Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Analysis, Picks
The Philadelphia Phillies (20-24) and Atlanta Braves (21-23) will face off in the final game of a four-game series.
The Phillies will try to earn a series split after winning Game 1 but dropping Games 2 and 3. Philadelphia has been unable to contain Atlanta’s offense for the most part during the series.
Atlanta would benefit from a victory on Thursday for a number of reasons. Sure, a series win against a division rival is always important. But the Braves would also get closer to reaching .500 on the season.
The Braves have playoff aspirations, so getting back over the .500 mark could be the start of their resurgence in 2022.
The first pitch is scheduled for 7:20 P.M. EST on Thursday, May 26th, at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA.
Let’s take a look at which team you should place your money on in Game 4 of this series. We should be in for a close and exciting MLB match.
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Betting Analysis for Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Stats & Analysis
The Phillies started off the series well. They earned a solid win and seem as if they were on the precipice of a big performance despite playing on the road in Atlanta.
But they dropped a competitive 6-5 ball game on Tuesday before losing 8-4 on Wednesday.
Philadelphia mustered four runs in Wednesday’s defeat. However, they should have scored on a more consistent basis, as they had 11 hits in the game. Their inability to hit with runners in scoring position was their ultimate downfall.
Bryce Harper had four hits in the game but had no RBIs and just one run scored. The Phillies’ lone home run came off the bat of outfielder Odubel Herrera.
Their only other extra base hit was a double by Harper.
The Phillies will aim for more overall offensive productivity in Game 4 of the series.
However, their pitching has failed to hold up its end of the bargain over the past couple of games as well.
RHP Aaron Nola (1-4, 3.96) will try to contain Atlanta’s offense on Thursday. Nola hasn’t pitched all that bad despite his underwhelming win-loss record. But he also has not looked like the former Cy Young caliber ace he once was.
But Nola is someone who always has the potential to spin an absolute gem in any given performance.
Atlanta Braves Betting Stats & Analysis
The Braves have done a tremendous job of rebounding in the series following their Game 1 defeat. Atlanta fans hope that this can spark a winning streak for the team.
The Braves tallied eight runs on 13 hits in their Game 3 win on Wednesday. Dansby Swanson posted a four-hit game and had two RBIs and a homer.
Swanson has labored at the plate for most of the year, so this was an encouraging performance, to say the least.
Austin Riley and William Contreras also blasted home runs in the victory.
Charlie Morton wasn’t spectacular on the mound but avoided any major damage. The veteran surrendered four earned runs over 4.1 innings pitched while striking out four.
The Braves can clinch a series victory with a win on Thursday. Kyle Wright (4-2, 2.49) will look to shut down the Phillies. Wright has been excellent so far in 2022. He has undeniably been an unsung hero for Atlanta.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Trends
- Philadelphia is 22-21 against the run line this season.
- The Phillies are 12-7 against the run line on the road.
- They are 12-5 against the run line as an underdog.
- Philadelphia is 10-3 against the run line as an away underdog.
- Atlanta is 20-23 against the run line this year.
- The Braves are 7-16 against the run line at their home field.
- They are 9-18 against the run line as a favorite.
- Atlanta is 6-15 against the run line as a home favorite.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Odds
- BetUS: Atlanta -1.5
- MyBookie: Atlanta -1.5
- BetNow: Atlanta -1.5
- Bovada: Atlanta -1.5
- Betonline: Atlanta -1.5
The Braves are the home favorites in this ball game. But the truth is that whoever the team is would likely be the favorites between these two teams right now.
Neither side is playing much better than the other.
Nonetheless, Atlanta’s Wednesday victory will instill confidence heading into this matchup. But will it be enough for them to cover the spread once again? Or will the Phillies step up to the plate and take care of the Braves on the road?
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How to Bet On: Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves – Betting lines
Typically, the Phillies would have a major pitching advantage in this game. After all, Aaron Nola was once considered one of the best pitchers in MLB.
But Kyle Wright has been better so far in 2022. The young budding ace has helped Atlanta overcome their various struggles to open the season.
With that being said, Nola still has the potential to lead the Phillies to victory. There is potential for a pitcher’s duel on Thursday evening in Atlanta.
In the end, I like the Braves as the favorite. They seem to be on the verge of putting the pieces together and starting a hot streak.
OBS Betting Picks for Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Bet on the Atlanta Braves to cover the -1.5 betting spread in what projects to be an exciting game in Atlanta.
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