At 8:00 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-118) will travel to take on the Milwaukee Bucks (-103) in a non-conference NBA matchup. The Nuggets are favored by 1.5 points and are 36-17 on the season, which puts them in 4th place in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Northwest Division. The Bucks are 34-19 and are 3rd in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the Central Division.
This game can be seen on BSW and will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee.
Here is a look at some Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction that should help you make winning NBA picks for this game.
Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction and Odds
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Overall Game Info & Outlook
- Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks
- At 8:00 ET, the Nuggets (36-17) take on the Bucks (34-19) in a non-conference matchup. So far, the Nuggets are favored by 1.5 points on the road.
Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
Denver Nuggets Preview
In their games this season, the Nuggets have an average over/under line of 227.7, which is lower than today’s line of 232.5. On average, their games have finished with 225.6 points.
Denver’s O/U record for the season is 19-33-1, and 37 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s. In games with higher O/U lines, they are 4-10.
Against the spread, the Nuggets are 22-29 this season and have gone 10-17 ATS on the road. As the favorite, their ATS record is 19-25.
Denver’s last game was a 135-106 loss to the Kings. The O/U line for that game was 230.5, and the Nuggets were 3-point underdogs going into the game.
Overall, the Nuggets are 36-17 this season, which is good for 3rd place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 16-5 compared to 20-12 against the West.
- Through their last five road games, Denver has an ATS record of just 2-2-1. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 103 points per game.
- As the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS mark of just 3-6-1 in their last ten games. Denver posted a straight up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.
- Over their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are 18th in the NBA at 114.6 points per game. However, they have been a much better offensive team at home, where they are averaging 119.5 points per game compared to 110.2 on the road.
Denver’s offense is one of the most efficient in the league, ranking 6th in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also one of the top NBA teams in two-point shooting, hitting 55% of their attempts, which is 10th in the NBA.
Despite being one of the best passing teams in the league (5th in assists), the Nuggets have struggled from beyond the arc. They are 26th in three-point shooting at 37% and have made just 11.5 threes per game.
When it comes to defense, the Denver Nuggets have been one of the best units in the NBA this season. They come into tonight’s game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks ranked 6th in points allowed per game at 111.0. Over their last five games, they have been even better, giving up just 111.4 points per game, which is 7th in the league over that span.
One area where the Nuggets have excelled this season is defending the three-point line. On the year, they are 2nd in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.2%. Over their last five games, however, they have slipped a bit, allowing opponents to shoot 39.1% from beyond the arc.
Overall, Denver has been able to keep opponents below their season average in terms of points scored in 71.7% of their games. In addition, they have been able to hold opposing teams under their season average in made threes in 71.7% of their games.
Milwaukee Bucks Preview
In today’s game against the Nuggets, the Bucks will be looking to win their 7th straight game as the underdog. This season, they have been the underdog in just 6 of their 53 games and are 0-6 straight-up and 1-5 against the spread as the underdog.
Milwaukee’s ATS record for the season is 20-33, including a 11-17 mark at home. On the road, they are 9-16 vs. the spread. As the underdog, they have an average scoring differential of -16 points per game.
On average, the Bucks’ games have finished with a combined scoring total of 242.2 points per game, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 232.5. This season, 37 of their games have had higher O/U lines than 232.5.
In their last game against the Hornets, the Bucks won by a score of 120-84. They were favored by 16 points and easily covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 229 points.
Milwaukee is currently 3rd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 34-19. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 25-12 compared to 9-7 against the West. At home, the Bucks are 22-6 and have an average scoring differential of +6.4 points per game.
- Across their five previous home games, Milwaukee has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 113 points per game.
- The last three games that Milwaukee was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
- In their last three games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.
When playing at home, the Bucks are averaging 124.7 points per game, which is 2nd in the NBA. Overall, they are 2nd in the league in scoring at 122.9 points per game. Milwaukee’s offensive style is reflected in their pace, as they are 4th in the NBA in possessions per game at 101.5.
So far this season, the Bucks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 73.6% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, Milwaukee is 5th in the league at 49%. They have been particularly efficient inside the arc, making 58% of their two-point attempts, which is 2nd in the NBA standings.
From beyond the arc, the Bucks are 8th in three-point shooting at 37%. On average, they make 14.2 threes per game, which is 5th in the NBA. In terms of free throws, Milwaukee is 3rd in the league at 20.1 made free throws per game.
When it comes to points allowed per game, the Bucks are giving up 119.3 points per contest, which is 23rd in the NBA. When they play at home, that number dips slightly to 118.2 points per game, which is 22nd in the league.
In terms of three-point shooting, Milwaukee is holding opponents to 34.7% from beyond the arc, which is 9th in the NBA. Over their last five games, they have been even better in this area, allowing just 36.7% from three-point range.
When it comes to steals, the Bucks are 23rd in the league at 6.8 per game. However, they have been solid on the glass, ranking 11th in rebounds per contest and 4th in defensive rebounding.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
- Bet Now: Denver Nuggets -1.5
- BetOnline: Denver Nuggets -1.5
- Bet US: Denver Nuggets -1.5
- Bovada: Denver Nuggets -1.5
- MyBookie: Denver Nuggets -1.5
Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds & Picks
Odds for this Matchup:
There will be plenty of Bovada NBA odds for this matchup, and they are going to go much deeper than simply betting on the spread. You can combine NBA bets in order to put together a solid parlay, and there are times in which those NBA odds work together in a big way.
- Denver Nuggets -1.5 -118 Over 232.5
- Milwaukee Bucks +1.5 -103 Under 232.5
Recommended Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +1.5
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +1.5, the Bucks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 232.5 and our model has the Nuggets and Bucks finishing with a combined 248 points. Our pick is to take the over.
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