As the MLB schedule continues to unfold, we are set for a thrilling match between the Milwaukee Brewers and the New York Mets on June 26, 2023. The Brewers, poised on the verge of the NL Central lead, are locking horns with the Mets, who are currently on a rough patch in their MLB season. The odds are shifting, the stakes are high, and this MLB matchup is a potential goldmine for sports bettors. Let’s take a deep dive into the statistics, the odds, and the dynamics of this promising game.

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Brewers vs Mets: The Tale of the Tape

The Milwaukee Brewers are just half a game behind the NL Central lead. Despite a tough fight, they are plagued by MLB injuries to crucial players like Brandon Woodruff, Wade Miley, and Eric Lauer. Their current pitcher, Colin Rea, is a replacement-level pitcher who has already made 12 starts this season. He has a 4.88 ERA and 4.28 xERA, placing him in the lower half of the league in most categories. While their offense is struggling, ranking 28th in wRC+, they have been kept afloat by Christian Yelich, who is the only player with a wRC+ above 110.

On the other side of the diamond, we have the New York Mets. Despite a high payroll, they are 5-15 in their last 20 games, and are 15 games behind the first-place Atlanta Braves in the NL East. Justin Verlander, the 40-year-old pitcher, seems to be struggling in MLB stats with his form after a stellar Cy Young season. In his nine starts, he has only managed a 2-4 record with a 4.50 ERA. The Mets’ offense has been middling, ranking 12th in wRC+ and 17th in wOBA.

Analyzing the Brewers vs Mets Odds

When it comes to the Brewers vs Mets odds, the Moneyline stands at +154 for the Brewers and -184 for the Mets. The total run line is pegged at 8.5, with both teams having a run line of -105 / -115. In terms of the recent form of both teams and considering stats, the MLB odds seem to favor the Mets, despite their recent struggles.

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Betonline: New York Mets -169

Bovada: New York Mets -180

MyBookie: New York Mets -181

BetUS: New York Mets -170

BetNow: New York Mets -171

The Verdict: Making the MLB Picks

Given the current circumstances, there is an enticing opportunity to place a bet on the total runs. Both the Brewers and the Mets are struggling with their pitching. Rea has allowed at least three runs in eight of his 12 starts, while Verlander’s strikeout rate has dwindled to his rookie levels. This pitching predicament, coupled with struggling bullpens (Brewers rank 23rd and Mets 25th in reliever xFIP), indicates a high-scoring game.
So, the MLB pick here would be: Over 8.5.

  • Pick: Over 8.5.

Final Thoughts

When it comes to betting on MLB teams, it’s crucial to consider the dynamics of the game, the recent form, and the odds. The Brewers vs Mets game presents an exciting opportunity for bettors, given the struggles and strengths of both teams. As we proceed through the MLB schedule, remember to stay informed, analyze the odds, and make your picks wisely.

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