The Cleveland Guardians are charging into San Diego, bringing a wave of momentum with them. With one of their finest starters ready to take the stage against the Padres’ average offense, this MLB matchup promises a thrilling spectacle. Read through to discover our Guardians vs Padres Prediction, MLB Odds, and stats.
Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres Information
Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres
Location of the game: Petco Park, San Diego, CA.
Date & Time: Tuesday, June 13. 9:40 PM EST.
How to watch: MLB Network
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The Pitchers in Focus
On the Guardians’ side, Tanner Bibee has been a shining star on MLB stats, boasting a 3.04 ERA after settling in from his first two starts’ hype. His above-average strikeout and walk numbers, coupled with a respectable 3.41 xERA, mark him as a pitcher to reckon with. The Padres will have to face one of the good pitchers they have seen in recent times, which could potentially slow their offensive momentum. Bibee’s ability to limit walks and barrels may turn out to be the Padres’ kryptonite, given their reliance on free passes and homers in recent weeks.
On the opposite side, the Padres’ Joe Musgrove has been struggling with a 4.36 ERA. The increase in his fly ball rate and his reduced ability to induce ground balls could potentially make him vulnerable to the Cleveland offense, which has ranked second in wRC+ over the last fortnight.
Key Matchup Insights
Digging into the MLB stats, Bibee has proven his worth by striking out five or more batters in five of his seven starts this season. Given the Padres’ track record of striking out in 22.3% of plate appearances, the chances of them falling prey to Bibee’s talent are high.
Further, Amed Rosario, who has a solid .300 average against the cutter this year, is likely to be a strong asset for the Guardians, considering his current six-game hitting streak and a couple of hits off of Musgrove in seven at-bats.
Guardians vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Betting Analysis
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When considering the MLB odds and the Guardians vs Padres Prediction around this game, the Guardians have seen some interest as they opened up as +145 underdogs. With the number now going down to +140 or lower. 34% of the bets have come in on Cleveland, commanding 50% of the moneyline handle. In terms of the total, 59% of bets on MLB at BetUS have been on the Over, but the number has dropped from 8 to 7.5 runs as 81% of the handle is on the Under. This trend could be attributed to bettors considering Musgrove’s expected stats and expecting a positive regression.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
BetOnline: San Diego Padres -149
Bovada: San Diego Padres -150
MyBookie: San Diego Padres -161
BetUS: San Diego Padres -152
BetNow: San Diego Padres -151
Previous Matchup Trends
Diving into MLB matchup history, it’s worth noting that the Under has ruled in the last five meetings between the Guardians and the Padres in San Diego. This factor might be a valuable piece of information for bettors while making their decisions.
The MLB Schedule and Teams’ Form
The MLB schedule has been rigorous and exciting, with teams showcasing their prowess on the field. The Guardians, with their excellent form and rising stars, have been a team to watch. As for the Padres, despite a few good games in Colorado and against the Cubs and Marlins, there is a need for improvement, especially when it comes to their discipline at the dish.
Making the Pick
Considering the above analysis, the pick for this matchup leans towards the Guardians. They have been hitting the ball exceptionally well lately, with players like Amed Rosario and Andres Gimenez finding their rhythm. On the other hand, the Padres have been underperforming, especially at home, which could make for a low-scoring game.
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