Boston Celtics at Miami Heat NBA Betting Analysis
The Celtics came roaring back at home in Game 4 after Miami stole a road win in road 3. This series has been back and forth and seems destined to go seven games.
However, the Celtics would put themselves in a good position to wrap it up in six games with a road victory on Wednesday. Miami does not want to head back to Boston for a potential elimination game, so they are going to do everything in their power to earn a Game 5 win.
It should be an exciting contest on Wednesday.
Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 P.M. EST on Wednesday, May 25th at FTX Arena in Miami, FL.
Let’s take a look at which team you should place your money on in Game 5 of this series.
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Betting Analysis for Boston Celtics at Miami Heat NBA Betting Analysis, Picks
Boston Celtics Betting Stats & Analysis
The Boston Celtics needed to win Game 4. After dropping Game 3, a loss in Game 4 would have seen them go down 3-1 heading back to Miami. The win bought them a guaranteed Game 6 in Boston despite the result of Game 5.
Jayson Tatum stepped up after an abysmal Game 3. Tatum scored 31 points on 8-16. He made up for his underwhelming 1-7 shooting night from beyond the arc by hitting 14 of 16 shots from the free-throw line.
Additionally, each Celtics starter posted a positive plus-minus. Tatum posted a plus-minus of plus-37 and Al Horford had a plus-minus of plus-33 despite scoring just five points, as Horford grabbed 13 rebounds and had four blocks.
But it is not going to be a walk in the park in Miami. The Heat know how to rebound at home.
Boston would really benefit from both Tatum and Jaylen Brown having good games. It seems as if either one or the other plays well and the other struggles. If both players performed well the Celtics would be near unstoppable.
But that hasn’t been the case as of late.
The Celtics will aim to cover the spread as the road favorites in this one.
Miami Heat Betting Stats & Analysis
Miami performed poorly in Game 4. There is no way around it.
They shot 33.3 percent from the field and 38.9 percent from deep. Boston out-rebounded them 60-39 including a 14-10 advantage on the offensive glass.
The only thing Miami did well was to not turn the ball over, as they coughed it up just nine times. But it did not matter in the 20-point loss.
The Heat starters were especially abysmal in the game. They combined for 18 points total.
No, that is not a typo. Miami’s five starters combined for 18 total points.
Bam Adebayo scored nine, Jimmy Butler had six, and Kyle Lowry posted three.
Victor Oladipo led Miami in scoring with 23 off the bench. Oladipo hit four three-points and dished out six assists. He was one of the few positives for Heat on Monday.
However, there is no way that Miami is going to play that badly again. Their offense will regain its rhythm, especially if Tyler Herro is able to return from injury.
Boston Celtics at Miami Heat NBA Betting Trends
- Boston is 53-41-3 ATS this year.
- The Celtics are a league-leading 31-16-1 ATS on the road.
- They are 36-32-1 ATS as a favorite.
- Boston is 16-7 ATS as a road favorite.
- The Celtics own the best ATS record in the postseason, with a mark of 10-5.
- Miami is 55-41-1 ATS this season.
- The Heat are 27-22 ATS at their home court.
- They are 19-9 ATS as an underdog.
- Miami is 4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
- The Heat have the second-best postseason ATS record with their 9-6 mark.
Boston Celtics at Miami Heat NBA Betting Odds
The Celtics enter play as a road favorite. Miami’s awful offense Game 4 has bettors projecting a road win for Boston.
But the Heat have been tremendous ATS as an underdog, especially at home. Miami is one of those teams that simply could care less about what the odds say.
Jimmy Butler and Kyle Lowry should play better as well. So should you roll with Miami as the home underdogs? Or can the Celtics cover on the road?
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How to Bet On: Boston Celtics at Miami Heat – Betting lines
Bettors have an excellent opportunity to cash in on Miami as a home underdog. It is rare that teams are listed as home underdogs in the postseason, so rolling with Miami is worth the risk.
The Heat always seems to play good defense. So as long as their offense shakes off their rough game 4 performance, Miami should farewell on Wednesday.
Expect a fairly low-scoring game with tons of hustle and high-energy defensive plays. Look for Jimmy Butler and Kyle Lowry to play an extremely scrappy game and lay it all on the line.
Go ahead and take a shot on the Heat in this one.
OBS Betting Picks for Boston Celtics at Miami Heat NBA
Take the Miami Heat +1.5 with your NBA Wednesday night Game 5 betting selection in what projects to be an exciting game in Miami.
Now that you have all the information you need to place an informed bet, it is time to start increasing your income.
Pick up the best sports betting site, sign up and make your bet on the Boston Celtics at Miami Heat NBA game scheduled for Wednesday, May 25th, 2022.