The United States Women’s National Team kicked off their quest for a World Cup three-peat on Friday with a 3-0 win over Vietnam. Next in Group E, they face the Netherlands in a rematch of the 2019 FIFA WWC championship game, won by the USA 2-0. This contest is one of the best women’s world cup matches in the group stage, with both teams in the top five of the last FIFA World Rankings.
The Oranje also won their opening game in group play with a 1-0 win over Portugal on Sunday. The winner of this game takes control of Group E, and a tie probably benefits the Netherlands since they have, at least on paper, a much easier final game against Vietnam while the USA plays Portugal. The USA has extra rest coming into this matchup which could impact the USA vs Netherlands Predictions.
The United States leads the all-time series against the Netherlands 8-1-1. They last met in the 2021 Tokyo Olympics quarterfinals, with the US winning in penalties after a 2-2 draw. The lone Netherlands win came in a friendly back in 1991. By the looks of it, we should be in for one of the better Women’s World Cup matchups this week.
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Overall Game Info & Outlook
United States vs Netherlands
Location: Wellington Regional Stadium, New Zealand
Date & Time: July 26, 2023 – 9:00 p.m. ET
Where to watch: FOX
United States vs. Netherlands Betting Preview
United States Preview
The USA have won the last two Women’s World Cup titles and are looking for an historic three-peat, and they are the favorites on the Women’s World Cup odds. They have a first-time World Cup coach in Vlatko Andonovski, plus a handful of players who have never played at the WWC before this year. However, veterans like Alex Morgan, Megan Rapinoe, Julie Ertz, Kelley O’Hara, Crystal Dunn, Alyssa Naeher, and Lindsey Horan provide plenty of experience and leadership.
The American team has won 10 straight games dating back to a friendly 2-1 loss to Germany in November. They haven’t allowed a goal in more than 360 minutes and have outscored opponents 22-1 in 2023. Of the players on the WWC roster, Morgan, Horan, Smith, Trinity Rodman, and Lynn Williams all have two goals in 2023.
- Dating back to a 0-0 draw against Sweden in 2015, the USA have won their last five group-stage games by a combined score of 22-0.
- The USA have won 15 straight WC games dating back to a penalty loss to Japan in the 2015 finals.
- The USA has scored at least two goals in 10 straight World Cup games.
- In their last 17 World Cup games, only Japan has scored more than one goal against the USA.
- The USA is 21-1-3 in group games in their WC history, with the only loss coming to Sweden in 2011.
Goal-Scoring Sensation Smith Emerges as Golden Boot Contender:
Smith’s double vs. Vietnam makes her a Golden Boot contender on FIFA World Cup betting sites. Horan scored the third goal off an assist from Smith. The US outshot Vietnam 28-0, won the corner kick battle 10-0, and put seven shots on goal while Naeher did not have to make a save.
The US needs to be more clinical in the game against the Netherlands with a big step up in competition. The Oranje have taken a step back over the last four years, but they are still a very formidable opponent, and the defense will be tested more than they were against Vietnam. Mistakes like Morgan missing a penalty kick could prove fateful in this contest and provide for a shock in the soccer picks.
Netherlands Preview
The Netherlands are 4-2 in 2023, with friendly losses to Austria and Germany on their soccer schedule. They have won three straight games, outscoring Poland, Belgium, and Portugal by a combined 10-1. They finished the 2022 campaign with four wins and a friendly loss to Norway which puts them on the underdog side in the USA vs Netherlands Predictions.
Last summer, the Netherlands lost in the quarterfinals of the European Championships, falling to France 1-0 in added time. They were 2-0-1 in group play with a draw against Sweden. The Netherlands won the Euros in 2017, lost in the 2019 WWC Final to the USA, and went out in the quarterfinals of the Tokyo Olympics in penalties to the USA.
- The Netherlands have scored in three straight games and have only been shutout twice in their last 11 contests
- The Netherlands have shutout the opponent in six of their last seven wins
- The Netherlands didn’t qualify for a WC until 2015 and have made it out of the group stage in both
- The Netherlands are 5-1-1 in World Cup group games with a 9-4 goals advantage.
Unstoppable Dutch Defense and Head-Scoring Wizardry:
In the win against Portugal, van der Gragt scored the only goal of the game. A defender, her last nine goals have come on headers. Goalkeeper Daphne van Domselaar made one save as the Netherlands outshot Portugal 12-2 with shots on goal at 5-1.
To beat the USA, the Dutch need to be flawless, and they need to find a goal scorer. They were shut out by the USA in the 2019 Final, and both goals scored at the Olympics two years ago came from now-injured Vivanne Miedema. Lieke Martens, Sherida Spitse, and Danielle van de Donk all have at least 34 goals in their international career, and one of them needs to come through to beat the USA.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
Betonline: USA -145, Netherlands +410. Draw +280. Over 2.5 goals -118, Under -102
Bovada: USA -155, Netherlands +390. Draw +270. Over 2.5 goals -112, Under -118
MyBookie: USA -137, Netherlands +380. Draw +270. Over 2.5 goals +119, Under -151
BetUS: USA -150, Netherlands +400. Draw +250. Over 2.5 goals +110, Under -140
BetNow: USA -140, Netherlands +418. Draw +269, Over 2.5 goals +115, Under -135
United States vs. Netherlands Odds & Picks
Looking at the Bovada soccer betting, the USA are favored at -155 on the money line with a spread line of -0.5 at -120. The Netherlands are +390 on the moneyline and the spread line of +0.5 at -110. A bet on soccer also includes a draw which is +270.
Odds for this Matchup:
| United States | Draw | Netherlands |
| -150 | +400 | +250 |
Recommended Pick: Over 2.5 goals (-112)
The top USA vs Netherlands Predictions is over 2.5 goals. The last time they met, it was 2-2 in regulation, and the 2019 Final was 2-0.
Given that both teams are aiming for a win, this game should be more open and look for both teams to score as the over hits in a 2-1 or 3-1 win for the USA.
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