The final four teams in contention in the CONCACAF Nations League lock horns in Las Vegas this week, with the semi-finals being staged on Thursday before the final is competed at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday.
The fierce rivalry between the United States and Mexico makes up the most interesting semi-final in Nevada this week, as Mexico will be looking to gain revenge after losing to the USA in their last soccer matchup in the 2020 Nations League final.
It promises to be a thrilling showdown in the final four this week, and you can find the USA vs Mexico odds and picks for the clash below.
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USA vs Mexico Info & Outlook
USA vs Mexico
Date and Time: June 16, 2023. 10:00 PM ET
Location of the Match: Allegiant St, Las Vegas, NV
How to Watch: CBS
USA vs Mexico Betting Preview
USA Preview
The United States comes into the Nations League finals still in a period of transition, with B.J. Callaghan continuing in the role as interim head coach. However, Callaghan could firmly put himself in contention of taking over in a permanent capacity over the next two months… with the U.S. potentially having the opportunity to land two massive pieces of silverware.
The Americans have previous success in the Nations League, as they landed the inaugural honor two years ago. However, the tournament is likely to be seen as a secondary tournament this summer, with the opening match of the CONCACAF Gold Cup looming large.
The team will need to get back on track after a disappointing end to their World Cup in 2022, as they couldn’t make it past the opening knockout round after being beaten by the Netherlands. Performances since the FIFA World Cup have also been slightly indifferent. With a defeat against Serbia and nervy draws against Colombia and Mexico played out. However, when the pressure has been on in these regional tournaments. The U.S. has so often raised its performance levels to the standard required to get over the line.
Mexico Preview
Mexico will be out for revenge against the U.S. in the Nations League this year after suffering an agonizing defeat in the final of the tournament two years ago. However, the nation also finds themselves in a period of transition ahead of hosting the next World Cup alongside the U.S. and Canada. Mexico’s World Cup campaign was also a disappointment, as they crashed out in the group stage, winning just once against Saudi Arabia when the pressure was off.
Since then, they are yet to reach their top level of performance, despite winning two of their last five matches. However, three of the clashes over that period have ended in draws, including a 2-2 tie against Jamaica on home soil in late March. Mexico will come into this semi-final after a recent international friendly, but yet again they were unable to register a victory as they were held to a 2-2 draw by Cameroon.
They come into these finals matches as the bottom-ranked side in the soccer rankings, as they picked up just eight points from their four matches in Group A. Mexico also looked suspect in matches against very beatable opposition in the opening round, as they allowed three goals, and scored just eight times. If they are to upset the USA vs Mexico odds this week, then they will need to deliver a better performance than they have managed over the last 12 months.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
BetOnline: USA (+150) Draw (+215) Mexico (+200)
Bovada: USA (+150) Draw (+215) Mexico (+200)
MyBookie: USA (+151) Draw (+220) Mexico (+195)
BetUS: USA (+145) Draw (+210) Mexico (+190)
BetNow: USA (+151) Draw (+219) Mexico (+198)
USA vs Mexico Odds & Picks
Odds For This Matchup
| USA | +155 |
| Draw | +210 |
| Mexico | +187 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | +125 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | -163 |
| Both Teams To Score | -120 |
| Both Teams Not To Score | -120 |
Recommended Pick
This is a fascinating semi-final showdown between two nations that are both in transition. A huge summer awaits both the U.S. and Mexico, with expectations likely to be high surrounding the chances of both sides in the Gold Cup. Mexico holds the advantage in the overall previous meetings, having recorded 36 victories compared to the 22 wins recorded by the U.S. However, that advantage is diminished when considering the meetings since 2000, with the USA having won 17 of the 34 meetings.
Each of the previous two has ended in nervy draws, with the latest of those coming in April in Arizona, with the sides playing out a 1-1 tie. However, it is worth examining the USA’s excellent recent unbeaten record. They have gone five without a loss against Mexico, winning on three occasions, but two of those wins, including in the Nations League final in 2021, were won after extra time.
Low Scoring Expected
Therefore, for our soccer picks, we can see the additional period being required once again on Thursday evening, as neither of these sides will be on the front foot enough to win the match. We could see history repeating itself once again, with the USA landing a dramatic win in the extra half an hour of play. Still, under 2.5 goals appears to be one of the safest bets after examining the USA vs Mexico odds.
That is highlighted by the fact that over 2.5 match goals have been scored in just two of the previous ten encounters between the sides. While the U.S. remains in transition, we expect them get over the line against Mexico in the semi-final. But a tougher test could lie in wait in the final on Sunday, as Canada is certainly a CONCACAF nation that is bringing through high-quality youth players at present.
- Pick: Draw (+210)
- Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (-163)
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