Tuesday brings the final day of play in Group E on the soccer schedule for the 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup. Both the United States and Portugal have paths to the knockout round, depending on what happens in the Netherlands vs. Vietnam game, kicking off at the same time. The American side enters the final group game in first place on goal differential but will miss out on a knockout round berth for the first time ever if they lose and the Netherlands win or draw.
On the Women’s World Cup odds, the USA is still favored to win the championship, despite a lackluster draw against the Netherlands on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Portugal is not expected to make it to the knockout round as they will have to beat the US or get a draw and have heavily favored the Netherlands to lose to Vietnam.
The USWNT are yet to play their best at this tournament, but the Portugal vs USA odds are still heavily in favor of the two-time defending champions.
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Portugal vs. United States Odds & Picks
Moneyline: Looking at Portugal vs USA odds, the Americans are big favorites at -380 on the moneyline. Portugal is +1100 on the moneyline, and a draw is +470.
Total: The over/under line for total goals is set at over 2.5 at -118, and under 2.5 goals is -102.
Odds for this Matchup:
| Portugal | Draw | United States |
| +1100 | +470 | -380 |
Top Sportsbooks Odds
Betonline: USA -380. Portugal +1100. Draw +470
Bovada: USA -385. Portugal +1000. Draw +420
MyBookie: USA -370. Portugal +1100. Draw +480
BetUS: USA -375. Portugal +900. Draw +475
BetNow: USA -375. Portugal +1000. Draw +475
Overall Game Info & Outlook
Portugal vs United States
Location: Eden Park, Auckland, NZ
Date & Time: August 1st, 2023 – 3:00 a.m. ET
Where to watch: FOX
Portugal vs. USA Betting Preview
Portugal Preview
Unlike the experienced and successful US side, this is the first time Portugal has ever qualified for a Women’s World Cup. FIFA World Cup betting sites didn’t give them much of a chance to qualify out of a group that included both of the 2019 WWC finalists. However, a 1-0 loss to the Dutch and a convincing win over Vietnam have them in a position to pull a big upset and reach the knockout rounds.
The Portugal side came into the World Cup on a poor stretch. They qualified in February by beating Cameroon 2-1 with a stoppage-time penalty. After qualification, they lost friendlies to Japan and Norway while drawing against Wales and England and beating Ukraine.
- Portugal has allowed a goal in five of their last eight games.
- Portugal has never scored in 10 games against the USA.
- Portugal has never advanced out of the group stage at a major tournament, going 2-5-1 in their group games.
- Portugal has scored in 13 of their last 15 games, being shutout 1-0 by the Netherlands and 0-0 against England.
Portugal’s Ultimate Test: Can Mendes Lead Upset vs. US?
The two goals against Vietnam were scored by Telma Encarnacao and Francisca Nazareth, both in the first 21 minutes. They had 70% of the possession against Vietnam and outshot their opponents 29-5. Portugal was outshot by the Netherlands 12-2 with only one shot on goal.
Portugal has to play a flawless game to beat the US and pull off a big upset among soccer picks. Goalkeeper Ines Pereira, who has five saves so far in the tournament, will be tested early and often. The top scorer on their team, Carolina Mendes, came off the bench against Vietnam, and they need her, Ana Borges, and Diana Silva to provide threats in attack on Tuesday.
United States Preview
The United States are looking to be the first team in men’s or women’s World Cup history to win three straight titles. The team is a blend of youth players like Sophia Smith, Trinity Rodman, Savannah DeMelo, and Naomi Girma, along with veterans like Alex Morgan, Julie Ertz, Crystal Dunn, Alyssa Naeher, Lindsay Horan, and Megan Rapnioe.
Rose LaVelle was the only sub used in the 1-1 draw against the Netherlands, as Rapinoe didn’t play after coming off the bench against Vietnam. The United States had won 10 straight games dating back to a friendly 2-1 loss to Germany in November before the 1-1 draw against the Netherlands.
The goal allowed in the 17th minute against the Oranje was the first allowed in nearly 400 minutes, and they have outscored opponents 23-2 this year. Horan scored the equalizer on Wednesday in the 62nd minute, but the U.S. couldn’t grab the winner that most who bet on soccer expected.
- The USA trailed for the first time since November when the Netherlands scored first on Wednesday.
- The USA trailed in a World Cup game for the first time since 2011.
- The game against the Netherlands snapped a stretch where they had scored at least two goals in 10 straight WC games.
- The USA is 21-1-4 in group games in their World Cup history, with the only loss coming to Sweden in 2011.
- The USA is 10-0-0 all-time against Portugal, with 39 goals scored and zero allowed.
USWNT Dominates Shots, Awaits Morgan’s Breakthrough!
Smith and Horan have both scored twice thus far in the World Cup. They are two of 11 players so far in the tournament with at least two goals. The US has outshot its two opponents 46-5, and shots on goal are 11-1. They have also earned 21 corner kicks while allowing just one.
The US still seems to be missing something so far in the tournament, and they need to find it before the opposition steps up. To defeat Portugal on Tuesday, the US must improve their balance, having taken 46 shots with only 11 on goal. Morgan is yet to score in the tournament, and getting her going is the key to a deep run.
Recommended Pick
On Portugal vs USA odds, the top pick is to take the over 2.5 goals at -118. The USA moneyline at -380 lacks value, and Portugal winning outright would be a significant surprise.
- Pick: Over 2.5 goals -118
Both teams need to play wide-open to go after the win, and the Americans have more talent and experience, so a 3-0 or 3-1 scoreline would not be a surprise.
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