UFC Fight Night 213 is taking place in the UFC APEX in Las Vegas on October 29th. Headlining the main card will be a featherweight bout between Calvin Kattar (23-6) and Arnold Allen (18-1). This is a matchup between a division standout and a rising star where one fighter will emerge one step closer to a title shot.
Calvin Kattar vs. Arnold Allen Match Info
Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada
Date: October 29, 2022
Time: Main card starts at 7 PM ET
TV: ESPN, ESPN+
Calvin Kattar vs. Arnold Allen Odds
BetOnline has Calvin Kattar as the slight betting underdog, with odds at +100 going into this main event bout. Arnold Allen is the favorite at -120. BetOnline also has over 30 prop bets to make plays on for this fight, including the over/under set at 4.5 rounds.
Betting Trends
In 2022, underdogs from +100 to +150 are over .500 winning percentage.
The last two times that Kattar has been the underdog, he has lost.
Arnold Allen had a similar near pick ‘em line against Dan Hooker this year, where he finished him in the first round.
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Betting on Calvin Kattar
Calvin Kattar has been a fun fighter to watch over the years in the UFC. His durability and slick boxing skills keep his fights entertaining and hard to look away from. Kattar has fought his way to the top of the featherweight division and will look for a big win to keep his journey going steady.
Arguably, Kattar won his last fight against top contender Josh Emmett. But this is just another chance for the New Englander to be in the main event against another top contender. Allen will give Kattar a new challenge and should make him step up to the challenge this weekend.
When betting on Kattar, we know he is durable, will walk forward for all 25 minutes, and will slowly break down his opponents in these 5-round fights. Kattar was made for these main event fights with his style and pace. This alone makes him a great fighter to pick in a moment like this.
Look for Kattar to drop an early round or two, and then it’ll seem like he is getting better as the minutes and later rounds pass. This is something he loves doing because he can make up for a slow start with his boxing skills and the way he uses his eyes and pressure to find openings.
Betting on Arnold Allen
Arnold Allen is one of the UK’s biggest rising stars, with tons of support from his home crowd. With this being a significant change and new opportunity for him, there has to be question marks on how he will do in the main event of a UFC card in Las Vegas.
Allen is an elite fighter with great all-around skills in every part of MMA. At a young age, he still fights with a stoic mental state that looks like he is well ahead of his time. With superb technique mixed in with that, he will be a challenging puzzle to solve for years to come.
He needs this fight to be a much cleaner, more technical fight than usual to come out victorious. Allen needs to keep Kattar at kicking range and land leg and front kicks to keep his space from Kattar’s deadly elbows or wrestling attacks in the later rounds.
A win over Kattar would put Allen in a top 5 ranking, with a title eliminator bout most likely in his near future. The UFC will gladly have another UK contender in the cards to set up huge fights overseas in 2023.
Kattar vs. Allen Picks and Predictions
- Moneyline Analysis
The moneyline is a little surprising with where the line is set in most sportsbooks. Kattar is a must for this matchup if you can get him at plus odds. He has too much experience and is too dangerous over 25 minutes to bet against him with that value.
He has a different kind of mentality that not even very many fighters have. Kattar will surely test the heart of Allen and see if he is ready for the top 5 of the featherweight division. With the constant pressure and sneaky wrestling of Kattar, this is a pretty easy pick.
Even putting the styles and natures of the fighters aside, the physical attributes are in Kattar’s favor too. On Saturday night, he will be the bigger and sturdier fighter in the octagon.
- Over/Under Analysis
With Kattar and Allen not having many finishes lately in the UFC, the over 4.5 rounds seems to be the pick here. But there really isn’t crazy value for that extra 2.5 minutes of the fight, and we have seen some wild things happen in main events this year.
The under at plus odds seems to be the play here if you are going to even look at the over/under. This is a situation where I would stay away from this prop bet because it is too unpredictable with a 5 round fight between two killers.
Along with all this, we saw Allen get hurt and kind of dropped by a hurt Dan Hooker in the last fight. You would think a clean elbow to the chin by Kattar would be able to get Allen out of there at any given moment.
- Best Bet
After reviewing all aspects of this matchup and breaking down the styles and old film of both these fighters, the best bet is the Kattar moneyline.
You won’t get Kattar at plus odds against someone that doesn’t have his same level of experience again. He is an absolute dog in the octagon and will do whatever it takes to win.
With the confidence Kattar probably has going up against a young fighter who doesn’t know how it feels to be dragged into deep waters yet, he is going to ride that wave and make sure Allen remembers this fight.
Go get Kattar while he is still +100, and you can sneak one over on the oddsmakers. This will be a very exciting, highly competitive mixed martial arts bout with a little bit of everything in the mix.
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