Miami Heat at Boston Celtics NBA Betting Analysis, Picks
The first-place Miami Heat (32-18) head to Boston to take on the Celtics (26-25) in an NBA Monday night affair.
Miami continues to lead the Eastern Conference despite enduring a tough loss at home against the Raptors on Saturday. The defeat snapped a three-game winning streak for the Heat, who will look to get back on track in Boston.
The Celtics earned a ten-point win over the Pelicans in New Orleans on Saturday. Boston has now won three of their past four games overall.
Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 P.M. EST. on Monday, January 31st, at the TD Garden in Boston, MA.
Betting Analysis for Miami Heat at Boston Celtics NBA Betting Analysis, Picks
Miami Heat Betting Stats & Analysis
The Heat are 7-3 over their last ten games and remain atop the Eastern Conference even with Saturday’s loss against Toronto.
Jimmy Butler did just about all he could in the 124-120 four-point defeat. He scored 37 points to go along with 14 rebounds and ten assists in the triple-double effort. Gabe Vincent added 17 points, and Bam Adebayo posted 14 points and 16 rebounds.
Despite out-rebounding the Raptors 62-53 in the game, Miami’s struggles stemmed from shooting inefficiency. The Heat shot just 40.5 percent from the Field and 32 percent from beyond the arc. Toronto shot over 43 percent and over 35 percent in both respective categories.
Their slim shooting percentage advantage ultimately led to the narrow win. But it was not the only factor in play.
Miami also labored in terms of taking care of the basketball. They finished with an ugly 23 turnovers even though Toronto turned the ball over 16 times.
This has been an all too common problem for Miami, who ranks 25th in turnovers per game with a mark of 14. The Heat will need to reel that number in if they have true NBA Finals aspirations this season.
For now, they will focus on cleaning up the sloppy play in Boston on Monday.
Boston Celtics Betting Stats & Analysis
The Celtics defeated the Pelicans 107-97 on the road on Saturday. Boston currently ranks ninth in the Eastern Conference heading into Monday’s action.
The star-studded duo of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown led their team to victory in the game. Tatum led all scorers with 38 points to go along with an all-around impressive line of eight rebounds, seven assists, and three steals. Brown contributed 31 points as well.
Boston was feeling their shot as a team as they finished with a quality 53.1 field goal percentage. They also shot a respectable 34.1 percent from deep.
Despite the high-scoring totals from Brown and Tatum, it was actually Marcus Smart and Robert Williams who led the team in plus-minus. Smart had 12 assists and five points on just 2-6 shooting, while Williams contributed 16 rebounds and eight points on 4-6 shooting. Both players did the little things well while adding efficiency even with limited volume.
The Celtics will need another effort like this against a much more capable opponent in Miami on Monday.
If Brown and Tatum can pace the offense again and players such as Smart and Williams can carry the underlying work, the Celtics could earn the home win.
Miami Heat at Boston Celtics NBA Betting Trends
- Miami is 29-21 ATS this season.
- The Heat are a league-leading 13-4 ATS after a win.
- They are 15-11 ATS on the road.
- Miami is 13-3 ATS as an underdog.
- The Heat are 9-3 ATS as an away underdog.
- They are 16-14 ATS in conference matchups.
- Boston is 24-25-2 ATS this year.
- The Celtics are 10-13-2 ATS following a victory.
- They are 11-14-1 ATS at their home arena.
- Boston is 16-17 ATS as a favorite.
- The Celtics are 9-14 ATS as a home favorite.
- They are 14-16-1 ATS in conference games.
Miami Heat at Boston Celtics NBA Betting Odds
The Celtics enter as 3-3.5 point home favorites over the first-place Heat in this contest. But we should be in store for a highly competitive game with such a narrow spread.
Although Boston’s advantage stems mainly from the fact that they are playing at home, they need to use that to their advantage. The Celtics hold a respectable 16-10 mark at home while Miami is 14-12 on the road.
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How To Bet On: Miami Heat at Boston Celtics NBA – Betting lines
Can the Boston Celtics cover the spread against the talented Miami Heat?
These teams are similar yet very different in one area… let me explain.
Offensively, Miami ranks 14th in points per game, and Boston is 18th in points per contest. But the difference is that the Heat score in a far more efficient manner. Miami ranks 14th in field goal percentage compared to Boston’s ranking of 23rd, and the Heat lead the NBA in three-point percentage, and the Celtics place 22nd.
And we mentioned Miami’s lackluster 25th ranking in turnovers per game, but the Celtics are not much better with a placement of 21st.
Simply put, the Celtics don’t hold much of a discernible advantage in any one major category. So I like the Heat to upset the odds despite playing on the road on Monday.
OBS Betting Picks for Miami Heat at Boston Celtics NBA
Bet on the Miami Heat to win the match against Boston Celtics.
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