After controversial racing and finishing under a caution flag, the Pocono crowd showered Denny Hamlin with boos as he landed on Victory Lane for the second time in 2023. The NASCAR schedule moves on from Pocono and returns to America’s Premier Short Track at Richmond for the second time for the Cook Out 400. On the other end of Hamlin’s driving was Kyle Larson, who took home his first race win of 2023 at the Spring race in Richmond, entering as one of the betting favorites this weekend. Onlinebettingsports reviews the recent performances, stats, trends, and NASCAR Cup Series Odds in our Federated Auto Parts Cook Out 400.

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Overall Race Info & Outlook

Federated Auto Parts Cook Out 400

Location of the game: Richmond Raceway, Virginia

Date & Time: Sunday, July 30, 2023, 3:00 PM ET.

Where to Watch: USA Network, NASCAR Live

NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400 Betting Preview

Martin Truex Jr. – Joe Gibbs Racing

Every week, NASCAR Cup Series predictions across the internet list Martin Truex Jr. among the favorites to compete for a win and finish in the top ten. This favorite status is not without merit, as Truex Jr. has been outstanding in 2023, currently leading the Drivers Championship standings.


  • Truex Jr. has won two of the last four Summer races at Richmond (2019, 2021).
  • Truex Jr. has three race wins and eight top-five finishes this season, with eleven top-ten finishes.
  • Truex has six top-five finishes in his last eight races.
  • Truex Jr. finished 11th in NASCAR’s first trip to Richmond this season.

In his last six races at Richmond, Truex Jr. has one race win, four top-five, and five top-ten finishes, making him among our top-ten finisher NASCAR picks

Truex Jr. needs to stay out of the chaos and remain near the top of the timing chart to be in the hunt to win and capitalize on any late-race cautions to win the race. However, Truex Jr. is equally capable of controlling and winning a race from the front of the pack, which will be his optimal route to winning.

William Byron – Hendrick Motorsports

William Byron has bounced around the NASCAR Cup Series odds but has impressed regardless of the circuit configuration. However, while Byron last won at NASCAR’s second trip to Atlanta, Byron has finished outside the top ten in three of the last four races, sitting second in the Drivers Championship standings.


  • Byron has four race wins, eight top-five, and eleven top-ten finishes this season.
  • Byron has two top-ten finishes in the last five races. 
  • He has eight top-ten finishes in the last twelve races.
  • Byron won stage 1 and led the most laps but finished 24th at NASCAR’s spring stop at Richmond.

Byron has one top-five and two top-ten finishes in the last six races at Richmond, with an average finishing position of 14.2.

Avoiding chaos and falling down the order applies to all of our drivers. However, Byron has four pole positions this season, including last week at Pocono, and could do himself a favor by trying to win from pole position.

Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports

Kyle Larson was on the other side of Hamlin’s questionable driving for the race lead, returning the favor, but ultimately finished 20th in Pocono. Larson is a previous winner of the Summer NASCAR race at Richmond, winning in 2017. 


  • Larson has finished in the top five in three of the last five races.
  • He has nine top-five finishes this season.
  • Larson has two race wins and ten top-ten finishes this season. 
  • Larson has six top-ten finishes in the last ten races.

Since February 2020, Larson has one race win, two top-five, and three top-ten finishes at Richmond, with an average finishing position of 8.8. Larson knows how to win at Richmond and needs to repeat history at Strawberry Hill.

Kyle Busch – Richard Childress Racing

Kyle Busch is a favorite from the preseason to the end of the season in NASCAR Cup Series Odds because he’s usually among the contenders to win and often finishes in the top ten, doing it his entire career. However, Busch is coming off two consecutive sub-20th place finishes.


  • Busch finished second in the Spring Race at Richmond.
  • He has three race wins and seven top-five finishes this season. 
  • Busch has finished in the top five in four of the last seven races.
  • He has 12 top-ten finishes this season, including seven top-ten finishes in the last nine races. 

Kyle has six top-ten finishes and an average finishing position of 9.2 in his last six races in Richmond. Busch must stay out of trouble and capitalize on any caution restarts. Kyle has six career wins in Richmond, with his most recent win coming in 2018. Busch is a strong contender to win at Richmond and is among our picks to finish in the top five and top ten in the Cook Out 400.

Top Sportsbooks Odds

Betonline: Truex Jr. +420

Bovada: Truex Jr. +420

MyBookie: Truex Jr. +420

BetUS: Truex Jr. +425

BetNow: Truex Jr. +425

NASCAR Cup Series Federated Auto Parts Cook Out 400 Odds & Picks

Odds for the NASCAR Cook Out 400: 

Here are the NASCAR odds to win Richmond outright for a top-five and top-ten finish: 

DriverOdds to WinTop Five FinishTop Ten Finish
Martin Truex Jr.+425-145-400
Kyle Larson+550-115-275
Denny Hamlin+625-110-275
Christopher Bell+725+115-250
William Byron+850+130-200
Kyle Busch+1000+160-150

After reviewing the NASCAR Cup Series Odds and the contending drivers’ recent performances and history at Richmond, Onlinebettingsports is taking Kyle Busch to win as one of our NASCAR picks for this weekend in Richmond.

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