Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat – NBA Betting Analysis, Picks
The Charlotte Hornets (40-38) and Miami Heat (51-28) prepare to square off in an Eastern Conference showdown.
The Hornets need a strong bounce-back performance following a big 144-114 loss against the 76ers Philadelphia over the weekend. Charlotte remains in the play-in picture, and they have won seven of their last ten contests overall.
Miami defeated Toronto 114-109 on the road on Sunday. The Heat are looking to put the finishing touches on winning the Eastern Conference.
Miami is also looking to sweep the season series with the Hornets after winning each of their three previous head-to-head matchups. Charlotte would love nothing more than to at least salvage one win in their four-game set with Miami this season.
Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 P.M. EST on Tuesday, April 5th, at the FTX Arena in Miami, FL.
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Betting Analysis for Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat NBA Betting Analysis, Picks
Charlotte Hornets Betting Stats & Analysis
The Hornets were obliterated in Philadelphia on Saturday. Charlotte did not play all that bad, but Philadelphia simply ran over them with Joel Embiid leading the charge.
Miles Bridges finished with 20 points on 6-12 shooting in the defeat. Charlotte did turn the ball over 17 times, but they also dished out 34 assists.
Despite the loss, this is a Hornets team that has played well as of late and could make some noise in the playoffs. Their second-ranked offense in points per game has the ability to lead them to an upset.
The Hornets also rank second in assists per contest and seven in three-point percentage. Their main issues stem from a lack of consistent defense. The Sixers exposed their defensive shortcomings on Saturday en route to the blowout victory.
But their ability to score at will could be a difference-maker moving forward. If Charlotte can provide just a bit more of a defensive stance while finding the bottom of the net as often as they do, they will certainly be an interesting team in the play-in tournament.
Miami Heat Betting Stats & Analysis
The Heat are in the driver’s seat in the East standings, but Milwaukee, Boston, and Philadelphia are all just a few games behind Miami. The Heat currently control their own destiny. As long as they keep winning, which they are currently in the midst of a four-game winning streak, then they will clinch first place in the Eastern Conference.
They are fresh off of a competitive victory over the Raptors on Sunday. And they were led by an unprecedented hero.
Max Strus set the tone with 23 points on seven three-pointers. Victor Oladipo and Tyler Herro combined for just under 40 points off the bench, while Kyle Lowry added a 16 point, ten assist double-double.
Jimmy Butler missed Sunday’s game after being ruled out with a toe injury. The injury was deemed not serious and was more of a rest day than anything with the postseason on the horizon. Butler is expected to return on Tuesday.
However, Kyle Lowry is expected to receive a rest day barring a change in the game plan.
Miami does not score in as much volume. However, they are first in the three-point percentage. Their offensive efficiency has played a huge role in their overall success this season.
They will lean on their offense to get the job done against the Hornets’ lackluster defense on Tuesday.
Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat NBA Betting Trends
- Charlotte is 42-34-2 ATS this season.
- The Hornets are 22-16-1 ATS on the road.
- They are 26-22-2 ATS as an underdog.
- Charlotte is 15-13-1 ATS as an away underdog.
- Miami is 44-34-1 ATS this season.
- The Heat are 19-20 ATS this year at their home arena.
- They are 27-28-1 ATS as a favorite.
- Miami is 15-19 ATS as a home favorite.
Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat NBA Betting Odds
The Hornets are the clear underdogs in this matchup. But as aforementioned, this is an offense more than capable of leading them to an upset on any given night.
And Miami is sitting Kyle Lowry on Tuesday, most likely.
But even then, the Heat are the top team in the conference for a reason. They find ways to take care of business despite the odds. And the odds happen to be in their favor on Tuesday night.
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How To Bet On: Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat NBA – Betting lines
The Hornets are going to keep this game competitive throughout.
However, the Heat are playing well, and they still have the motivation to win with the Eastern Conference regular-season title on the line. I expect the Heat to pull out the victory late in this one.
The spread will be close. The Heat should be able to win by six points, but that big of a lead may not come until late in the fourth quarter. The Hornets have been solid ATS, and they tend to keep games close until the very end.
But Miami is excellent at pulling away late in games, especially at home. They know how to steal momentum and hold onto it, whether it is through a clutch three-pointer or by causing havoc on defense.
OBS Betting Picks for Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat
Take the Miami Heat to cover the -5.5 betting spread in what should be an exciting matchup.
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