At 10:00 ET, the Miami Heat will travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets in a non-conference NBA games. The Nuggets are currently favored by 4.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 214.5.
Miami comes into this game on a five-game winning streak and currently sits in 5th place in the Eastern Conference. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have won four straight and are 3rd in the West.
Here is a look at some Heat vs Nuggets Odds that should help you make winning NBA picks for this game.
Heat vs Nuggets Odds
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Top Sportsbooks Odds
- Bet Now: Denver Nuggets -4.5
- BetOnline: Denver Nuggets -4.5
- Bet US: Denver Nuggets -4.5
- Bovada: Denver Nuggets -4.5
- MyBookie: Denver Nuggets -4.5
Explore Kings vs Nuggets Odds on legal online sports betting platforms.
Overall Game Info & Outlook
- Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets
- The Heat and Nuggets will face off in a non-conference matchup in Denver at 10:00 ET. Coming into the game, the Nuggets are 40-19, while the Heat are 33-25. The current spread has the Nuggets favored by 4.5.
Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Miami Heat Preview
The Heat have been the underdog in 25 of their 58 games this season and have gone 10-15 in those games. As the underdog, they have an ATS scoring margin of -1.4 points per game and have covered the spread in five straight games as the underdog on the road.
The Heat’s ATS record for the season is 28-27, including a 16-11 mark on the road and 12-16 at home. They have covered the spread in eight straight games overall.
In the Eastern Conference, the Heat are currently in 5th place with a record of 33-25. Against other teams in the East, they are 22-16 and 11-9 in non-conference games.
Miami’s O/U record for the season is 22-36, and 48 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 214.5. On average, their games have finished with 220.5 points.
In their last game, the Heat defeated the Trail Blazers by a score of 106-96. The O/U line for that game was 212 points, and Miami covered the spread as 7-point favorites.
Heat Trends
- Miami has played well in their previous three road games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 111 points per game while allowing 100. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
- Over their last three games, the Heat have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 3-0 vs. the spread.
On the road this season, the Miami Heat are averaging 108.3 points per game, which is 28th in the NBA. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 110.6 points per game. In terms of pace, the Heat are 28th in the league.
When it comes to three-point shooting, Miami is 7th in the NBA at 37%. They are making an average of 12.4 threes per game (17th). In terms of two-point shooting, the Heat are 27th in the league at 52%.
So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 34.5% of their games. In terms of free throws, the Heat are 7th in the NBA at 18.7 makes per game.
When it comes to defense, the Miami Heat are one of the best in the league, ranking 3rd in points allowed per game at 109.9. On the road, they have been even better, giving up just 106.9 points per game, which is tops in the NBA.
Over their last five games, Miami has been even stingier, allowing just 100.4 points per contest, which is the 2nd best mark in the league during that stretch. In terms of made free-throws, they have been the best in the league over their last five games, giving up just 11 made free-throws per game.
On the season, the Heat have done a good job of keeping opponents below their season average, as just 29.3% of NBA teams have scored more than their season average vs. Miami. In terms of three-point shooting, opponents have made fewer threes than their season average vs. the Heat in 48.3% of their games.
Denver Nuggets Preview
The Nuggets have won four straight games and are currently 40-19, which is good for 3rd place in the Western Conference. In non-conference play, they are 17-6 compared to 23-13 against Western Conference opponents.
For the season, Denver has an ATS record of 26-31 and has covered the spread in their last two home games. As the favorite, they are 22-26 ATS and have been favored in 37 of their 46 games.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets beat the Kings by a score of 117-96. The O/U line for that game was 228, and Denver was favored by 9.5 points. The win improved their record vs. the spread to 14-13 at home.
This season, the Nuggets have an O/U record of 21-37-1, and their last two games have gone under the betting line. On average, their games have finished with 225 points, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 214.5.
Nuggets Trends
- In their last five home games, Denver has averaged 112 points per game while allowing 113. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Denver has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
- In their last three games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.
When playing at home, the Nuggets are averaging 119.0 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 17th in scoring at 114.6 points per game. In terms of pace, Denver is 29th in the league.
So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 47.5% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 6th in the NBA at 49%. However, they are just 15th in three-point shooting at 36%.
When it comes to assists, Denver is 5th in the NBA at 29.1 per game. In terms of free throws, the Nuggets are 29th in both free throws made and attempted.
When it comes to defense, the Denver Nuggets are one of the best in the NBA standings, ranking 7th in points allowed per game at 110.4. They have been particularly stingy at home, giving up just 109.1 points per game, which is the 5th best mark in the league.
One area where the Nuggets have excelled is in defending the three-point line. On the season, they are 3rd in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.2%. Over their last five games, they have been even better in this regard, ranking 7th in three-point percentage allowed at 34.1%.
Overall, opponents have scored less than their season average in 71.2% of games vs. Denver. In addition, opposing teams have made fewer threes than their season average in 71.2% of games vs. the Nuggets.
Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Odds & Picks
Odds for this Matchup:
There will be plenty of offshore sportsbooks to bet on this matchup, and they are going to go much deeper than simply betting on the spread. You can combine NBA bets in order to put together a solid parlay, and there are times in which those NBA odds work together in a big way.
- Miami Heat +4.5 +159 Over 214.5
- Denver Nuggets -4.5 -194 Under 214.5
Recommended Pick: Denver Nuggets -4.5
The Nuggets is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 123-114. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Nuggets at -4.5.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 214.5 and our model has the Heat and Nuggets finishing with a combined 237 points. Our pick is to take the over.
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