In the last quarter of 2023, the boxing schedule is packed with interesting fights every weekend. This Saturday, the biggest fight on the docket is this IBF super featherweight championship bout between Joe Cordina and Edward Vasquez.
Cordina looks to make his first title defense against a scrapped former featherweight moving up in weight to challenge the bigger man. Will Cordina be able to show up for a fight against a lesser opponent? Can Vasquez take advantage of the lack of excitement surrounding this title defense?
Continue reading for the official Cordina vs. Vasquez prediction before your bet on boxing this weekend.
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Cordina vs. Vasquez Betting Trends
- Joe Cordina is an undefeated boxer at the professional level.
- Edward Vasquez is a 15-1 professional boxer.
- Cordina has been the betting favorite in every single bout of his professional boxing career thus far.
- Vasquez is an underdog for the first time since his bout against Raymond Ford in 2022, where he lost via split decision.
- Cordina has 9 KOs out of his 16 professional boxing victories.
- Vasquez has 3 KOs out of his 15 professional boxing victories.
How to Bet on Cordina vs. Vasquez
When you are looking to bet on a big fight like this, it’s important to take the time to break down all of the important aspects of the matchup. Let’s look at the betting lines, what’s been going on in the boxing news this fight week, and how this clash between these two might play out.
First, the boxing odds have Cordina as a massive -1200 betting favorite over the +700 Vasquez. The money line is pretty much impossible to make a play on because of the value of a smart pick, so the prop bets will need to come up big this weekend.
The over/under is set at 10.5 rounds at pretty even boxing odds. For Vasquez to really shock the boxing community and win by KO, the odds are at +1280 while Cordina is only +106 to do the same. The most intriguing line of this bout is Cordina winning a decision at +120–which is the early favorite pick to make and you will find out why in a second.
Fans Hope Cordina Stays Focused Amidst Luxuries
Outside of the betting lines, the headlines and social media content from this event have been interesting. If you follow Cordina and his career, you’d know that he is really chasing that lavish lifestyle and it’s one of the reasons he wanted to travel to Monaco for this first title defense–he loves all the wealth surrounding him.
Cordina has also made headlines by using the word “comfortable” while describing this fight and his opponent. This is worrisome for any fan and they are hoping he is focused enough to get the job done.
Now in terms of style, this is an interesting matchup between two different fighters. Vasquez is a tough guy who will always be coming forward and trying to overwhelm his opponents with pressure and activity in the ring.
Cordina is light on his feet–comfortable with moving backward in the ring and countering with heavy shots. The big advantage for the champion will be his physical size. He moved down to super featherweight from lightweight because of that size advantage, and now this weekend he’s facing a natural featherweight.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
BetOnline: Cordina -1250
Bovada: Cordina -1200
MyBookie: Cordina -1500
BetUS: Cordina -1250
BetNow: N/A
Cordina vs. Vasquez Betting Picks
Boxing predictions are one thing to make correctly, but if you want to win money sports betting on boxing bouts like this one, you need to be a little more creative. The easy Cordina vs. Vasquez prediction would be picking Cordina to get his money line hit.
The official best bet to make is taking Cordina to win on points. This is a line you can get in plus-money and there’s a lot of signs pointing to this outcome.
First, the venue in Monaco is known to be a pretty boring fight experience. With little to no emotion from the crowd pushing him for a great performance, it’s tough to imagine that Cordina will step into the ring and steamroll past someone like Vasquez.
The “comfort” surrounding Cordina makes it easy to justify a pick of him coasting to the distance and beating Vasquez handedly by moving around the ring and counterpunching. It won’t be out of the question to expect some success early on by Vasquez as well.
With pressure and some barrages of punches thrown by Vasquez on the slow-starting Cordina might happen, but the champ will kick it into at least second gear and be able to control this fight and take it wherever he wants it to go.
Cordina’s Dominance: Why Vasquez Faces an Uphill Battle
The physicality and boxing ability of Cordina are levels beyond what Vasquez possesses and you just can’t justify a pick for Vasquez getting his hand raised. What does he have that no one else had so far in Cordina’s career?
On the technical side of Cordina vs. Vasquez prediction, the stance and style of Vasquez is going to leave him in trouble in a few ways against the power-punching Cordina. Cordina is going to be able to use feints and really screw with Vasquez with his eyes.
Vasquez likes to be very active with his guard and that will be able to be timed by an elite boxer like Cordina to land potentially devastating right hands. Vasquez is also prone to get hurt to the body, which will probably be one of the main priorities in the game plan of Cordina–be bigger and stronger and hurt Vasquez to the body.
With all this being said, the prop bet for Cordina to win by decision is too good to pass up at +106 odds. Even though he should be able to finish this fight inside the distance, the outside factors in this point of his career lead to expecting a lackluster all-around performance from the champion.
- Pick: Cordina to win by decision (+106)
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