Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning – NHL Betting Analysis, Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs (44-19-5) and Tampa Bay Lightning (43-18-7) prepare to face off Monday.

The Maple Leafs have won four games in a row heading into this matchup. They rank second overall in the Atlanta division and have been playing extremely well as of late.

The Lightning are coming off of a loss against Montreal. Tampa Bay had won four consecutive games prior to their recent loss. The Lightning are currently in third place in the Atlantic division. 

Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 P.M. EST on Monday, April 4th, at the Amalie Arena in Tama, FL.

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Betting Analysis for Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Analysis, Picks

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Stats & Analysis

The Maple Leafs continued to roll on Saturday. However, they are heading into a difficult back-to-back with Tampa Bay and Florida. 

They will look to utilize the momentum from Saturday’s exciting 6-3 victory in this matchup with the Lightning. 

Through the first period of play, the Maple Leafs found themselves tied with the underwhelming Philadelphia Flyers. The Flyers kept pace with Toronto in the second period, and the two teams found themselves in deadlock at two goals apiece heading into the final period. 

And that led to a very entertaining frame of high-scoring hockey. 

The Flyers added one more goal to their total, but the Maple Leafs grabbed complete control with four third-period goals. Momentum had been trending in their favor throughout the match, and it finally boiled over in the third. 

The Maple Leads enjoyed a complete team performance on Saturday. Six different players scored goals en route to the victory. 

For the season, Austin Mathews leads Toronto in goals with 51 to his credit. Mitchell Marner is second with 28 goals and also leads the team with 53 assists. The duo have set the tone for a Maple Leaf offense that is third in total goals scored in the entire NHL. 

For what it’s worth, they are also first in power play percentage. 

The Maple Leafs will aim to extend their winning streak on Monday night.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Stats & Analysis

The Lightning were upset by a Montreal Canadien team that is 20 games under .500 on Saturday. However, Tampa Bay was playing in the second of a back-to-back. Nonetheless, they would love to have another shot at Montreal after losing 5 (1)- 4(0).

The game certainly did not lack drama. The Lightning led by two goals after the first period, and it seemed as if they were on their way to an easy win. But then the Canadiens out-scored them 3-2 in the second and trailed by just a goal heading into the third. 

Goalie Jake Allen and the Canadian defense limited Tampa Bay to zero goals in the final period of play, while the offense scored once to send the game to overtime. The game was eventually decided by a shootout after neither side found the back of the net in overtime, with Montreal ultimately prevailing. 

The Lightning defense was stunned since they are seventh in the league in goals surrendered. They will look for better performance on Monday. 

Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has played a big role in that solid defensive effort, as evidenced by his 35-14 record, 2.37 GAA, and .919 save percentage. Additionally, the eight-year veteran has two shutouts to his credit on the season. 

The Lightning will lean on their defense to contain the high-powered Toronto offense in this Monday matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Trends

Toronto Maple Leafs: 

  • The Maple Leafs are 19-12 SU on the road
  • Toronto is 29-38 ATS this season. 
  • They are 14-19 ATS when playing away from home. 
  • The Maple Leafs hold an over/under record of 38-27-2. 
  • Toronto owns an away over/under of 22-10-1.

Tampa Bay Lightning:

  • Tampa Bay is 21-6 SU at their home arena. 
  • The Lighting are 30-38 ATS this season. 
  • They are just 12-20 ATS at home. 
  • Tampa Bay holds an over/under record of 34-34.
  • The Lightning have a home over/under record of 15-17. 

Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Odds

The Lightning are the home favorites across the board leading into Monday’s action. Tampa Bay has been very good straight up at home, but they have struggled ATS on their home ice. Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs have also been solid from a win-loss perspective on the road, but their road ATS record is also underwhelming. 

This is a game that has the makings of an exciting, competitive contest.

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How to bet on: Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL – Betting lines

There is a good chance this match does not get decided until late in the third period or possibly even overtime. It all comes down to Toronto’s strong offense against the Lightning’s impressive defense. However, there is one X-factor that should spell the difference on Monday night.

The Lightning offense has the capability to put up goals at home. The Tampa Bay defense should do enough to contain Toronto while the Lightning score just enough goals to earn a narrow victory.

OBS Betting Picks for Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL 

Bet on the Tampa Bay Lightning to cover the -1.5 goals betting spread.

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