With UFC APEX events still going strong with a minimal live audience, this is the perfect fight to watch in that atmosphere. Two MMA masters in a chess match, along with big power in their hands. Marvin Vettori will look to get back into title contention with an impressive performance, while Jared Cannonier is there to do literally the same thing.
Who will be the better man on Saturday night? Read along for a betting analysis and official Vettori vs Cannonier picks ahead of making bets this weekend.
UFC: Vettori vs Cannonier Betting Trends
- Marvin Vettori is 3-2 in his last 5 appearances in the UFC octagon.
- Jared Cannonier is 3-2 in his last 5 UFC appearances, losing to the same guys as Vettori in that span.
- Vettori has been the betting underdog in only 3 of his last 15 bouts.
- Cannonier has been the betting underdog in 50% of his UFC fights.
- Vettori only has 2 TKO/KO finishes and 9 submissions in his pro-MMA career.
- Cannonier has finished 12 of his 16 career victories.
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How To Bet on Vettori vs Cannonier
Before you get to the Vettori vs Cannonier picks, you have to put in the work for finding the best bets to make. Make sure you take the time to look into both Vettori and Cannonier and their recent careers, before a big fight like this.
After you learn more about the individual fighters, scan through your local sportsbooks to see what the betting lines are looking like. In this case, Vettori is the slight betting favorite with UFC odds at -125, compared to Cannonier’s +105 ML.
To see if there are any better lines available, look through all the prop bets for the fights you want to put money on. The most interesting line in this main event is the over 4.5 total rounds being -250 to hit. The under is +200. How do these two powerful men not have a better chance of finishing the fight?
Cannonier winning by TKO/KO at +265 is the biggest bet you can justify making this weekend during this main event bout. Cannonier is one of the most dangerous strikers in MMA; he just needs to believe it when he’s in the octagon.
Vettori vs Cannonier Betting Picks
After breaking down all the analytics and the betting trends of this main event matchup on Saturday night, it’s time for a technical explanation for the Vettori vs Cannonier picks. This is a very close fight. Both guys have seen what it feels like to be on top of the division, and both have lost to Israel Adesanya on the biggest stage. Both seemed like they didn’t step up to the occasion.
In the perfect world, both Vettori and Cannonier will realize their potential and go into this fight with a much different style than usual. But we have to assume these two will still be the very calculated fighter they both are.
The striking advantage immediately goes to Cannonier. Vettori has shown a lot of improvement in his boxing skills, but they are still minimal compared to Cannonier in the kickboxing range. The powerful kicks to body and arms that Cannonier throws can really change the course of a fight.
Vettori is going to try to wrestle to steal rounds on the scorecards, but sometimes we see him not even get there because of his hesitancy of getting hit early in the fight. To win this fight, Vettori needs to bite down on the mouthpiece and get on the inside of Cannonier. But the truth is, Cannonier is also a very solid grappler that sticks to the basics and defends takedowns very well. He showed a lot of skill against Derek Brunson a couple of years back.
The official prediction is that Cannonier will control the fight for all 25 minutes. We would love to see a finish, but that’s just too risky to put money on, knowing how these two have been fighting the last few years. The Cannonier money line is plenty valuable and a great pick to make.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
BetOnline: Cannonier +105
Bovada: Cannonier +105
MyBookie: Cannonier -105
BetUS: Cannonier +100
DraftKings: Cannonier +105
SportBet: Cannonier -123
FanDuel: Cannonier -104
Bonus! Other Fights Worth Placing a Bet On
UFC on ESPN 47 Co-Main Event: Arman Tsarukyan (-1000) vs Joaquim Silva (+700)
- This one has very confusing odds for how good of a fighter Joaquim Silva is. Yes, Tsarukyan is a very talented fighter, but MMA is way too unpredictable to have a -1000 favorite on the main card of a UFC event. BetOnline has very different odds for the under 2.5 rounds right now; take a look at that. Even if this pick isn’t a longshot +700, you can get +315 for the favorite to win a decision.
UFC on ESPN 47 Main Card Bout: Nikolas Motta (+158) vs Manuel Torres (-183)
- This is an awesome fight between two lightweight prospects that earned their way into the UFC with great performances on DWCS. Motta is a tough Brazilian with power in his hands and a never-ending gas tank. Torres is the bigger, more powerful striker with the Mexican fighting spirit clearly inside of him. This is going to be a fight-of-the-night favorite this weekend, but the slight edge is going to Manuel Torres.
Bellator 297 Co-Main Event: Sergio Pettis (+136) vs Patricio Freire (-156)
- Outside of the UFC this weekend, this is the fight to watch. Patricio ‘Pitbull’ is attempting to make MMA history by being the first-ever champion at three different weight classes. Going down to bantamweight is very risky at his stage of his career, but his skills and power will translate well. This is a great fight for Bellator MMA with two guys that have historic careers and big brothers that helped pave the way in MMA for not only them, but a lot of other fighters today as well.
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