The UFC is back yet again for a UFC Vegas event held at the APEX. This weekend’s main event bout will be between two top-ranked heavyweights. The red-hot Sergei Pavlovich will meet the always dangerous Curtis Blaydes in the octagon, with title elimination implications. Read further for an in-depth look at this heavyweight bout, along with the other fights you should think about betting on UFC this weekend. Get ready for the fights with our Pavlovich vs Blaydes Betting Analysis.
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UFC: Sergei Pavlovich vs Curtis Blaydes Betting Trends
- Sergei Pavlovich is 5-0 in his last five UFC bouts.
- Curtis Blaydes is 4-1 in his last five appearances.
- Pavlovich is the betting underdog for the first time in his career this weekend.
- Blaydes has been the betting favorite in every single UFC fight, outside of his last bout against Tom Aspinall.
- Pavlovich hasn’t gotten out of the first round in his UFC career, averaging less than three minutes inside the octagon.
- Blaydes, even though he is a wrestler, has 12 career finishes –all KOs.
How to Bet on Sergei Pavlovich vs Curtis Blaydes
If you are deciding to place bets on this weekend’s UFC schedule, make sure you are putting in the proper amount of research before finalizing your betting slate. In this main event bout, there are a few things to keep in mind.
Pavlovich and Blaydes are two massive heavyweights. Knowing this, along with the UFC issuing four-ounce gloves to fighters, there is a high chance of a knockout happening. The heavyweight division, especially at the highest level, is full of knockouts.
The betting lines for this main event are very interesting. Pavlovich is one of the most dominant, red-hot contenders on the whole UFC roster, and he is the underdog against a guy that hasn’t fought in a real fight in over a year.
Make sure you look at both the analytical side of this bout, and study the film of each fighter. If you keep yourself embedded in the sport of MMA, your betting success will correlate with the effort you put in.
Pavlovich stands out on the stat sheet; the Rostov, Russia native, has 14 career KO victories. Fittingly, he averages barely over two minutes per fight in the octagon and has an average of 8.07 significant strikes landed per minute.
On the other side, Blaydes sticks out on the stat sheet in the wrestling department. The UFC veteran has averaged over six takedowns landed per 15 minutes in his UFC career.
When looking at this matchup from a technical standpoint, it’s clear what both men will try to do on Saturday night. Blaydes is a purebred wrestler that will continue to use that as his main weapon. His wrestling got him to where he is; he better not get away from it now.
Pavlovich will be focused on defending takedowns and looking for any possible opportunity to land clean shots. He has the kind of power that can end the fight from a seemingly half-powered hammer fist when Blaydes has a hold of one of his legs.
Sergei Pavlovich vs Curtis Blaydes Betting Picks
While breaking down both the analytical and the technical side of this fight, you can’t help but be blown away by Sergei Pavlovich. He has been so dominant and terrifying for every opponent he has been in the octagon with so far.
After losing his debut against the living-legend Alistair Overeem, Pavlovich hasn’t lost. Staying active and finishing a few UFC veterans has put Pavlovich in a position to fight for a title after a good performance this weekend.
The best pick to make is Pavlovich’s moneyline this weekend. Getting him at +150 feels like a steal. You can even get Pavlovich winning inside the distance for +170 to boost those UFC odds. It’s almost guaranteed that this fight doesn’t go the distance, especially if Pavlovich is on the winning side.
With Pavlovich’s power in his hands and his physical strength paired with his wrestling ability, this feels like a very tough matchup for Blaydes. Also, Blaydes has shown in the past that he hasn’t been able to get over the hump to a title shot. It’s tough to bet with him when he hasn’t proved he can win the big ones.
To be more exact with our Pavlovich vs Blaydes Betting Analysis, our final prediction is going to be a first-round KO for Pavlovich. He will keep the momentum going and try to excite Jon Jones just enough to earn that big title fight against the GOAT.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
BetOnline: Pavlovich +150
Bovada: Pavlovich +140
BetUS: Pavlovich +140
DraftKings: Pavlovich +135
Betway: Pavlovich +140
Pinnacle: Pavlovich +139
Bonus! Other Fights Worth Placing a Bet On
UFC Vegas co-main: Yadong Song (+125) vs Ricky Simon (-145)
This is a great scrap in the bantamweight division–two young rising prospects looking to break into the top of the toughest division in the UFC.
Simon has been on fire lately, and Yadong is a very talented kid coming off a hard-fought loss to the great Cory Sandhagen. Watch for some high-level grappling scrambles and violent striking exchanges.
UFC Vegas main card: Brad Tavares (-180) vs Bruno Silva (+155)
Another razor-thin matchup between two tough veterans of the middleweight division. This is the sleeper pick for fight-of-the-night this weekend.
Both of these guys have granite chins and love to exchange shots in the pocket. This will be a fan favorite, especially being able to hear it all in the APEX.
UFC Vegas main card: Jared Gordon (+215) vs Bobby Green (-255)
This is another sleeper fight-of-the-night contender for this weekend’s event.
Gordon has gained a solid group of fans after his latest performance against Paddy Pimblett, and Green is a fan favorite due to his unique style and incredible performances. This will be a big test for Gordon if he wants to stand in front of Green all night.
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