As the World Cup semifinals begin, Spain are the favorites to lift the cup at most FIFA World Cup betting sites. To get to the final, though, they will have to beat Sweden for the first time ever.
The semifinals consist of three European teams as England faces Australia at the bottom of the bracket before the third-place game and final take place this weekend.
Looking at Spain vs Sweden picks, both teams have played great defense throughout the tournament. Those who bet on soccer know that these teams have each knocked off a 2019 Women’s World Cup finalist en route to the semifinals.
This matchup should be a spectacular one for neutral fans to watch as very little separates a pair of Top 10 ranked teams in the world.
Overall Game Info & Outlook
- Spain vs. Sweden
- Spain crushed Switzerland 5-1 in the round of 16 before beating Netherlands 2-1 in extra time in the quarterfinals. Sweden drew 0-0 against the USA before winning in penalty kicks in the round of 16. They upset Japan 2-1 in the quarterfinals.
- Eden Park – Auckland, New Zealand
- Tuesday, August 15, 2023 – 4:00 a.m. ET on FOX
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Spain vs. Sweden Betting Preview
Spain Betting Preview
For Spain, this is already their best World Cup ever, and they have gone against soccer picks to make it to the semifinals. Their previous best finish was falling in the round of 16 four years ago after qualifying for the first time in 2015.
They have had success on the continent, reaching three straight quarterfinals in European Championships, losing to England in extra time last summer.
Spain went 2-1 in group play with shutout wins over Costa Rica and Nigeria but a 4-0 loss to Japan. In the round of 16, they crushed Switzerland 5-1 before going to extra time to beat Netherlands 2-1 in the quarterfinals. Overall, Spain is 10-2 in 2023, with a loss to Australia in the Cup of Nations and a loss to Japan in the group stage.
- Spain has five shutouts in the last eight games and scored an own goal in one of the three in which they allowed a goal.
- Spain has scored at least two goals in 12 of their last 13 games.
- Spain is 0-7-4 against Sweden in their history.
- Spain is 7-0-1 against European teams since losing to England in extra time in the Euro 2022 quarterfinals last July.
The goalscoring has been balanced in the WWC for Spain, and their last five goals have been scored by five different players. Aitana Bonmati scored twice against Netherlands, Jennifer Hermoso and Alba Redondo both netted twice against Zambia, and all three have three goals in the tournament.
Spain’s offense has been in complete control of every game; they just haven’t finished their opportunities at a strong enough rate. They had 62% of the ball against the Netherlands and 70% against Switzerland.
However, of their 54 shots in those two games, a third were put on goal, and they netted six goals, with another coming on a penalty kick.
Sweden Betting Preview
Before the World Cup, Sweden played a tough soccer schedule, going 2-1-2 against the likes of Germany, Denmark, Norway, and China. They drew against Spain last October with a 1-1 finish and were the favorites on the women’s world cup odds to win their group.
Those results boosted Sweden to the No. 2 ranking in the world in March, and they dropped to No. 3 before the tournament.
Sweden gave up a goal in the opener against South Africa before winning 2-1, the only time they have trailed in the Women’s World Cup. They shut out Italy, Argentina, and the USA in wins, taking the latter in sudden death penalty kicks.
They took a 2-0 lead against Japan with goals in both halves before their lengthy shutout streak ended in the 87th minute.
- Sweden has never lost to Spain in 11 games; the teams drew 1-1 in October.
- Sweden is 1-3 all-time in semifinals at the World Cup and 0-1 in the final.
- Sweden is 1-5 against European teams in knockout round games at the World Cup.
- Sweden has scored at least two goals in five of their last six games.
Sweden has 11 goals in the World Cup, and they have allowed only two goals. Amanda Ilestedt leads the Swedes with four goals, including the opener against Japan. Overall, six players have scored in the tournament, while both Rebecca Blomqvist and Fridolina Rolfo have scored twice.
Sweden’s defense has allowed one goal in the last 390 minutes, and that goal came in the final minutes against Japan with the team up two. Zecira Musovic was the player of the game against the USA with 11 saves, and she added two more saves against Japan.
Overall she has made 18 saves in the tournament and allowed just two goals.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
BetOnline: Spain +100, Sweden +290. Draw +228
Bovada: Spain +100, Sweden +255. Draw +225
MyBookie: Spain +108, Sweden +260. Draw +242
BetUS: Spain +105, Sweden +280. Draw +225
BetNow: Spain +106, Sweden +262. Draw +240
Spain vs. Sweden Odds & Picks
On the odds for Spain vs Sweden picks, we find the Spaniards favored at +105 to win in 90 minutes. Sweden are +280 to win in regular time while a 90-minute draw is +225.
Spain are -185 to advance, while Sweden are +150. Over 2.0 goals is -135, and under 2.0 goals is listed at +105.
Odds for this Matchup:
| Spain | Draw | Sweden |
| +105 | +225 | +280 |
Recommended Pick: Draw +225
The top Spain vs Sweden picks are for this match to be a draw after 90 minutes and get settled in extra time or even penalty kicks.
Both teams have great defenses and strong goalkeeping play. With Spain ranked No. 6 and Sweden ranked No. 3, they are both likely to feel some pressure early and start off slow.
Thus, look for a 0-0 game at the half, and they both have the pedigree and endurance to go deep and play more than 90 minutes to reach the final.
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