New York Jets at New England Patriots
The Patriots come into this contest listed as 3-point favorites at home, which means this is truly either of these sides’ game for the taking.
New England’s offense has been extremely mediocre. They are 14th in points per game, and their passing attack has continued to labor. The rushing attack has been better, but it is not a unit they can consistently rely on.
The Jets’ offense is just 19th in points per game. But their passing attack and rushing attack are both capable of making plays.
Both of these defenses have impressed. The Patriots are sixth in points against per game, while the Jets are 10th against per contest. They have been almost equal in terms of limiting the pass, but the Jets have been much better against the run.
With that being said, New England has a knack for getting to the quarterback. They are third in total sacks this season and will cause havoc for Zach Wilson.
The Jets’ all-around numbers may stand out. However, the Patriots are a team more than capable of taking care of business at home. Although the Jets have performed well against the spread when playing on the road, the narrow spread favors the Patriots in this one.
Go ahead and roll with the New England Patriots -3 in this game.
Detroit Lions at New York Giants
The Detroit Lions (3-6) and New York Jets (7-2) will go head-to-head on Sunday.
The Giants enter play having won four out of their past five games. The Lions had previously struggled but have won two games in a row heading into Sunday. With both the Giants and Lions playing well as of late, which team holds the advantage?
The Giants are the more well-rounded team. But the Lions’ offense has quietly been effective.
Detroit ranks ninth in points per game, while New York is just 22nd in points per game.
The Giants’ passing attack is near the bottom of the league in terms of yards per game, while the Lions have passed the ball well. Detroit’s rushing attack has been solid, but the Giants are third in rushing yards per contest.
Based on offensive stats alone, bettors may be thinking that the Lions can upset the 3-point spread on the road. But defense tells a completely different story.
The Lions rank dead last in points against and total yards against per game. The Giants are about average in terms of yards allowed, but they are ninth in points against per game.
New York doesn’t feature a lockdown defensive unit. But it is much better than the Lions and should ultimately go a long way in determining the outcome on Sunday.
Roll with the New York Giants -3.
Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos
The Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) and Denver Broncos (3-6) will face off on Sunday in Denver.
The Raiders continue to struggle. They have dropped three consecutive games and four of their past five games. But the Broncos have also lost four out of their past five contests as well.
The Raiders hold a convincing advantage from an offensive standpoint. Denver is last in points per game, while the Raiders are 14th. In terms of yards per game, the Raiders and Broncos hold similar numbers.
But in a similar fashion to the Giants and Lions matchup, the defense will ultimately tell the story in this game. The Broncos lead the league in points against per game, while Las Vegas ranks 28th in points against per contest. Denver is also second in yards against per game.
The Broncos are dominant against the pass and hold their own against the run. The Raiders have been below average in both categories.
The Raiders and Broncos have been equally bad against the spread, both holding a 3-6 ATS record this season.
The clear advantage will be the Broncos’ defense. Denver is listed as a narrow 2.5-point favorite, and that is a mark they should be able to cover in what projects to be a low-scoring game.
Roll with the Broncos -2.5.
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers
Our final game in the parlay is the Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6) in a Sunday afternoon contest. The Bengals are favored by four points, but Pittsburgh’s home-field advantage will provide them with an opportunity to upset the odds.
The Bengals are sixth in points per game. The Steelers are just 31st in points against per game. Cincinnati has struggled against the run, but Pittsburgh hasn’t found much success in any facet of their offensive attack.
The Bengals’ passing game should be in line for a monster performance against a Steelers’ pass defense that ranks 30th in passing yards against per contest.
The Bengals’ defense has also fared better overall on the defensive side of the football.
The Bengals hold a 6-3 ATS record this year, while Pittsburgh is 4-4-1 ATS.
The Bengals are clearly the better team and will have motivation as they strive toward a postseason appearance. Cincinnati is the pick to click in this game.
Take the Bengals -4.
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Final NFL Week 11 Parlay
This parlay features a number of games that could end in a competitive fashion. But our first three picks, the Patriots, Giants, and Broncos, will all be in line for strong performances at home. Meanwhile, the Bengals are a favorable road pick against the Steelers.
Each team we picked is the favorite, which isn’t a bad strategy in a multi-game parlay. But none of these teams holds a major advantage, which will help to increase the final payout.
This four-game parlay is worth the risk.