The UFC schedule is back in South Beach this weekend, with UFC 287 set to take place at Miami-Dade Arena this Saturday for an absolutely stacked night of fights.

The main event is going to be the rematch of Alex Pereira and Israel Adesanya, with the UFC middleweight title on the line.

Will Adesanya take his spot on the throne back? Or will Pereira end up with his hand raised for the fourth time against Adesanya in combat sports?

Read further on for a full Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya Betting analysis and prediction on this historic event.

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  • Alex Pereira is 5-0 in his last five MMA fights.
  • Israel Adesanya is 4-1 in his last five fights against opponents not named Alex Pereira.  
  • Pereira is the betting underdog, even though he beat Adesanya in their last fight. This is the third straight fight he is the underdog in.
  • Adesanya is the slight favorite in the rematch; he has never been an underdog in his MMA career.
  • Pereira has six TKO/KO finishes in his seven career wins. Has gotten finished once. 
  • Adesanya has 15 TKO/KO finishes over his 25 career fights. He was finished for the first time in his career against Pereira last year.

How To Bet on Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya

Before placing bets on this main event and other fights on the UFC 287 card, please make sure to do the proper research needed to make your picks. MMA is a sport where you can lose your money very fast if you make picks based on fandom or “gut feelings.”

Once you become more knowledgeable and embedded into the sport and community, you will be able to trust your gut on more decisions. Let’s break down how to bet on UFC before this exciting clash.

Pereira has Adesanya’s number –plain and simple. He beat ‘The Last Stylebender’ twice in GLORY kickboxing, and now he took Adesanya’s belt in the UFC. This might be a major issue with most fighters, but Adesanya seems primed and ready to go hunt down the champion.

The dynamic of this fight is so interesting that it’s a lot more than just numbers when betting on it. Pereira literally only has seven real fights in MMA and doesn’t have the sample size to really break down any of his UFC stats.

You can find all you need to know by watching their last meeting. That fight is on YouTube, and if you watch it back, it will be clear to see who the better fighter was for the majority of that fight.

It was a beautiful chess game with both men trying to take turns putting pressure on each other, getting the other on their back foot. Adesanya was trying to cruise to a decision victory in the 5th round, but when someone with the power of Pereira goes all-out, it is tough to avoid that left hook.

The moneyline is razor close, and all the prop bets are just too difficult to tell what the best bet is. The bet to make is probably on the moneyline, with both sides being plenty valuable.

Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya Betting Picks

After looking at all the available lines for this main event matchup, there are a few that stick out to me.

First off, you have to know that the only method of victory that seems plausible for Pereira is another KO. His left hook should just be called the ‘touch of death’ because it seems like it puts everyone it touches out.

Pereira winning by TKO/KO at +165 is the bet to make if you are on his side.

Our betting prediction is going to be that Israel Adesanya gets his hand raised at the end of the night. You don’t want to sweat out the over 4.5 rounds with these two in there exchanging heavy shots, so the Adesanya moneyline seems like the perfect pick.

Adesanya is just flat-out the better mixed martial artist. Yes, Pereira has one of the best “great equalizers” we have seen in the middleweight division, but at some point, you have to go with who the best fighter is. 

There is also a chance the weight cut doesn’t go well for Pereira, knowing that he is literally bigger than some heavyweights during training camp. 

The bottom line is that Adesanya is the more skilled fighter, and it looks like he has been wrestling a lot in this training camp leading up to this weekend. Be ready to see Adesanya putting pressure on Pereira nonstop for five rounds and try to break the Brazilian champion’s will.

Top Sportsbooks Odds

BetOnline: Adesanya -137

Bovada: Adesanya -130

BetUS: Adesanya -140

DraftKings: Adesanya -135

Bonus! Other Fights Worth Placing a Bet On

UFC 287 Co-Main Event: Welterweights Gilbert Burns (-425) vs Jorge Masvidal (+325)

  • This could be a stand-alone PPV main event with how massive of a star Masvidal is, along with the rising stardom of Burns. This is going to be a tough matchup for Masvidal, but you can’t count him out in front of his home crowd in Miami.

UFC 287 Main Card: Rob Font (+160) vs Adrian Yanez (-185)

  • Another great matchup that could easily be a main event for a Fight Night card. Font is the tough veteran with slick boxing coming out of the Northeast, going up against the young, flashy striker out of the Southwest, Adrian Yanez. What a clash of styles that is surely going to be a contender for the fight of the night.

UFC 287 Feature Prelim: Kelvin Gastelum (-120) vs Chris Curtis (+100)

  • To prove how stacked this event is, here is a fight on the prelims that would easily be a Fight Night main event. UFC veteran against the newcomer rising contender in the middleweight division. A great clash of styles, with the tough, experienced Gastelum going up against the exciting style of Christ Curtis. This is a massive fight for Gastelum to stay relevant in the top 10 of the division.

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