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Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers NBA – NBA Betting Analysis, Odds & Picks

The Miami Heat (47-24) travel to Philadelphia to take on the 76ers (43-27) in an Eastern Conference Showdown. 

Miami has won two consecutive games heading into Monday’s action. They last took the court on Friday in a 120-108 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder. The first-place Heat will look to continue their winning ways against third-place Philadelphia in this matchup.

The 76ers are coming off of a disappointing 93-88 defeat at the hands of the Raptors. But it should be noted that they had won two games in a row prior to the loss. 

The Heat lead the season series with the Sixers 2-1. Miami won the most recent contest against Philadelphia by a convincing 99-82 final tally. 

Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 P.M. EST on Monday, March 21st, at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA. 

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Betting Analysis for Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers NBA Betting Analysis, Picks

Miami Heat Betting Stats & Analysis

The Heat continue to pace the Eastern Conference standings. The Bucks and 76ers are a few games behind them, but it is clear that Miami is the class of the conference as things stand right now. 

The Heat took care of business at home against OKC on Friday despite Jimmy Butler missing the game. Tyler Herro led the charge off the bench with 26 points on 9-13, shooting from the field to go along with two three-pointers. Bam Adebayo and Duncan Robinson both contributed 19 points apiece, with Adebayo adding nine rebounds.

Miami is a team that does a little bit of everything. From a scoring perspective, they rank 15th in the NBA in points per game. However, they score efficiently as they are first in a three-point percentage. The Heat are also sixth in assists per game.

Their Achilles heel has been in the turnover department. The Heat rank just 23rd in the NBA with 13.7 turnovers per contest.

But their talented roster helps make up for those mistakes. Herro and Butler are averaging over 21 points per game, while Adebayo is averaging 19 to go along with over ten rebounds per contest. Kyle Lowry is also averaging an impressive 12.7 points and 7.7 assists.

The Heat will look to continue their balanced attack on Monday in Philly.

Philadelphia 76ers Betting Stats & Analysis

The 76ers were red hot a few weeks ago. However, they have cooled down as of late and are 6-4 over their past ten matchups. 

They labored on Sunday in the loss against Toronto. Joel Embiid scored 21, but nine of those points came via free throws. He went just 6-20 from the field and 0-3 from beyond the arc. James Harden and Tobias Harris also each went 0-4 from deep while Harris went just 2-9 from the field en route to an extremely underwhelming five total points from him. 

All of this led to a 41.1 field goal percentage and a 25.9 three-point percentage, and a low mark of just 88 points. 

Despite the tough game, this is a Philadelphia offense with plenty of firepower, and they will bounce back. 

The Sixers may not be the best field goal percentage team in the league, but they are certainly not the worst either, as they rank 16th in the department. Additionally, they are 10th in three-point percentage. 

The one arena where Philadelphia holds a clear advantage over Miami is in turnovers, as they are the second-best team in that category with their mark of 11.6 per game. If the 76ers are able to take care of the ball while causing havoc on defense, they will provide themselves with an opportunity to take down the Eastern Conference leaders on Monday.

Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers NBA Betting Trends

Miami Heat: 

  • Miami is 40-30-1 ATS this season. 
  • The Heat are 22-13-1 ATS on the road. 
  • They are 25-25-1 ATS as a favorite. 
  • Miami is 11-8-1 ATS as an away favorite. 
  • The Heat are 24-18-1 ATS in conference games. 

Philadelphia 76ers:

  • Philadelphia is 34-35-1 ATS this year. 
  • The 76ers are 14-22 ATS at their home arena. 
  • They are 13-10 ATS as an underdog. 
  • Philadelphia is 3-5 ATS as a home underdog. 
  • The Sixers are 19-23-1 ATS in conference affairs. 

Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers NBA Betting Odds

The Heat enter as an extremely narrow road favorite. But Jimmy Butler (ankle) is questionable to play. His status will make a huge difference in deciding the outcome of this matchup. 

In the end, this is anybody’s game to win. The 76ers will have plenty of motivation as they attempt to climb the standings. At the same time, Miami is looking to ensure their number one spot in the conference.

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How To Bet On: Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers NBA – Betting lines

The Heat are a talented team with a deep roster. If Butler is unable to play they have guys who are more than capable of filling in. Miami will need to be aggressive on defense and do their best to limit the duo of Harden and Embiid.

Adebayo’s defense will be especially important against Embiid in the post. 

The Sixers will keep this game competitive throughout, but I like Miami as the road favorite. 

OBS Betting Picks for Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers NBA

Go ahead and roll with the Miami Heat to cover the -1.5 betting spread

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