At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat (35-29) will host the Denver Nuggets (45-20) in a non-conference NBA game. The Nuggets (-198) are favored by 5 points over the Heat (+163) and the over/under line is set at 214.5 points.

Denver is currently on a 3-game win streak and is 2nd in the Western Conference. Miami has lost 3 straight and is 8th in the Eastern Conference. ESPN will televise the game from the Kaseya Center.

Here is a look at some Nuggets vs Heat Odds that should help you make winning NBA picks for this game.

Nuggets vs Heat Odds

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Overall Game Info & Outlook

  • Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat
  • The Heat are 35-29 overall and have lost three straight, while the Nuggets are 45-20 overall and have won three straight. This game can be seen on ESPN at 7:30 ET.

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

Denver Nuggets Preview

Denver’s O/U record for the season is 25-38-2, and they have gone over the total in their last three games. This year, the average O/U line in their games is 227.4, and the average combined scoring is 225.7 points per game.

In their last game, the Nuggets defeated the Raptors by a score of 125-119. The O/U line for that game was 231 points, and Denver was favored by 17 points. This improved their overall record to 45-20, which is currently 2nd in the Western Conference.

On the road, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 13-18, and they are 18-14 straight up. Today, they are favored by 5 points and have an ATS record of 29-34 overall.

Denver has won three straight games on the road and is 24-29 ATS as the favorite. As the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 41-14. In the Western Conference, they are 25-14 against other teams and 20-6 in non-conference games.

Nuggets Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 5-4-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 109 points per game in this stretch.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an overall record of 4-1 while going 2-3 against the spread.
  • Over their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 4-0-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Nuggets are one of the best NBA teams in the league at getting to the rim, as they lead the NBA in two-point attempts. However, they are just 27th in three-point attempts and 29th in free throw attempts.

When it comes to scoring, Denver is 15th in the league at 115 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 111 points per game compared to 118.9 at home.

So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 49.2% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the league.

When it comes to defense, the Denver Nuggets have been one of the best in the league, ranking 7th in points allowed per game at 110.7. They have been especially good at defending the three-point line, giving up just 11.4 made threes per game (2nd).

On the road, Denver has been just as stingy, allowing just 111.8 points per game (7th).

So far this season, opponents have scored less than their season average in 69.2% of games vs. Denver.

Overall, the Nuggets are 8th in field goal percentage allowed at 46.7%.

Over their last five games, the Denver defense has slipped a bit, allowing 116 points per game (21st). During that stretch, opponents have shot 48.4% from the field and 36.4% from three.

Miami Heat Preview

Today, Miami is looking to snap a three-game losing streak as they host the Nuggets. The Heat are currently 8th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 35-29.

In the Eastern Conference, Miami is 23-17 in games against other teams from the East and 12-12 in non-conference games. Against the spread, they are 30-31 overall and 12-19 at home.

On the season, the Heat are 10-18 as underdogs and have gone 15-13 against the spread as underdogs. As the underdog, they have lost three straight games ATS.

In their last game against the Wizards, Miami lost by a score of 110-108. They were favored by 11.5 points going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 228.5.

Miami’s O/U record for the season is 24-40, and they have had three straight games finish below the posted over/under line. On average, their games have finished with 220.4 points.

Heat Trends

  • Across their last five home contests, Miami has a 4-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 106 points per game.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 4-1.
  • In their last three games, the Heat have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.

At home this season, the Heat are averaging 113.5 points per game, which is 22nd in the NBA. Overall, they are 27th in the league at 110.5 points per game. In terms of scoring, Miami has outscored the NBA average in 39.1% of their games.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 6th in the league at 37%. They are also 21st in three-point attempts and 17th in made threes at 12.4 per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the NBA at 96.1 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Heat have made 46% of their field goal attempts, which is 21st in the league. They are also 7th in free throws made at 18.5 per game. In terms of assists, Miami is 20th in the NBA with 25.9 per game.

The Miami Heat have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season, allowing just 109.9 points per game, which is 6th best in the league. At home, they have been solid as well, giving up 113.0 points per game, which is 15th in the NBA standings.

One thing that has stood out about the Heat’s defense is their ability to keep opponents off the free-throw line, as they are 5th in the NBA in free throws made allowed per game at 20.0. In terms of three-point defense, Miami is 21st in the league, allowing opponents to shoot 36.3% from beyond the arc.

Over their last five games, the Heat have been just average defensively, giving up 112.2 points per game. During that stretch, opponents have shot 46.7% from the field and 36% from three-point range.

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Odds & Picks

Odds for this Matchup:

There will be plenty of offshore sportsbooks to bet on this matchup, and they are going to go much deeper than simply betting on the spread. You can combine NBA bets in order to put together a solid parlay, and there are times in which those NBA odds work together in a big way.

  • Denver Nuggets -5 -198 Over 214.5
  • Miami Heat +5 +163 Under 214.5

Recommended Pick: Miami Heat +5

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +5, the Heat is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 214.5 and given that our model is projecting 224 points between the teams, we like the over.

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