Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAAB Betting Analysis, Picks

The Ohio State Buckeyes (19-10) and Penn State Nittany Lions (13-16) prepare to face off in the Big 10 tournament. 

Ohio State last played on Sunday when they were narrowly defeated by Michigan 75-69 in the regular-season finale. The Buckeyes look to bounce back as they enter this tournament ranked as the six seed.

The 11th seeded Nittany Lions took care of business in their first matchup of the tournament with a win over Minnesota. However, Penn State will need to pull off an upset if they want to advance further on Thursday against Ohio State.

Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 P.M. EST on Thursday, March 10th at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. 

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Betting Analysis for Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAAB Betting Analysis, Picks

Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Stats & Analysis

The Buckeyes are the unquestioned favorites in this contest, but they stumbled to end the regular season by losing three out of their last four games. They allowed at least 75 points in each of those three losses, and one has to wonder if the Buckeyes have the talent to make any sort of run in the postseason.

Ohio State shot the ball well in their loss against unranked Michigan on Sunday, as they posted a 48 percent field goal percentage and 40.9 three-point percentage. However, their offensive efficiency was lacking as they turned the ball over 13 times while only dishing out nine total assists. 

On the other hand, the Wolverines handed out 14 assists and only committed six turnovers. This helped them overcome a lackluster shooting performance that saw them shoot under 42 percent from the field. 

Ohio State easily could have won this game, but their inability to work as a cohesive unit on offense was their ultimate downfall. 

While the Buckeyes are the clear favorites against Penn State, this is not a matchup that should be taken for granted. The Nittany Lions feature a gritty roster with players who are going to give everything they have. 

But Ohio State defeated Penn State in both of their head-to-head matchups this season, and they out-scored them in those games 140-117. However, the Buckeyes are laboring right now, so we will see if they can return to form and get the job done on Thursday night. 

Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Stats & Analysis

The Nittany Lions entered this tournament as the 11 seed. They were not projected to fare all that well after ending the regular season in the midst of a three-game losing streak, and there were plenty of people who felt as if Minnesota was going to defeat them on Wednesday. 

But Penn State covered a fairly close spread by earning a 61-50 victory over the Golden Gophers. 

Jalen Pickett led the charge for the Nittany Lions with 22 points, seven rebounds, and four assists. Sam Sessoms also posted solid numbers with 14 points and five rebounds. 

But the real talking point was Penn State’s defensive effort. It was far from a flashy performance as they only caused five total Minnesota turnovers. However, they were able to consistently apply pressure on shooters, which led to a very underwhelming 37 percent field goal percentage and 26.3 three-point percentage for the Golden Gophers. 

Additionally, Penn State out-rebounded Minnesota 37-26, including a 7-4 advantage on the offensive glass. 

So the question entering Thursday is what version of the Nittany Lions will we get? Will we get the Penn State that lost three consecutive games while allowing an average of 70.6 points per game to close out the season, or will we see a similar performance to Wednesday?

There is no question that Ohio State is going to score more than 50 points. But if Penn State can find a way to keep them under 70 points, they will have a chance to win this game. The fact is that the Nittany Lions do not feature a high-powered offense, so their path to winning will stem from a defensive perspective.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAAB Betting Trends

Ohio State Buckeyes: 

  • Ohio State is 15-14 ATS this year. 
  • The Buckeyes are 6-2 ATS when playing after a loss. 
  • They are 1-1 ATS at neutral sites this season. 
  • Ohio State is 10-11 ATS as a favorite. 
  • The Buckeyes have an over/under record of 17-12. 

Penn State Nittany Lions:

  • Penn State is 17-12 ATS this season. 
  • The Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS when facing ranked opponents. 
  • They are 6-6 ATS following a victory. 
  • Penn State is 3-0 ATS at neutral sites this year. 
  • The Nittany Lions are 11-6 ATS as an underdog. 
  • They are 1-0 ATS in conference tournament games. 
  • Penn State has an over/under record of 10-19. 

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAAB Betting Odds

Ohio State has dominated Penn State in their matchups this season and has a superior roster. But this is college basketball we are talking about, where upsets tend to happen all the time. The Nittany Lions’ defense could keep the score close throughout. 

At the same time, there is a chance that Ohio State comes out firing on all cylinders and wins by a landslide.

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How To Bet On: Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAAB – Betting lines

The Buckeyes are just 1-2 over their past three games, but they have scored at least 70 points in those contests. Meanwhile, the Nittany Lions have struggled to reach 60 points in their recent matchups. 

Ohio State should be able to get the job done on Thursday evening.

OBS Betting Picks for Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAAB 

Bet on the Ohio State -5.

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