JR Motorsports’ Justin Allgaier is through to the Round of Eight after leading the most laps and winning at Bristol. As NASCAR heads from Tennessee to Texas, Allgaier is second in the Xfinity Series Drivers’ Championship, behind the betting favorite, John H. Nemechek, and will be looking to overtake Nemechek on and off track to take the Championship lead. OnlineBettingSports sifts through the data, recent results, and Texas Motor Speedway history, finding your NASCAR Picks for the next stop on the NASCAR Schedule, this weekend’s Andy’s Frozen Custard 300.

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Overall Race Info & Outlook

NASCAR Xfinity Series: Andy’s Frozen Custard 300

200 Laps: Stage 1/2: 65 Laps, Stage 3: 70 Laps.

Location: Texas Motor Speedway, Fort Worth, Texas

Date & Time: September 23rd, 2023, 4:30 PM ET.

Where to Watch: USA, Peacock, NASCAR Live.

NASCAR Xfinity Series: Andy’s Frozen Custard 300 Betting Preview

John H. Nemechek – Joe Gibbs Racing

Recent History

Joe Gibbs Racing’s John H. Nemechek is the favorite to win at Texas and the Xfinity Series Championship, currently holding a 29-point advantage over Cole Custer in third spot. Nemechek enters Texas with recent success and is highly likely to finish in the top five and fight for the race win and another top-three finish.


  • Nemechek scored his third consecutive top-three finish at Bristol.
  • He has six race wins, 12 top-three, and 14 top-five finishes this season.
  • In his last two races at Texas, Nemechek has one race win (2021) and an average finishing position of 14.5


Nemechek has one race win, three top-five, and four top-ten finishes in five career races at Texas.

Prediction for winning this race

It’s simple for the Driver atop the NASCAR standings: don’t change anything, and stay out of caution flag troubles.

Austin Hill – Richard Childress Racing

Simply put, Austin Hill needs to be better if he intends to keep pace with the Championship leaders and Nemechek’s 44-point Championship lead. Hill has recent success at Texas and should be in the mix for the win.


  • Hill has scored four race wins, eight top-three, and 13 top-five finishes in 2023.
  • He has six top-five finishes in the previous nine races.
  • Hill’s best finish at Texas was second place in 2022.


Hill has two top-five finishes and an average finishing position of 15.0 at Texas.

Prediction for winning this race

Recent history needs to be just that for Hill – history. Hill needs a huge result to keep pace if he intends to fight for the Xfinity Series championship.

Sam Mayer – JR Motorsports

JR Motorsports’ Sam Mayer is currently 10th in the Xfinity Series Drivers’ Standings and in danger of missing the Round of Eight cutoff. Mayer finished 35th at Bristol – his second consecutive sub-30th finish and a trend he needs to end if he intends on moving to the Round of Eight.


  • Mayer has five top-five finishes in the last nine races but has finished outside the top ten in four consecutive races.
  • His highest finishing position at Texas was third place (2021)


Mayer has one top-five and two top-ten finishes in his last three races at Texas, with an average finishing position of 8.0.

Prediction for winning this race

Mayer will need to stay in the mix at the front of the pack and be opportunistic if he’s going to win his third race of the season.

Cole Custer – Stewart-Haas Racing

Cole Custer won the first stage at Bristol but ultimately finished fourth in the Xfinity Series playoffs’ first round. Custer will be looking to chase down and out-finish Nemechek and Allgaier to close the points gap and potentially the Xfinity Series lead.


  • Custer has two race wins, six top-three, and 11 top-five finishes.
  • He has three top-five finishes in the previous four races and five top-ten finishes in the last six races at Bristol
  • Custer has an average finishing position of 9.5 at Texas. 


Custer has one race win (2018), four top-five, and five top-ten finishes in six career races at Texas.

Prediction for winning this race

Custer is fast around Texas and will likely be at the front early. Once at the front, Custer must emerge from wheel-to-wheel battles with Allgaier and Nemechek, successfully scoring his third win of the season.

Justin Allgaier – JR Motorsports

JR Motorsports’ Justin Allgaier made NASCAR news, taking second place in the Drivers’ Championship Standings, having won the second stage and the race at Bristol last weekend. Allgaier will be among those in the mix to win in the dying laps of the Andy’s Frozen Custard 300.


  • He has three race wins, ten top-three, and 12 top-ten finishes this season.
  • Allgaier has four top-five finishes in his previous six races at Texas.
  • He has two race wins and three top-ten finishes in the last four races.


Allgaier has five top-five and 13 top-ten finishes in 25 career races at Texas, with an average finishing position of 12.4

Prediction for winning this race

For Allgaier to win this race and close the ten-point gap to Nemechek, he needs to rinse and repeat his performance at Bristol and take advantage of any caution flag restarts.

Top Sportsbooks Odds

Betonline: Nemechek +240

Bovada: N/A

MyBookie: Nemechek +236

BetUS: Nemechek +275

BetNow: N/A

NASCAR Xfinity Series Odds & Picks

Odds for the NASCAR Andy’s Frozen Custard 300: 

Here are the current NASCAR Odds for the second round of the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series playoffs:

DriverOdds to WinTop Three FinishTop Five Finish
John H. Nemechek+236-162-319
Austin Hill+620+160-116
Justin Allgaier+410+115-101
Sam Mayer+1275+390+173
Cole Custer+720+208-101

OnlineBettingSports NASCAR Xfinity Series predictions have John H. Nemechek winning the second round of the playoffs, with Justin Allgaier and Cole Custer rounding out the top three in the Andy’s Frozen Custard 300.

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