Spain did not win their group, but after the elimination of the USA and Germany, they have the second-best odds on FIFA World Cup betting sites to claim the big prize. They must get past the 2019 runners-up Netherlands in the quarterfinals to earn a possible rematch with group winner Japan. The top quadrant of the knockout round has four teams left; three are from Europe, with Sweden joining Spain and the Netherlands.
Spain vs Netherlands picks are intriguing as neither team is expected to be in this exact position of the knockout round. Spain was the group favorite in soccer picks before losing to Japan, and the Netherlands took advantage of the USA’s shocking draw to Portugal to win the group.
Now the soccer schedule has Spain and the Netherlands facing off for the fourth time since 2018.
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Overall Game Info & Outlook
Spain vs Netherlands
Location: Wellington Regional Stadium, Well., NZ
Date & Time: August 10 | 9:00 p.m. ET
Where to watch: FOX
Spain vs. Netherlands Betting Preview
Spain Preview
For Spain, this is already their best World Cup ever. They qualified for the first time in 2015 and didn’t make it out of the group stage, and they lost in the round of 16 in 2019. They reached three straight quarterfinals in European Championships and reached the semifinals in 1997.
Spain came into the World Cup with six straight wins, five via shutout. They opened group play with a 3-0 win over Costa Rica and a 5-0 demolition of Zambia. They lost to Japan in the final group game 4-0, finishing runner-up as a result, but bounced back to beat Switzerland 5-1 in the round of 16.
- Spain has not allowed a goal scored by the other team in six of their last seven games.
- Spain has scored at least two goals in 11 of their last 12 games. Japan is the only team to hold them under two goals since October.
- Spain is 5-2-3 against Netherlands in their history, 3-0-0 since 2009.
- Spain is 6-0-1 against European teams since losing to England in extra time in the Euro 2022 quarterfinals last July.
The goalscoring has been balanced in the WWC for Spain, despite their injuries up top. Jennifer Hermoso, Aitana Bonmati, and Alba Redondo all have three goals in four games. Bonmati and Eva Navarro lead the team with two assists each.
Spain’s offense needs to be able to finish in front of goal for them to beat the Netherlands and keep their Women’s World Cup odds alive. In the loss to Japan, they had 77% of the possession and took ten shots but finished with just one goal. They likely grabbed confidence with 26 shots against the Swiss, ten on goal, with 70% of the ball, and they will need to play in that fashion to win on Thursday.
Netherlands Preview
The Netherlands are 6-2 in 2023, with both losses coming in friendly games. In the last five games, they have allowed just one goal while scoring 16 times. The Dutch have more experience in this event than Spain, as they were runners-up to the US in 2019.
The Netherlands, like Spain, lost in added time in the European Championships last summer. They also lost in the quarters of the Tokyo Olympics, and they have a major title under their belts, winning the 2017 Euros. The Netherlands started the World Cup with a 1-0 win over Portugal, a 1-1 draw against the US, and a 7-0 win over Vietnam before the 2-0 round of 16 win against South Africa.
- The Netherlands have scored in five straight games and have only been shut out twice in their last 13 contests.
- The Netherlands have not allowed a goal in eight of their last nine games, with only the USA scoring in that span.
- The Dutch are 1-2 in their last major quarterfinals, with a win at the 2019 World Cup and losses in the 2020 Olympics and 2022 Euros.
- The Netherlands is 7-3 in their last ten games against European competition.
Jill Roord leads the team with four goals in the WWC, a surprise to those who bet on soccer. Esmee Brugts has two goals, while Lieke Martens has one goal to go with a team-leading two assists.
Bettors who support the Dutch side on Spain vs. Netherlands picks are hoping for a low-scoring game. The Netherlands have a top-notch defense and have only allowed more than one goal in one of their last 11 games. Daphne van Domselaar has made 13 saves in the World Cup, including seven in the round of 16 win over South Africa.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
BetOnline: Spain -112. Netherlands +320. Draw +252
Bovada: Spain -110. Netherlands +300. Draw +230
MyBookie: Spain -103. Netherlands +300. Draw +248
BetUS: Spain -115. Netherlands +370. Draw +260
BetNow: Spain -115. Netherlands +350. Draw +255
Spain vs. Netherlands Odds & Picks
- Moneyline: On the Spain vs. Netherlands picks, Spain is a big favorite at -112 on the moneyline. The Dutch are +320 to reach a second straight World Cup semifinal. A draw after 90 minutes is +252
- Total: The over 2.5 goals is-116 and under 2.5 goals is -104.
Odds for this Matchup:
Spain | Draw | Netherlands |
-112 | +252 | +320 |
Recommended Pick: Draw +252
This game has added time written all over it with a 0-0 or 1-1 draw after 90 minutes leaving this game to be decided in extra time.
Spain will push for more goals, but the Netherlands has a strong defense and more experience. As they showed during the US draw, they can withstand a barrage of shots and possession and will look to do it again.
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