
  • The Angels are 34-44-9 on over/unders and 21-23 straight up at home

Astros’ pitching is out of this world

Houston has one of the best pitching staffs in baseball and a large part of it is having depth in the starting rotation with guys who can pitch late in games and shorten the work of the bullpen. Javier is an example of that. The pitching staff is allowing 3.39 runs per game, the third best rate in the league. Yet they lead the league in batting average against (.209) and opposing OPS (.614). 

The offense is rounding into shape, and can still add at the deadline. They are 12th, scoring 4.61 runs per game. Though they have a .242 batting average, which ranks 16th, they also have the fifth best OPS at .752. They only strike out 7.56 times per game, the third best mark.

Slugger Yordan Alvarez has to be in the MVP conversation. He’s hitting .306 with a 1.011 OPS with 26 home runs, 60 RBIs, 57 runs scored, 11 doubles and two triples. He’s carried the offense through slower stretches.

Veteran Michael Brantley – who is out indefinitely – is hitting .288, Jose Altuve has 17 doubles and 17 home runs while hitting .279 while Alex Bregman and Kyle Tucker are two others with double-digit doubles and home runs.

Angels’ offense bandaged up

Los Angeles’ lesser half has struggled mightily to scratch runs across. The Angels score 4.08 runs per game, ranking 25th, are 26th in team batting average at .230 and 22nd in OPS at .687. They also have the worst strikeout rate in baseball, doing so 9.9 times per game.

A large part of it is being bitten by the injury bug. The latest case came in Tuesday’s series opener when Mike Trout left early due to upper back spasms. His status for Wednesday is not yet posted. Anthony Rendon was also lost for the season while David Fletcher, a key top of the lineup guy, is out until late July.

Jared Walsh only has 13 home runs, though he’s driven in 40. Taylor Ward has flashed his potential, hitting .296 with a .906 OPS with 11 doubles, 12 home runs, 42 runs scored, and 34 RBIs. But there isn’t nearly enough behind those five.

Ohtani may have to do it all. He’s hitting .256 with a .835 OPS with 15 doubles, 19 home runs, 54 RBIs and 49 runs scored. If Trout is able to play, that’s an added lift as he’s hitting .268 with a .967 OPS with 55 runs scored, 17 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs (all lead the team), and 51 RBIs.

The pitching staff has been league average for the Angels. They’re 15th in allowing 4.33 runs per game. Opponents have a batting average of .235 (10th) with an OPS of .696 (12th) for solid defensive ranks.

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels Picks and Predictions

  • The moneyline is fair given Ohtani’s dominance both ways. It may change based on Trout’s injury status, whether he is ruled out or is going to try and give it a go. If you feel strongly on the Astros, take them before that news is announced.
  • It’s reasonable that the under hits. Ohtani is capable of shutting down any offense, just ask the Astros. They’ve scored one run and struck out 21 times in 10.2 innings against him across two starts in April. Javier may be facing an even more depleted offense if Trout is out, too.
  • We’re going to take the Astros given their season success. It should be a low-scoring game which should favor them because if they even scratch two runs off Ohtani, it could be enough against a porous Angels offense. We’ll go Astros +105 before news of Trout can get out.

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