North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils Betting, Analysis Picks
The Tar Heels ended St. Peter’s magical run last weekend with a convincing 69-49 victory over the Peacocks. However, North Carolina has their own Cinderella story in the works. Each team remaining in the tournament is either a one or a two seed except for the Tar Heels, who were ranked eighth.
Duke took care of business against Arkansas 78-69 to advance to the Final Four. Coach K’s team is playing a quality brand of basketball right now, and they have a strong chance of advancing to the championship on Saturday night.
Tip-off is scheduled for 8:49 P.M. EST on Saturday, April 2nd, at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA.
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Betting Analysis for North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils NCAAB Betting Analysis, Picks
North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Stats & Analysis
Defeating Duke will prove to be challenging for this Tar Heels squad. However, North Carolina is a talented team playing with plenty of confidence at the moment.
Despite entering the matchup against St. Peter’s as the favorites, there were plenty of people who expected the Peacocks to pull off yet another upset. But North Carolina was having none of that, as evidenced by their dominating 20-point victory.
Armando Bacot set the tone with 20 points on 9-15 shooting for the Tar Heels to go along with a jaw-dropping 22 rebounds. Brady Manek added 19 points and four three-pointers.
North Carolina got the job done on the glass. To say the least, Bacot’s 22 rebounds are eye-popping, and the Tar Heels ended up winning the rebound battle 49-33. Bacot grabbed 14 defensive rebounds and eight offensive rebounds, while St. Peter’s had seven total offensive rebounds as a team.
However, they won’t be able to produce the same type of flashy rebound totals against Duke. North Carolina will need to play aggressive defense while finding the bottom of the net consistently in order to keep pressure on the Blue Devils.
St. Peter’s and Duke are obviously very different teams. There is a good chance that we see a completely different game plan from the Tar Heels on Saturday night.
Duke Blue Devils Betting Stats & Analysis
Duke has been as consistent as they came so far during March Madness. They have scored exactly 78 points in three out of their four wins and posted 85 points in their only other victory. Duke has also not allowed more than 76 points against any team in the tournament.
So North Carolina’s target score needs to be 78. But Duke’s defense has held strong for the most part in the tournament.
They certainly held strong against Arkansas in the Elite Eight. The Razorbacks shot just under 42 percent from the field and 30 percent from beyond the arc in the game. Meanwhile, the Blue Devils posted shooting percentages of 54.7 from the field and 40 percent from deep.
It should be noted that Duke did turn the ball over 15 times while dishing out just eight assists. They will need to reverse their assist-turnover ratio against the Tar Heels.
Duke was able to out-rebound Arkansas, which was highly beneficial in leading them to the win as well.
The Blue Devils have played some of the most consistent all-around basketball of the tournament. They had four different players score at least 12 points in the win against the Razorbacks. A.J. Griffin led the charge with 18 points on 7-9 shooting, while Paolo Banchero added 16 points and seven rebounds.
As long as Duke cuts down the turnover numbers, they will fare well in this contest with North Carolina.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils NCAAB Betting Trends
North Carolina Tar Heels:
- North Carolina is 20-16-1 ATS this season.
- The Tar Heels are 15-12 ATS when playing after a win.
- They are 5-4 ATS at neutral sites.
- North Carolina is 5-5 ATS as an underdog.
- The Tar Heels are 4-0 ATS so far during the tournament.
- They own an over/under record of 21-16.
Duke Blue Devils:
- Duke is 20-16-2 ATS this year.
- The Blue Devils are 15-14-2 ATS following a victory.
- They are 5-4 ATS at neutral sites.
- Duke is 18-16-2 ATS as a favorite.
- The Blue Devils are 1-3 ATS so far during the tournament.
- They have an over/under record of 21-16-1.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils NCAAB Betting Odds
Duke is favored by four points across the board for Saturday. One thing that stands out is how eerily similar Duke and North Carolina’s ATS records are. Deciding the spread in this game could come down to the wire since both teams happen to play well ATS.
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How to bet on: North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils NCAAB – Betting Lines
Can the Blue Devils continue their balanced attack and winning ways? Or will the 8-seeded Tar Heels upset Coach K and Duke and advance to the championship?
North Carolina is going to have an opportunity to pull off the upset. But Duke attacks in a myriad of different ways. They can shoot the ball, finish at the rim, grab boards, and attack on defense.
The Tar Heels can gain an advantage if they are able to cause havoc and force turnovers. However, even then, this Duke team should still prevail. I like Duke as a four-point favorite on Saturday night.
OBS Betting Picks for North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils
Take the Duke Blue Devils -4 with your NCAA March Madness spread betting selection.
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