The Miami Heat (-134) travel to face the Toronto Raptors (+112) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Heat are favored by 2.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 228. The game is scheduled to start at 7:30 ET and will be played at Scotiabank Arena.
Miami Heat (24-16) is currently on a three-game winning streak and sits fifth in the Eastern Conference. Toronto (15-25) has lost four straight and is 12th in the East.
Here is a look at some Heat vs Raptors betting analysis that should help you make winning NBA picks for this game.
Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Odds
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Overall Game Info & Outlook
- Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors
- At 7:30 ET, the Heat (24-16) take on the Raptors (15-25) on SN.
- The Heat are looking to extend their three-game winning streak, making Heat vs Raptors betting analysis crucial for bettors.
- The Raptors have lost four straight NBA matchups.
Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Betting Preview
Miami Heat Preview
Miami’s recent form is essential in the Heat vs Raptors betting analysis. They have won three straight games and are 24-16 on the season, which is good for 5th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place.
On the road, the Heat are 12-9 this season, and they are favored by 2.5 points against the Raptors. In the Eastern Conference, they are 18-10 compared to 6-6 against non-conference opponents.
This season, Miami has an O/U record of 18-22, and the under has hit in three straight games. On average, their games have finished with 222.5 points, and today’s line is set at 228.
In their last game, their last game against the Nets, where they won as 1-point favorites, is a critical data point in NBA Stats.
For the season, the Heat are 19-19 against the spread and 11-8 ATS on the road. As the favorite, they are 11-10 ATS and 18-5 straight-up. In their last two games as the favorite, they are 1-0-1 ATS.
- Through their last three road contests, the Heat offense has averaged 101 points per game while allowing an average of 101. Miami posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-1-1 ATS.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a straight-up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 6-3-1.
- Over their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
Defensive Dominance: Miami Heat’s Impressive Points Allowed
So far this season, the Heat are 25th in the NBA in scoring at 111.9 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 108.6 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 27th in the league at 96.8 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 16th in the NBA with an average of 12.6 made threes per game. Overall, they are 20th in field goal percentage at 46%. However, Miami is one of the league’s best three-point shooting teams, connecting on 38% of their attempts (3rd).
In terms of free throw shooting, the Heat are 6th in the NBA with an average of 19.8 made free throws per game. As for assists, Miami is 18th in the league at 26 per game.
When it comes to defense, the Miami Heat are one of the best in the league, ranking 2nd in points allowed per game at 110.6. On the road, they have been even better, giving up just 107.3 points per contest, which is the best mark in the NBA.
In terms of their field goal percentage allowed, Miami is 18th in the league at 47.4%. However, over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 2nd in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed at 42.8%.
One area where the Heat have struggled defensively is on the glass, as they are 25th in the league in rebounds per game. Additionally, they are 30th in blocked shots per game.
Toronto Raptors Preview
Toronto is coming off a 105-96 loss to the Celtics. The game finished 33.5 points below the O/U line of 238.5. The Raptors were 6.5-point underdogs in the game.
This season, the Toronto Raptors have an O/U record of 23-16-1. In their games, the average combined scoring is 231.8 points, compared to today’s line of 228. Their scoring averages and defensive stats hold significant weight in NBA Odds and NBA Picks.
Toronto is 15-25 this season and is currently 12th in the Eastern Conference. In the East, they are 9-18 and 0-10 against teams in their division.
Analyzing their trends is vital for Heat vs Raptors betting analysis. The Raptors have lost four straight games and are 7-18 as underdogs this season. Against the spread, they are 13-12 as underdogs and 20-20 overall.
In their games against other Eastern Conference teams, the Raptors are 6-7 compared to 9-10 at home and 6-15 on the road.
- In their last three home games, Toronto has averaged 121 points per game while allowing 134. The team’s record in this stretch was 0-3 while going 2-1.
- Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Raptors have a straight-up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
- In their last five games, the Raptors have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
Home Court Struggles: Raptors’ Scoring Stats at Home
This season, the Raptors are 17th in the NBA in scoring at 115 points per game. At home, they are 25th in the league at 112.3 points per game.
So far, Toronto has outscored the NBA average in 47.5% of their games. They are 10th in field goal percentage at 48% and have made 55% of their two-point attempts (12th).
When it comes to pace, the Raptors are 16th in the league at 99 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 23rd in three-point percentage (35%) and 26th in made threes (11.7 per game).
When it comes to defending the three-point line, the Raptors have done a good job of not allowing opponents to get off a lot of attempts from deep, ranking 12th in three-point attempts allowed per game. However, when teams have been able to get their shots off, they have been able to knock them down at a 38.8% clip, which is 22nd in the NBA.
Their scoring and defensive efficiency are important metrics for NBA teams‘ analysis. Overall, Toronto’s defense is giving up 116.8 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. In their last five games, they have struggled to keep opponents in check, allowing 125.2 points per game, which is 29th in the league during that stretch.
One area where the Raptors have been strong defensively is at the free-throw line, as they are 3rd in the NBA in made free-throws allowed per game at 20.0.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
- BetNow: Miami Heat -2.5
- BetOnline: Miami Heat -2.5
- BetUS: Miami Heat -2.5
- Bovada: Miami Heat -2.5
- MyBookie: Miami Heat -2.5
Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Odds & Picks
Odds for this Matchup:
There will be plenty of Bovada NBA odds for this matchup, and they are going to go much deeper than simply betting on the spread. You can combine NBA bets in order to put together a solid parlay, and there are times in which those NBA odds work together in a big way.
- Miami Heat -2.5 -134 Over 228
- Toronto Raptors +2.5 +112 Under 228
Recommended Pick: Toronto Raptors +2.5
Coming in as the underdogs at +2.5, we have the Raptors as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 228, and our model predicts the Heat and Raptors to score a combined 226 points. We recommend betting on the under.
This game, a notable part of the NBA Schedule, is just one of many exciting NBA matchups to watch and bet on.
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