The San Diego Padres and New York Mets prepare to face off in a Sunday MLB playoff matchup.

The Best Bets for Sunday, October 9, 2022

The San Diego Padres and New York Mets will battle in a winner-takes-all Game NL Wild Card Series affair on Sunday.

This series was the only Wild Card series to reach Game 3. The Guardians, Mariners, and Phillies all clinched a spot in the division series on Saturday after sweeping each of their respective series.

San Diego took care of business in the game with a convincing 7-1 victory. However, the Mets roared back in Game 2 with a 7-3 win. Game 3 projects to be a more competitive game with each team’s season on the line.

Let’s take an in-depth look at this Game 3 contest so you can make the best bet possible!

The first pitch is scheduled for 7:07 PM EST on Sunday, October 9, at Citi Field in New York.

MLB – San Diego Padres at New York Mets MLB Betting Trends

San Diego Padres:

  • The San Diego Padres are 74-90 against the run line this season.
  • The Padres are 45-38 against the run line on the road.
  • They are 30-20 against the run line when playing as an underdog.
  • San Diego is 24-13 against the run line as a road underdog.

New York Mets:

  • The New York Mets are 88-76 against the run line this year.
  • The Mets are 42-41 against the run line when playing at home.
  • They are 67-60 against the run line when playing as a favorite.
  • New York is 38-37 against the run line as the home favorite.

Betting Odds

San Diego Padres:

The Padres‘ huge Game 1 performance loomed large on Saturday. Since they were up 1-0, there was not as much pressure on them in Game 2.

But momentum is back in the Mets’ favor heading into Game 3. San Diego’s chances of completing the upset will be difficult heading into Game 3 in New York.

Nevertheless, this is a Padres team capable of getting the job done. Their success will ultimately be determined by their offensive output. San Diego’s lineup has battled inconsistency throughout the 2022 campaign.

But the truth of the matter is that this is an offense that features the ability to go off in any given game. On the season, they are 15th in batting average, eighth in OBP, 22nd in slugging percentage, 13th in runs scored, and 21st in home runs.

A lineup that features stars like Juan Soto, Manny Machado, and Josh Bell is dangerous without question.

Pitching-wise, the Padres are 11th in ERA and ninth in WHIP. Their pitching has been more consistent than the offense, but it has seen some question marks as well.

The Padres will send Joe Musgrove (10-7, 2.93) to the mound on Sunday. Musgrove kicked off the season on a high note before evening out as the year rolled on. But it was still an overall impressive 2022 performance for the right-hander.

Musgrove allowed just one earned run over the course of his final four starts of the regular season. We will see if he can carry that momentum into this crucial Game 3 start.

New York Mets:

The Mets rebounded after Friday’s disappointing defeat with a huge win on Saturday. Jacob deGrom led the Mets to a win with six innings of the 2-run ball while striking out eight.

Brandon Nimmo paced the offense with three hits atop the lineup. Francisco Lindor added two hits, including a home run in the game.

One intriguing move made by Buck Showalter could have a major effect on Sunday’s outcome. Showalter decided to leave Edwin Diaz in for an extra inning after the Mets’ extended their lead.
Diaz originally entered the game in the seventh inning, and the Mets took control in the bottom half of the seventh. But the Mets ultimately left him in for the eighth inning.

If Diaz struggles on Sunday, plenty of people will point fingers at that decision.

This is a Mets team with the capability to pitch the lights out. They finished the year ranked seventh in ERA and sixth in WHIP.

New York will send Chris Bassitt (15-9, 3.24) to the mound for this game. Bassitt has flown under the radar in 2022 despite being a vital piece to the puzzle. But he can certainly make his presence known with a strong outing on Sunday against the Padres.

The Mets will look to cover the odds on Sunday in Game 3.

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How To Bet On: San Diego Padres at New York Mets MLB Betting lines
The Mets enter Game 3 as a popular betting favorite. They seemingly got their confidence back on Saturday and are in a good position to win.

But Joe Musgrove features no shortage of talent and may be able to contain the Mets’ lineup. But as aforementioned, it is difficult to predict how the Padres’ lineup will fare.

The Mets’ lineup is a more trustworthy unit which bodes well for their chances in Game 3.

In the end, I expect Sunday’s affair to be the most competitive game in the series. But I do like the Mets as the favorite.

OBS Betting Picks for San Diego Padres at New York Mets

Go ahead and roll with the New York Mets -1.5 in this contest.

Bonus! Other Games Worth Placing a Bet on

All odds are courtesy of Betonline.


  • Cincinnati Bengals +3
  • Baltimore Ravens -3

Pick: Cincinnati Bengals +3

The Bengals are a great underdog pick for Sunday Night Football. They have shown glimpses of figuring things out as of late, and the Ravens have dealt with inconsistency this season.

Take the Bengals in this game.

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