MLB

Odds, Picks and Predictions

The Washington Nationals (36-70) and Philadelphia Phillies (56-48) will face off in a Thursday night MLB matchup.

The Nationals enter this game fresh off of a loss against the Mets. As a whole, they dropped their game series with New York by a final tally of 2-1. Their recent trades of Juan Soto and Josh Bell certainly has declined their morale. 

But Washington will aim to upset the odds nonetheless.

Philadelphia has won four of their past five games. They went all in ahead of the trade deadline and made a number of acquisitions. This is a ball club that feels confident in their situation at the moment.

The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM EST on Thursday, August 4th, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA.

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Info

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Date: Thursday, August 4th, 2022

Time: 7:05 PM EST

TV: MASN, NSPA

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Betting Trends

  • The Washington Nationals are 544-62 against the run line so far this season. 
  • The Philadelphia Phillies are 54-50 against the run line so far this year.
  • The Nationals are 24-45 against the run line when playing on the road. 
  • The Phillies are 23-28 against the run line when playing at their home ballpark. 
  • Washington is 40-50 against the run line as an underdog this year. 
  • Philadelphia is 29-37 against the run line as a favorite this year.

Betting on Washington Nationals

Betting on the Nationals seems like a fool’s errand at the moment. They traded arguably the best player of a generation ahead of the trade deadline and have a decimated roster. Sure, they received some quality prospects in the deal. 

But they won’t make much of an impact until further down the road. 

However, are the Nationals worth taking a chance on?

Overall, this is a team ranked dead last in team ERA, 28th in WHIP, 30th in home runs allowed, and 29th in batting average against. Offensively, the Nationals are ranked 11th in batting average, 15th in OBP, 26th in slugging percentage, 25th in runs scored, and 27th in home runs. 

Washington’s offensive numbers will decline soon since Juan Soto and Josh Bell aren’t in the picture anymore. And the pitching stats are underwhelming, to say the least. 

Paolo Espino (0-3, 3.78) is the scheduled starter for the Nationals. He’s been decent in limited action this year. However, he will have his hands full attempting to shut down the Phillies’ potential lineup.

Betting on Philadelphia Phillies

For the Phillies, their acquisitions ahead of the trade deadline will serve them well moving forward. They upgraded in the bullpen and offensively to an extent. But they wanted one more starting pitcher to complement Zach Wheeler and Aaron Nola. 

So they acquired Noah Syndergaard from the Angels. Syndergaard (5-8, 3.83) is scheduled to make his Phillies debut on Thursday. The right-hander has performed fairly well this year and will aim to bring home a win on Thursday. 

As a team, Philadelphia ranks 10th in team ERA, eighth in WHIP, fifth in home runs allowed, and 10th in batting average against. Offensively, the Phillies are 11th in batting average, 19th in OBP, eighth in slugging, seventh in runs scored, and seventh in home runs. 

Philadelphia can’t afford to take the Nationals for granted. Yes, they realistically could cruise to a win in this contest. But Washington still has a chance of upsetting the odds.

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions

So who wins this game? Which team should you place your money on? 

The Phillies are the clear favorites, and there is not much debate about that. But are there any concerns for Philadelphia?

Noah Syndergaard is making his debut with a brand new team. Sure, he’s pitched in the NL East before. In fact, he spent six seasons as a member of the New York Mets

But this is still a new circumstance for the right-hander, and adjustments can be difficult. But in the end, Syndergaard is a solid pitcher more than capable of shutting down the Nationals. 

In terms of the overall total for the game, I would expect there to be quite a few runs scored. The Phillies should have no problem posting runs, and the Nationals should add a few of their own. 

So for betting on the over/under, go ahead and take the over. 

As for the winner of the game, I like Philadelphia. I can’t recommend taking the Nationals right now, given all of the holes and questions on their roster. 

And the Phillies are a genuinely good team. They faced their own share of questions earlier in the year. But their trade deadline moves helped strengthen their loose ends. 

Take the Phillies as both the moneyline and spread favorites on Thursday.

The Picks: 

  • Go ahead and take the Philadelphia Phillies on the moneyline. 
  • Take the over on the total.
  • Roll with the Phillies -1.5 to cover the run line.

Prop bets:

Noah Syndergaard’s over/under on total strikeouts varies based on different websites. But I believe he should be in store for a solid performance on the hill. With that being said, I’m not sure how deep is going to last in this game. 

So take the under on Syndergaard’s listed strikeout over/under. 

Alec Bohm has been swinging a hot bat as of late. He should have no problem getting a base hit or more on Thursday. Take the over on Bohm’s hit total in this one. 

And finally, look for Kyle Schwarber to do damage against the Nationals and blast one out of the park. Go ahead and take Schwarber to hit a home run in this Thursday affair. 

He is due for a big fly after going 0-3 in Wednesday’s game. Schwarber is someone who tends to bounce back with authority following a difficult game.

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