Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs – NHL Betting Analysis, Odds & Picks

The Tampa Bay Lightning will head back to Toronto to take on the Maple Leafs for Game 5 of the first round in the 2022 NHL Playoffs. The puck drop for this game is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. eastern from the Scotiabank Arena.

Tampa Bay was able to pull out a big win in Game 4, evening the series at 2-2. While the Maple Leafs did not win Game 4, they were winners in Game 3, and they were able to split the two games played in Tampa Bay.

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Betting Analysis For Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Stats & Analysis

The Tampa Bay Lightning get a big win when they need to. Going down 1-2 while playing at the home arena could have made it a real struggle if they would have lost Game 4 and went down 1-3 heading back to Toronto.

The Lightning jumped out quick on the Maple Leafs and were offensive-minded from the get-go. Tampa Bay scored five goals before the Maple Leafs were able to get their first goal and would go on to win the game by a score of 7-3.

The seven runs were quite the turnaround from the shutout that they put up in the first game of this series. If the offense can keep trending in this direction, this series will come down to the wire.

Another big factor for the Lightning is they have not had to lose anyone to injuries. At the time of writing this, the Lightning do not have anyone on their injury report.

Victor Hedman is leading the team with six total points so far in this series. He has scored a single goal and assisted on five others. 

Nikita Kucherov is right behind him with five total points. He has also only scored once but has assisted on four goals. 

Andrei Vasilevskiy has been the goaltender for the Lightning this series. He is giving up 3.54 goals per game in this series. If the Lightning are going to find a way to win this series, they are going to need Vasilevskiy to get back to his regular-season numbers, allowing just 2.54 goals per game.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Stats & Analysis

The Maple Leafs are going back to Toronto with the series tied at 2-2. Although Toronto lost their last game, they were able to take one while they were in Tampa Bay.

Winning a game on the road gives the Maple Leafs a chance to win their series in front of their home crowd. If they can win their last two home games, they will win the game. 

In their last game, it looked like it just took the offense too long to get going. Whether it was the Lightning making a change to counter the Maple Leafs or Toronto just taking a game off, either way, the Maple Leafs did not look great in Game 3. 

Mitchell Marner is proving to a lot of people just how good he is during this series. He is leading the team with six total points, scoring two goals, and assisting on four others.

Marner’s counterpart, Auston Matthews, is also having a big series. He is tied with Marner with six points, scoring two goals, and has assisted on four goals as well.

This duo has the potential to be one of the best in hockey for the foreseeable future. They have an opportunity to cement themselves with a big postseason.

Jack Campbell has started all four games for the Maple Leafs at goaltender. He is giving up 3.53 goals per game this series. 

Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Betting Trends

If a bettor had bet on the Lightning for every game in this series, the bettor would have won their bet two times. If the bettor would have taken the over, the bettor would have won their bet three times. 

If a bettor would have bet on the Maple Leafs for every game in this series, the bettor would have won their bet two times. If the bettor would have taken the over, the bettor would have won their bet three times.

Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Betting Odds

BetUS has the Maple Leafs as the moneyline favorite at -125 odds. They have the Lightning at +105.

Bovada also has the Maple Leafs as the favorite, with their odds at -130. They have the Lightning at +110.

BetOnline has the odds a little different but the same favorites. They have the Maple Leafs at -123 and the Lightning at +111.

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How To Bet On: Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs – Betting Lines (Spread, totals, moneyline) Betting Example

If a bettor were to place a $100 bet on the Maple Leafs moneyline, they would have odds between -123 and -130. If the bettor were to place their bet at -123 and the Maple Leafs were to win, the bettor would receive a payout of $181.30. If the bettor were to place their bet at -130 and the Maple Leafs were to win, the bettor would receive a payout of $176.92.

If a bettor were to place a $100 bet on the Lightning moneyline, they would have odds between +111 and +105. If the bettor were to place their bet at +105 and the Lightning were to win, the bettor would receive a payout of $205. If the bettor were to place their bet at +111 and the Lightning were to win, the bettor would receive a payout of $211.

OBS Betting Picks for Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL

These two teams have battled all season long, and it is going to finish that way as well. Playing at home is going to be a big factor as the two teams will go back and forth for the last three games of the series.

The Maple Leafs are great at home, and that will continue with a Game 5 win. When making your NHL picks, take the Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline.

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