Odds, predictions and Picks

  • According to MMA betting trends, Tom Aspinall has only been an underdog one time in the UFC. That was his last bout against Volkov, and the odds trended -29.5% to have him at a slight favorite right before fight night.
  • This fight will be the first time Curtis Blaydes is an underdog in his UFC career. His most valuable moneyline odds before this bout was back in 2016 against the current champ, Francis Ngannou, at -152 during fight week.
  • This matchup started out as a pick ‘em fight, but has since had a 8.7% change, with Aspinall being the -130 favorite.

At UFC London on July 23, the main event bout will be between two top 6 heavyweights in Curtis Blaydes (16-3) and Tom Aspinall (12-2). Aspinall is going to headline his second event in a row at The O2 Arena in London.

Both of these men now have experience in this spotlight and are both in the primes of their career. This is a massive opportunity for both to be put into the front of the line for a title shot in the near future.

This is an interesting matchup between two elite fighters. Tom Aspinall really hasn’t faced anybody with the wrestling pedigree that Blaydes possesses.

It will be a true test in both men’s complete skill set in the sport of mixed martial arts in front of a rowdy UK crowd inside London’s O2 Arena. The last UFC London event was a historic night, and this weekend will undoubtedly be able to compare in every way.

Blaydes vs. Aspinall Odds

Curtis Blaydes+110
Tom Aspinall-130

These odds are very interesting in the MMA betting world. Blaydes has more UFC experience and has faced more dangerous fighters in the octagon, but he is the underdog in this one.

With Tom Aspinall being at -130, that means that you need to bet $130 to get a $100 return if he wins on Saturday. The +110 for Curtis Blaydes means that you can get a $110 return on a $100 bet. Oddsmakers do a lot of research and work into setting these odds.

Top Sportsbooks Odds

  • BetOnline: Blaydes +110, Aspinall -130
  • Bovada: Blaydes +110, Aspinall -130
  • MyBookie: Blaydes +105, Aspinall -135
  • BetUS: Blaydes +100, Aspinall -130

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Blaydes vs. Aspinall Betting Preview

Curtis Blaydes

Blaydes has been at the top of the UFC heavyweight division for a while at this point. He always seems to be one fight away from a title shot but has not quite gotten there yet. With some of the most vicious wrestling and ground and pound in the UFC, he will always be dangerous to any fighter he faces inside the octagon.

He has massive victories over guys like Mark Hunt, Alistair Overeem, and Junior Dos Santos. The hiccup in his title run was the upset KO loss to Derrick Lewis in a fight where he was actually a big favorite. 

Look for Blaydes to go back to his wrestling attack that he is most comfortable with. His last bout was a statement to the fans that think he couldn’t strike and knock someone out; he butchers Daukus on the feet and ended an exciting fight night event with a spectacular finish.

I think in this one, he will respect how dangerous Aspinall is in the boxing range and look for takedowns to stay in the win column.

Tom Aspinall

Tom Aspinall is one of the most exciting young fighters in the UFC. His calm demeanor and humble personality has kept him under the radar for a lot of UFC fans over the last year or two, but his last performance in London in front of a sold-out crowd really put his name on the map.

He is a true well-rounded mixed martial artist. Great movement and quickness, great ground game, and a fight IQ second to none.

He is undoubtedly ready for this next test, and the way he stays present and focused on the task at hand gives me great confidence in his abilities to be a champion one day.

This will be Aspinal’s biggest fight to date, and he is 100% okay with that. He truly wants to fight all the best that the UFC has to offer him and really earn his gold strap.

The spotlight has grown for him over the last year, and the way he has handled it is truly textbook, and all young fighters should learn from him, especially with this new wave of fighters that care a lot about fame and money. These things are good, but Aspinall has made a name for himself by keeping his head down and being the best fighter he can be.

As a fan watching, be ready for a very exciting performance of elite martial arts. 

Injury Report

Both fighters have spoken about having great camps leading up to this weekend. No injuries have been made public.

Blaydes vs. Aspinall Picks and Predictions

The oddsmakers did a great job with this matchup. Both fighters have value in picking them to come out victorious in this one, and it will be a very evenly matched fight.

My prediction is that Aspinall will amaze the MMA community yet again on Saturday in London. I believe he is going to prove to be way too much for Blaydes to handle on the feet, and when Blaydes shoots for takedowns, Aspinall’s true well-rounded fighting skill will be on full display.

I think Aspinall is better in all aspects of MMA and will have a spectacular finish before the bell sounds to start round 4. 

Look to play a prop bet that has Aspinall finishing Blaydes. Aspinall to win by TKO/KO is +180 at BetOnline. I think Aspinall can catch Blaydes coming in for a clinch with an elbow or even submit him on his back. That is how much confidence I have in making a play on him.

He is an absolute beast that is only just entering his prime and seems to get better and better every time I see him; that is including his physical and mental health.

The Pick: Tom Aspinall to win -130

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