Miami Heat at Boston Celtics – NBA Betting Analysis, Picks
The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat prepare to face off in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Monday.
The Heat won a crucial Game 3 in Boston on Saturday night. Miami needed to win at least one game on the road, and they got the job done.
Now, Game 4 becomes a must-win affair for the Celtics at home. They can’t afford to fall 3-1 in the series heading back to Miami. However, Boston has played well with their backs up against the wall this season.
Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 P.M. EST on Monday, May 23rd, at the TD Garden in Boston, MA.
Let’s take a look at which team you should place your money on in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals.
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Betting Analysis for Miami Heat at Boston Celtics
Miami Heat Betting Stats & Analysis
The Miami Heat needed a win in Boston. The series was all knotted up at one apiece heading into game 3. The Heat would be in a very bad position if they lost both games on the road.
But they alleviated much pressure by winning in Game 3. They could now lose Game 4 and still feel good about their standing in the series. Obviously, they are still going to do everything they can to win in game 4.
But it is not a must-win game now.
The best news for Miami leading into Game 4 is their recent update on Jimmy Butler. Butler, who left Game 3 with an injury, is expected to play on Monday.
Butler is the heart and soul of the Heat, and his presence will be vital to their success moving forward. But credit needs to be given to the rest of the team for holding on despite Butler’s early Game 3 exit on Saturday.
Bam Adebayo accepted the challenge of taking over. He led the Heat with 31 points and ten rebounds to go along with six assists. He went an extremely efficient 15-22 from the field.
If Adebayo posts a similar performance with Butler back in the lineup, it could be a big Game 4 for Miami.
Boston Celtics Betting Stats & Analysis
The Celtics were in a good spot after their Game 2 win. The series was heading back to Boston, and they had a couple of opportunities to place a firm grasp on the series.
Instead, they looked flat out of the games and ultimately dropped Game 3.
Jayson Tatum struggled all night long. The Celtics superstar went just 3-14 from the field and 1-7 from beyond the arc. Boston’s bench also produced just ten total points of offense.
However, Jaylen Brown picked up the slack and nearly led the Celtics to a comeback.
Brown finished with 40 points and nine rebounds on the night. He was confident and aggressive on the offense end.
But the Celtics could not overcome their 23-turnover performance as a team. Tatum and Brown combined for 13 turnovers alone.
Boston needs to win on Monday. We should expect far more energy to open the game. It will be interesting to see if they can find an answer for both Adebayo and Butler on defense.
Miami Heat at Boston Celtics NBA Betting Trends
- Miami is 55-40-1 ATS this season.
- The Heat are 28-18-2 ATS on the road.
- They are 19-18 ATS on the road.
- Miami is 15-7 ATS when playing as the road underdog.
- The Heat are 9-5 so far during the postseason.
- Boston is 52-41-3 ATS this year.
- The Celtics are 21-25-2 ATS at their home arena.
- They are 35-32-1 ATS as a favorite.
- Boston is 19-25-1 ATS as a home favorite.
- The Celtics are 9-5 ATS during the playoffs.
Miami Heat at Boston Celtics NBA Betting Odds
The Celtics are the favorites, just like they were in Game 3. But the Heat obviously don’t worry about the spread. Miami is 15-7 ATS as a road underdog.
So the pressure of upsetting the odds away from home rarely phases them.
But the fact is that Boston is not going to come out flat once again. The Celtics were unable to get much of anything going on Saturday against Miami.
So can the Celtics cover these fairly large odds? Or will Miami pull off the upset once again?
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How to Bet On: Miami Heat at Boston Celtics NBA – Betting lines
Who covers the spread in Game 4?
The Celtics will be in a good position to win the game as long as Jayson Tatum plays like Jayson Tatum once again. It is hard to imagine him playing as poor as he did on Saturday. He is simply too good of a player for that.
Boston will add an increased emphasis on limiting Adebayo in the post, which should help limit Miami.
However, the Heat’s ability to shoot the three-ball will decide this game. If players like Tyler Herro can step up and hit shots, Miami could take care of business.
In the end, I like Miami as the spread betting selection. They could lose the game and still cover the 6.5-point spread.
OBS Betting Picks for Miami Heat at Boston Celtics NBA
Take the Miami Heat -6.5 with your NBA Monday night betting selection in what projects to be a thrilling Game 4 in Boston.
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