After nearly two long weeks of intense action – and a few weather delays – the finals of the women’s draw at Wimbledon is set.
The final of the third Grand Slam in the tennis schedule sees Markéta Vondroušová, the first unseeded player in the women’s singles final at Wimbledon in five years, take on world No. 6 Ons Jabeur, who has another shot at becoming the first Arab woman to win a singles Grand Slam. Jabeur lost to Elena Rybakina 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 in the final of last year’s tournament.
Jabeur cemented her spot in the final for the second year in a row with a come-from-behind 6-7 (5-7), 6-4, 6-3 win over Aryna Sabalenka. Vondroušová punched her ticket to Saturday’s final with a clean 6-3, 6-3 victory over Elina Svitolina, who was also unseeded.
Let’s take a closer look at the Vondroušová vs. Jabeur odds and betting info ahead of the big match. By the looks of it, we should be in for one of the better Wimbledon matchups.
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Overall Game Info & Outlook
Markéta Vondroušová vs Ons Jabeur
Where: All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club
Date & Time: Saturday, July 15, TBD
How to watch: ESPN and Fubo
Markéta Vondroušová vs Ons Jabeur Betting Preview
Markéta Vondroušová Preview
Vondroušová was far from one of the popular tennis picks to win Wimbledon. The unseeded Czech player is a career-best world No. 14. She has never won a Grand Slam but finished runner-up at the 2019 French Open. She is 28-10 this season and has won eight of her last 10 matches.
In addition to beating Svitolina in the semi-finals, Vondroušová has defeated world No. 4 Jessica Pegula, Marie Bouzkova, Donna Vekic, Veronika Kudermetova, and Peyton Stears. Vondroušová is 3-3 in six career matches against Jabeur, including two victories this season.
- Vondroušová is 3-3 in six career matches against Jabeur, but has two victories in 2023, both of which were on the hard court.
- Vondroušová is 0-1 in one career match against Jabeur on grass.
- Vondroušová is 28-10 this season, including 8-1 on grass.
- Vondroušová has a career 13-12 record on grass. She was 5-11 on the surface from 2017 to 2021.
Vondroušová has been on the court nearly one hour longer than Jabeur, despite being seven fewer games and one fewer set. However, she needed just 1 hour and 15 minutes to beat Svitolina in the semi-finals.
Looking at Vondroušová vs. Jabeur odds, the Czech player is the clear betting underdog with tennis odds ranging from +170 to +187 at select sportsbooks. She has played phenomenal tennis during the last two weeks and was especially proficient against Svitolina, winning 74 percent of points on first serve and going 6-for-11 in break point opportunities.
Vondroušová had six double faults in her match against Svitolina. While it wasn’t a major factor in the result, she’ll need to limit those mistakes against Jabeur, who appears destined to win after losing in last year’s final.
Ons Jabeur Betting Preview
Jabeur, 28, is the highest-ranked Arab tennis player in WTA history and a four-time champion on the WTA Tour, but she’s in search of something much more important: a Grand Slam title. Ons struggled to come into play at the All-England Club, but her Wimbledon stats have been great since.
Jabeur won 76 percent of points on first serve against Sabalenka and limited her mistakes with just three double faults. She won 44 receiving points compared to Sabalenka’s 28 and was 3-for-10 in break-point opportunities. Jabeur previously beat defending champions Rybakina, Petra Kviotva, Bianca Andresscu, Zhuoxuan Bai, and Magdalena Frech.
- Jabeur is 3-3 in six career matches against Vondroušová, but beat her on grass at Eastbourne in 2021.
- Jabeur is 22-9 this season, including 7-2 on grass.
- Jabeur is 70-20 in her career on grass.
Jabeur has played nearly one hour less than Vondroušová, despite arguably facing tougher competition. She has only 28 aces through six matches but just 12 double faults as well. She played her first serve 60 percent of the time in her semi-final win over Sabalenka.
Jabeur, one of the early tennis picks to win the tournament, has been on a revenge tour of sorts as she defeated Rybakina, who beat her in last year’s final, and Sabalenka, who had a 3-1 record against her, in subsequent matches.
She now plays Vondroušová, to whom she has lost twice this season. I wouldn’t anticipate her losing a third consecutive match to the Czech player, especially on grass, where she is more comfortable.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
BetOnline: Jabeur -225 / Vondroušová +187
MyBookie: Jabeur -235 / Vondroušová +165
Bovada: Jabeur -233 / Vondroušová +170
BetUs: Jabeur -205 / Vondroušová +170
BetNow: Jabeur -235 / Vondroušová +165
Markéta Vondroušová vs Ons Jabeur Odds & Picks
Odds for This Matchup
Jabeur is the clear betting favorite here, and with good reason, although that isn’t to discredit the play of Vondroušová. The pressure, however, is on Jabeur as she is in a Wimbledon final for the second consecutive year while still trying to become the first Arab woman to win a Grand Slam. She won’t get many better chances in her career than the Jabeur vs. Vondroušová odds give her.
Jabeur has dropped the first set in both of her last two matches and three of her last four matches. She should have a better start against Vondroušová, but it’s not unlikely that she’ll once again drop the first set. Expect a back-and-forth, three-set affair in which Jabeur ultimately wins and makes history.
Interestingly, Jabeur won the opening set in last year’s final against Rybakina before losing the next two to let her first Grand Slam title slip away. She’s clearly been better at playing from behind this weekend.
- A 2-1 Jabeur set victory is paying out +120 at most sportsbooks.