Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Longhorns Betting Preview
Texas Has to Be Exhausted After Last Week
Oklahoma State is 5-0 and up to #12 in the country in the AP Top 25, but they are by no means a sure thing in Week 7. In fact, the Cowboys are +4 point underdogs when they visit the Texas Longhorns on Saturday.
OSU might not be a bad play for moneyline betting in this spot, with Bovada having the Cowboys at +160 and BetUS having slightly more value at +165. Texas (4-2) is no slouch as they put up 48 points last week – the major problem with that being the fact they allowed 55 in the Red River Showdown loss.
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Have to Admire OSU’s Consistency
Oklahoma State has kept things pretty much in the same realm scoring-wise in each of their five games this season. OSU has scored between 21-31 points in all five games this season while also allowing no less than 16 and no more than 23 points in each contest as well.
Texas is almost the exact opposite as OSU, which makes totals betting on the 60 number tough to call for this contest. The Longhorns and Sooners combined for 103 points last week – with Texas putting up 48+ for the third time in the last four weeks.
Oklahoma State would like to think they’re able to clamp down a bit more on defense than the rival Sooners did last week against Texas. OSU is off to a solid start on defense, allowing just 18.6 ppg, which is 25th in the country, and giving up 91 rush yards/game, which is 11th best in the nation.
Mike Gundy’s team would also like to think they have the offense to keep up with the +5 point betting line if this contest does indeed morph into a high-scoring matchup. Jaylen Warren ran for 125 yards and 2 TD to lead the 24-14 win over Baylor last week, and Spencer Sanders threw for 344 and 2 TD the game prior in a win over Kansas State.
Texas Offense Not a Concern
The Longhorns made a QB switch after their 40-21 loss to Arkansas in week two and have averaged an astonishing 52 ppg in the four games since. Obviously, the new signal-caller Casey Thompson is a big part of that offensive explosion, and the Junior has 11 TD passes in the last three games alone.
Thompson looks to be a star in the making, but there’s also somebody making his job much easier. Opposing defenses are focusing on stopping Bijan Robinson, and the Texas RB has still rushed for 780 yards and 8 TD so far on the NCAAF season. Robinson has rambled for 120+ in four straight games but is also up against an Oklahoma State team that is 3rd in the Big 12 in rush defense (91.0 ypg).
The Longhorns drive sportsbooks mad in trying to set betting lines for totals wagering. Texas allowed 35+ points for the third time in the last five games last week as Oklahoma ran for 339 yards and also threw for 323. In Texas’ other loss earlier in the year, Arkansas had 333 yards on the ground, so that is definitely a problem area for Steve Sarkisian’s team.
Oklahoma State at Texas Pick
Texas was able to go to Stillwater and come home with a 41-34 OT win even though Oklahoma State was ranked #6 in the nation at the time. Sanders had 400 yards and four TD passes for the Cowboys in that game, so he knows how to perform in this matchup.
Ultimately, it wouldn’t be surprising if Texas came out flat in this one after the Red River Showdown – even though they are at home.
Pick: Oklahoma State +4