The Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat will go head-to-head on Friday night in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. Denver leads the series 2-1 after earning a big victory in Game 3 on the road. When it comes to NBA playoffs betting, it can be easy to roll with a team like Denver. After all, they were favored heading into the series.
However, despite losing in Game 3, this Heat team still features talent. They are not going to back down, regardless of the NBA odds. That said, the Nuggets certainly will remain confident.
Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 PM EST on Friday, June 9 at the Kaseya Center in Miami, FL. Let’s take a look at the Heat vs Nuggets Game 4 prediction and odds from Bovada NBA and other top sportsbooks.
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Overall Game Info & Outlook
Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat
The Nuggets lead the Heat in the NBA Finals 2-1.
Location of the game: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Date & Time: Friday, June 9th | 8:30 PM EST
Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat Betting Preview
Denver Nuggets Preview
The Denver Nuggets likely feel great following their Game 3 victory. Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray performed admirably, the rest of the team stepped up around them for the most part. Denver will not take anything for granted though. The Heat have already pulled off three series upsets in the NBA playoffs, and they are aiming for a fourth in this series.
Let’s take a look at their against the spread records.
- The Denver Nuggets are 54-44-1 against the spread this season.
- The Nuggets are 24-25 against the spread when playing on the road.
- Denver is 23-18 against the spread as a favorite
- They are 12-17 against the spread when playing as an away favorite.
The Nuggets have fared well against the spread this season. They do a good job of covering the spread as a favorite but have been fairly mediocre on the road. Denver was favored in Game 3 by a narrow margin and they covered the spread without much trouble. Covering the spread on the road in back-to-back games on the road will be challenging though.
Can the Nuggets’ Bench Keep Up the Production in Game 4?
Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray led the charge for Denver in the game. Jokic recorded a triple-double, with a line of 32/21/10. Murray added 34 points to go along with 10 assists.
The Nuggets need to not become too reliant on those superstars though. Aaron Gordon also had a fairly good game, and Denver features impressive depth. In the end, though, their X-Factor was Christian Braun. Braun scored 15 points off the bench for the Nuggets. If he can continue to perform at a high level, Denver will have a tremendous chance of covering the spread on Friday evening.
Miami Heat Preview
The Miami Heat must treat Game 4 like a must-win affair. Going down 3-1 with a road game against Denver wouldn’t be ideal.
Before making Miami Heat picks, it should be noted that Tyler Herro isn’t expected to play on Friday. He’s been out for most of the playoffs with an injury and could possibly return in the Finals. However, his possible return will need to wait until Game 5 at the earliest.
Here’s a look at Miami’s against the spread odds.
- The Miami Heat are 45-57-3 against the spread this year.
- The Heat are 21-29-2 against the spread when playing at home.
- Miami is 39-36-1 against the spread when playing as an underdog.
- They are 7-3 against the spread as a home underdog.
The Heat have endured some trouble from an against the spread perspective. Those struggles have been especially apparent at home. However, Miami has done a decent job of covering the spread as an underdog. They don’t mind being counted out.
Stopping Jokic has proven to be nearly impossible in the series. As a result, the Heat must focus on containing Jamal Murray. If they can limit Murray, it will give Denver less versatility on offense. It will also place extra pressure on the Nuggets’ other players to perform.
Offensively, the Heat can’t be afraid to drive to the basket. They cannot continue to settle for mid-range and three-point shots. Miami shouldn’t abandon the jump-shot, but it shouldn’t be their primary weapon versus the Nuggets.
Before sharing our Heat vs Nuggets Game prediction, let’s take a look at the NBA odds.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
Betonline: Denver Nuggets -3.5
Bovada: Denver Nuggets -3.5
MyBookie: Denver Nuggets -3.5
BetUS: Denver Nuggets -3.5
BetNow: Denver Nuggets -3.5
Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat Odds & Picks
Odds for this Matchup:
The Nuggets are once again narrow favorites. Without further ado, it’s time to reveal our official Heat vs Nuggets Game 4 prediction.
Which team is the best bet for Friday night in Miami? The Nuggets will be a popular NBA pick. Denver’s team excelled all season and it’s difficult to bet against Nikola Jokic.
The Heat, however, are a team that has consistently upset the odds in the postseason. Doing so in Game 4 will be extremely difficult, but it wouldn’t be surprising to see them pull it off. We can expect Game 4 to be much more competitive throughout than Game 3 was. Miami, despite the risk, is worth taking a chance on in the end.
- Pick: Go ahead and roll with the Miami Heat +3.5 with your Game 4 NBA Finals betting selection.