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Odds, Picks and Predictions

The Baltimore Orioles (58-52) travel to Boston to take on the Red Sox (54-58) on Thursday for this game between AL East rivals. Thursday’s matchup will be a single game played in Boston. The teams will go their separate ways for the weekend. 

The Red Sox enter this game having dropped four in a row. Boston made a small run in June, which had Red Sox fans excited. But the wheels fell off in July, and they now sit in last place in the AL East. 

Meanwhile, the Orioles are trending in a completely opposite direction. They most recently defeated the Blue Jays and have won three of their past four games overall. Baltimore is proving that they are a contender this year. 

Nobody would have guessed that the Orioles would have had a better year than the Red Sox. But that is exactly what is occurring. The Red Sox will aim to humble Baltimore on Thursday. However, it won’t be easy given Baltimore’s recent stretch of impressive all-around play. 

The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM EST on Thursday, August 11, at Fenway Park in Boston, MA. 

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Info

Location: Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Date: Thursday, August 11, 2022

Time: 9:40 PM EST

TV: MLB.TV, NESN, MASN

Top Sportsbooks Odds

  • Yahoo: Red Sox -1.5

Betonline and BetUS’s odds have not yet been released.

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Betting Trends

  • The Baltimore Orioles are a league-leading 72-38 against the run line so far this season. 
  • The Boston Red Sox are 56-56 against the run line so far this year.
  • The Orioles are 35-21 against the run line when playing on the road. 
  • The Red Sox are 24-31 against the run line when playing at their home ballpark. 
  • Baltimore is 64-30 against the run line as an underdog this year. 
  • Boston is 26-33 against the run line as a favorite this year.

Betting on Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles are playing an impressive brand of baseball right now. Despite trading Trey Mancini and Jorge Lopez ahead of the trade deadline, Baltimore has continued to defy the odds. They are in the mix for the AL Wild card at the moment. 

Will Baltimore hold on and actually earn a playoff spot? It still seems unlikely. But counting this team out hasn’t paid off for many this season. 

And the same truth can be applied to their betting statistics. Baltimore is an incredible 72-38 against the run line in 2022. They are no stranger being underdogs, but they have continuously upset the odds. 

And once again, the Orioles find themselves as underdogs heading into Boston. So can they get the job done once again?

Baltimore will send Dean Kremer (4-3, 3.43) to the mound. Kremer is quickly emerging as one of the most underrated pitchers in the game. He’s been a massive reason for the Orioles’ success this year. 

Kremer will aim to lead the Orioles to yet another upset victory in this Thursday night ball game.

Betting on Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox are enduring a disappointing 2022 campaign, to say the least. Between injuries and underperformance, it has been a season to forget in Boston.

After coming up just short in the ALCS last year, the Red Sox entered 2022 with high aspirations. But their pitching crumbled, which has been the main reason for their downfall. 

On the season, Boston is just 25th in team ERA, 24th in WHIP, 21st in home runs allowed, and 24th in batting average against. 

The Red Sox have hit the ball fairly well. Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers have led the team’s offensive charge. But their inability to keep runs off the board has proven costly. 

From a betting perspective, the Red Sox have been about as mediocre as it gets. Their 56-56 against the run line record makes them a risky team to place bets on because you never know what you are going to get. 

But this is a Red Sox team with the ability to pull out victories. Their lineup can lead them to a win in any game. But can Boston cover the run line in this game? 

The Red Sox will send Josh Winckowski (5-5, 4.68) to the mound on Thursday. He’s been underwhelming in 2022.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Can the Orioles upset the odds once again? Or is Boston destined to put them in their place and take care of business in this contest?

From a pitching perspective, the Orioles hold an advantage; Dean Kremer has been an unsung hero for this Baltimore club in 2022. Meanwhile, Winckowski has been average at best… and even that is generous. 

But Kremer could run into trouble against the Red Sox lineup. However, Boston’s offense is dealing with a plethora of various injuries. So Kremer won’t have as much of a challenge against Boston. 

Nonetheless, pitching at Fenway Park is never an easy task as a visitor. 

But in this game, I believe it will be the Orioles’ offense that steals headlines. Players such as Anthony Santander and Jorge Mateo have stepped up in major ways for this lineup. They have helped the O’s consistently score just enough runs despite their overall lack of depth. 

Ryan Mountcastle, Adley Rutschman, and Austin Hays have been vital pieces to the puzzle as well. 

Look for the Orioles to score a ton of runs and provide Kremer with an ample amount of run support. 

A couple of months ago, taking the Orioles over the Red Sox with your betting selection would have seemed foolish. But here in mid-August, that is exactly what I am advising to do. 

Go ahead and roll with this red-hot Orioles ball club on Thursday.

The Picks: 

  • Bet on the Baltimore Orioles with your moneyline betting selection. 
  • Take the over on the implied run total. 
  • Roll with the Baltimore Orioles +1.5 to upset the odds on the run line.

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