The UFC is back again for the 70th installment of UFC Fight Night at the APEX in Las Vegas. In the main event bout, top 10 light heavyweights Nikita Krylov and Ryan Spann are set to clash over five rounds of MMA action. Both fighters are looking to win and move up into the top-5 of a division that is absolutely on fire right now in the UFC.
Let’s take a deep dive into this main event matchup and the betting analysis and prediction for Krylov vs Spann in Vegas this weekend.
Whether you are just getting into sports betting in the UFC or not, this is the place to do your pre-event reading.
UFC: Nikita Krylov vs Ryan Spann Betting Trends
- Nikita Krylov has won his last two fights. A KO over Alex Gustafsson and a decision over Volkan Oezdemir
- Ryan Spann has also won two fights in a row, both first-round finishes over Ion Cutelaba and Dominick Reyes.
- Krylov has now been the betting favorite in four-straight fights.
- Spann has an incredible run of six-straight scheduled bouts, with himself being the betting underdog according to betting lines.
- Krylov has 27 finishes; 12 KOs, and 15 submissions.
- Spann has 18 finishes; 6 KOs, and 12 submissions.
How To Bet on Nikita Krylov vs Ryan Spann
Major sportsbooks have the odds in Krylov’s favor by having him be the -170 betting favorite this weekend over the +145 underdog Spann.
When you are planning on betting on the UFC, make sure you do the proper research needed to be successful.
Break down the styles of both fighters, their recent career trends, how their fights usually play out, and any other information you can possibly use in your favor. The sport of MMA is already impossibly unpredictable as is, so you need to make it easier for yourself.
An event like UFC in Vegas 70 is actually the perfect place to start. There isn’t much star power in the lineup, so you won’t have many outside forces or fandom impacting your decision-making while creating your weekend betting slate.
This is going to be an exciting light-heavyweight matchup. Both men are very large and have long limbs. This gives them both great power in their striking, and it helps them lock up submissions. Both Krylov and Spann have the ability to end the fight within seconds.
In fact, Krylov started his professional MMA career with 17 straight first-round finishes. Fifteen of those were in his favor, but he got arm-bar’d twice by the same guy in an Eastern Europe promotion.
The most interesting betting line to take a look at for this one is the over/under being set at 1.5 rounds, with the under being in minus odds. This shows you how dangerous both these guys are; the oddsmakers don’t even think this fight will last two rounds.
Nikita Krylov vs Ryan Spann Betting Picks
After breaking down both fighters and knowing how dangerous both guys are, you can’t really pick a winner easily. Both Krylov and Spann have the ability to literally end the fight within seconds of engaging with each other.
The pick of the night will be Krylov vs Spann to go over 1.5 total rounds. The over is set in plus-odds all around the world at major sportsbooks, and that looks like the perfect route to take. Let’s root for a main event that is worth the wait and for both of these fighters to hang in there for more than 1.5 rounds.
The reasoning behind this pick is not only because of how difficult it is to take a moneyline here; it is mostly because of the respect both men will have for each other. The biggest fight of their lives up to this point, the whole first round, is going to be a feeling-out process.
With the respect and the feeling-out process that will take place early, it gives me the confidence that these two big boys won’t be doing serious damage until a little past the 7.5-minute mark of the fight. The last time Krylov rushed too much against a solid submission specialist, he got triangled by Paul Craig.
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Top Sportsbooks Odds
BetOnline: Over 1.5 rounds +120
Bovada: Over 1.5 rounds +120
BetUS: Over 1.5 rounds +120
DraftKings: Over 1.5 rounds +125
Betway: Over 1.5 rounds +110
Pinnacle: Over 1.5 rounds +128
Bonus! Other Fights Worth Placing a Bet On
UFC Middleweights: Andre Muniz (-235) vs Brendan Allen (+200)
This is going to be an awesome co-main event bout to set the table for the main event. Both men are very powerful and able to finish the fight in a lot of different ways. We have the veteran world-class grappler in Muniz going up against the young, tough American wrestler in Brendan Allen.
UFC Heavyweights: Augusto Sakai (-122) vs Don’Tale Mayes (+102)
Both of these fighters are massive humans with a lot of bad intentions in the octagon. Sakai gets his first fight that isn’t involving a top-5 heavyweight talent and will be looking to showcase his skills. Mayes is a big dude with a lot of power in his hands. Don’t expect this one to see the scorecards.
UFC Women’s Flyweights: Tatiana Suarez (-800) vs Montana De La Rosas (+550)
This is the “lock of the night” if you are betting on the fights. Suarez is going to be a top-5 talent in this division, and this is her tune-up return fight from battling injuries the last couple of years.
