Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Analysis, Picks
The Milwaukee Brewers (30-18) travel to Chicago to take on the Cubs (19-27) in a division series. The Brewers and Cubs will face off in a four-game series, including a doubleheader on Monday.
This article will focus on Game 1 of the series but will also include a short preview of Game 2.
Milwaukee split a four-game set with the Cardinals on the road over the weekend. Chicago split a two-game series on the road in their weekend set.
The Brewers are the favorites, but the Cubs hold the home-field advantage. And Chicago has displayed an ability to upset the odds and win at home. But Milwaukee leads the NL Central and always makes for difficult competition.
Game 1 First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 P.M. EST on Monday, May 30th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL.
Let’s take a look at which team you should place your money on in Monday’s doubleheader. We should be in for an exciting two games!
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Betting Analysis for Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Stats & Analysis
Milwaukee is the clear favorite in this series. They are one of the best teams in MLB and are expected to be a World Series contender. Meanwhile, the Cubs are going through a rebuilding phase.
Nonetheless, playing Chicago at Wrigley Field is never an easy task. The Cubs feature a quality home environment which makes winning difficult for any opponent.
The element of the Brewers roster which sets them apart from other teams is their pitching depth. Yes, we know about the big names like Corbin Burnes and Brandon Woodruff. But Milwaukee keeps churching out impressive starting pitching in the depths of their farm system.
Aaron Ashby (0-3, 2.91) is one of those depth pitchers who has been important for the Brewers this season. He has pitched well, and despite not recording a win so far, there is no question that he has pitched well.
Milwaukee will aim to take Game 1 on the road in this divisional matchup.
Chicago Cubs Betting Stats & Analysis
The Cubs enter this series, having played a mediocre brand of basketball as of late. The team has lost three out of their past five contests. ]
Chicago’s main problem has been starting pitching. The Cubs are 24th in ERA and 21st in WHIP as a team. They don’t have many arms pitching all that well in the rotation, and the bullpen hasn’t fared much better.
However, they have hit the ball at a decent level. The Cubs are 17th in team batting average, 11th in OBP, 18th in slugging percentage, 12th in runs scored, and 16th in home runs.
Wade Miley was scheduled to start for the Cubs in this game, but he was transferred to the IL on Sunday. Miley had posted a 1-0 record with a solid 3.38 ERA before getting injured. Rookie Matt Swarmer is slated to make his MLB debut on Monday.
Swarmer displayed glimpses of potential in the minor leagues and could turn in a good effort for Chicago in this ball game.
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Trends
Milwaukee Brewers:
- Milwaukee is 23-25 ATS this season.
- The Brewers are 12-16 ATS on the road.
- They are 17-23 ATS as a favorite.
- Milwaukee is 6-14 ATS as an away favorite.
Chicago Cubs:
- Chicago is 25-21 ATS this year.
- The Cubs are 9-13 ATS at their home arena.
- They are 21-10 ATS as an underdog.
- Chicago is 6-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Odds
- BetUS: Milwaukee -1.5
- MyBookie: Milwaukee -1.5
- BetNow: Milwaukee -1.5
- Bovada: Milwaukee -1.5
- Betonline: Milwaukee -1.5
Milwaukee is the unquestioned road favorite. Milwaukee leads the NL Central and split a four-game series with the only other competitive team in the division on the road over the weekend.
But Chicago is liable to upset the odds. They have played well ATS this year and are no stranger to upsetting bets. With that being said, betting on the Cubs is a rather risky proposition against a talented team like Milwaukee.
So should bettors roll the dice and take a chance on the Cubs at Wrigley Field for Game 1? Or is taking the favored Brewers the better move?
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How to Bet On: Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs MLB – Betting lines
The Cubs’ pitching concerns me. Matt Swarmer is young and unproven, which could be an issue against Milwaukee’s capable batting lineup. Additionally, their offense might end up laboring against Milwaukee’s incredibly strong pitching rotation.
Go ahead and take the Brewers in Game 1on Monday.
Drew Smyly (2-5, 4.08) gets the start in Game 2 for Chicago. The left-hander hasn’t been great so far, but he possesses the talent to turn in a good start. Ethan Small will make his debut for Milwaukee in Game 2.
The Cubs have a better chance of upsetting the odds in the second game on Monday. But I would still take the Brewers with my betting selection.
Chicago’s bullpen will likely be overworked in Game 1, which could lead to an offensive outburst for Milwaukee towards the end of Game 2.
However, I expect Game 2 to be more exciting and competitive than Game 1.
OBS Betting Picks for Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
While we expect close and exciting games on Monday, it is hard to look past the Brewers! Take the Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 in both Games 1 and 2 in this doubleheader.
Now that you have all the information you need to place an informed bet, it is time to start increasing your income.
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