The stage is set for a thrilling NBA game 4 of the Western Conference playoffs as the Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Dallas to face the Mavericks on May 13th (9:30 PM ET). Despite trailing 2-1 in the series, the Thunder head into hostile territory with a fighting chance.

Tight Race on the Horizon:

  • The Mavericks hold a slim 1-point favor despite their series lead.
  • The over/under line of 213.5 points suggests a potential offensive battle.

Value for the Underdog?

  • Moneyline odds are close (Mavericks -118, Thunder -102), making this an intriguing opportunity for those who believe the Thunder can pull off an upset.

Can Oklahoma City overcome the home-court advantage and even the series? Or will Dallas take a commanding 3-1 lead and put themselves on the cusp of advancing to the next round?

Here is a look at some Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction that should help you make winning NBA picks for this game.

Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction and Odds

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Overall Game Info & Outlook

  • Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks
  • At 9:30 ET, the Mavericks and Thunder face off at American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Mavericks are favored by 1 point.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder fell short in a close battle against the Dallas Mavericks, losing 105-101. Despite a 31-point performance from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder couldn’t overcome a strong showing from P.J. Washington (27 points) and Luka Doncic (22 points).

Low-Scoring Affair:

  • Both teams struggled from three-point range, shooting just 33.3% and finishing well below their season averages in the NBA Stats.
  • The combined score of 206 points fell short of the over/under line (217.5), reflecting a defensive-minded game.

Mavericks Cover the Spread:

  • Dallas entered the game as slight favorites (by 1.5 points) and managed to cover the spread with their four-point victory.

Can the Thunder bounce back and even the series? Or will the Mavericks capitalize on their momentum and take control?

Thunder Aim to Rebound with High-Powered Offense

The Oklahoma City Thunder head into a crucial Game 4 matchup against the Dallas Mavericks on May 13th, looking to bounce back from a narrow 105-101 loss. Here’s a breakdown of the Thunder’s situation:

Underdog Status:

  • The Thunder are slight underdogs (by 1 point) despite boasting the best record in the Western Conference (57-25).
  • They haven’t fared well recently as underdogs, going 1-4 straight-up and 1-4 ATS in their last five such games.

Offensive Powerhouse:

  • Oklahoma City boasts the league’s 3rd best offense, averaging 120.1 points per game. They excel at three-point shooting, leading the NBA in three-point percentage (38%) according to the NBA Standings.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on fire lately, averaging 28.2 points per game with 6.8 assists and 9.2 rebounds over his last five appearances.

Road Warriors:

  • Despite the loss, the Thunder have a strong road record (22-22 straight-up, 26-18 ATS).
  • Their road games average a combined 230.5 points, exceeding today’s over/under line of 213.5 points.

Defensive Prowess:

  • Overall, Oklahoma City has a top-10 defense, allowing just 111.4 points per game. They’ve been even stingier on the road (113.7 points allowed).
  • The Thunder lead the NBA in field goal percentage allowed (45.2%) and rank second in two-point defense (51.7%).

Mavs Aim to Extend Lead with Balanced Attack

The Dallas Mavericks look to build on their series lead when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder on May 13th. Here’s a look at what the Mavericks bring to the table:

Favorites at Home:

  • Dallas enters as slight favorites (by 1 point) with a strong home record (24-21 ATS, +3.8 point average scoring margin).
  • They’ve thrived as favorites this season (42-15 record), covering the spread in their last three games.

Balanced Offense:

  • The Mavericks rank 8th in the NBA in scoring (117.9 points per game), with a similar output at home (117.7 points per game).
  • Luka Doncic (26.6 points per game over last five games) leads the attack, supported by Kyrie Irving (25.6 points per game).

Improved Defense:

  • Despite ranking average in points allowed overall (114.4), Dallas has tightened up recently, ranking 7th in the league defensively over their last five games (104.4 points allowed).

Top Sportsbooks Odds

Explore Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction on legal online sports betting platforms.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Odds & Picks

Odds for this Matchup:

There will be plenty of offshore sportsbooks to bet on this matchup, and they are going to go much deeper than simply betting on the spread. You can combine NBA bets in order to put together a solid parlay, and there are times in which those NBA odds work together in a big way.

  • Oklahoma City Thunder +1 -102 Over 213.5
  • Dallas Mavericks -1 -118 Under 213.5

Recommended Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder +1

As the underdogs with a spread of +1, we recommend going with the Thunder on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 213.5, and our model projects the Thunder and Mavericks to reach a combined total of 232 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

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