New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Analysis, Odds & Picks

The New England Patriots (9-4) will travel to Indianapolis for a rare Saturday matchup against the Colts (7-6) at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 P.M. EST. 

The Patriots enter this game in the midst of a seven-game winning streak. They most recently defeated the Buffalo Bills back on December 6th. New England currently holds a comfortable lead in the AFC East. 

The Colts are coming off of a 31-0 shutout victory over the Houston Texans. They are still in the Wild Card hunt but trail the Titans in the AFC South. Indianapolis needs a win to strengthen their playoff chances.

Betting Analysis for New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts NFL 

New England Patriots Betting Stats & Analysis

The Patriots have looked like the best team in football over the past couple of months. They are finding ways to win regardless of the circumstances. 

Quarterback Mac Jones threw the ball just three total times in their recent win against Buffalo. However, Damien Harris rushed for 111 yards and a touchdown, while Rhamondre Stevenson ran for 78 yards. It was a tremendous rushing effort on a cold and windy night in Buffalo. 

The Patriots’ defense was rock solid as well. They limited the Bills to under 100 combined rushing yards and caused John Allen to miss on 50 percent of his passes while containing him to just 145 yards through the air. 

This defensive unit for New England has been tremendous all season long.

They rank first in the NFL with just 15.4 points allowed per game. The Patriots also surrendered only 310 passing yards per contest, which ranks third in the league. Additionally, they rank second in overall interceptions and 10th in sacks. 

Mac Jones has been solid this season despite the lack of volume last game. The young QB has thrown for 2,869 yards to go along with 16 touchdowns. He has shown improvement as the season has progressed, and many believe he is capable of leading the Patriots to the Super Bowl. 

But for now, Jones and New England will look to wrap up the division on Saturday. 

Indianapolis Colts Betting Stats & Analysis

The Colts are tied with four different teams heading into Saturday. While this does not technically represent a must-win game, Indianapolis would be doing a lot of scoreboard watching on Sunday if they end up losing. They can control their destiny if they win out to end the season.

They will likely lean on Jonathan Taylor on Saturday. Taylor has been one of the best running backs in football and is coming off of a two-touchdown, 143-yard rushing performance in the win against Houston. For the season, Taylor has rushed for 1,348 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns.

Quarterback Carson Wentz has quietly produced a quality season in Indianapolis. The veteran QB has thrown for 2,948 yards and 22 touchdowns with only five interceptions. 

This entire offense truly has been underrated all year long. Despite not garnering much national attention. The Colts rank third in the NFL with 28.5 points per game. Taylor has led a rushing attack that ranks second in rushing yards per contest with a mark of 51.7. 

The Colts defense has limited opponents to just 21.8 points per game which is good for the ninth place in the league. They also rank fourth overall in interceptions.

Indianapolis could easily be better than their 7-6 record indicates. Nonetheless, this is an undervalued talented team that might cause New England problems on Saturday.

New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Trends

The Patriots are 9-4 ATS this season. New England is 7-0 ATS during their current seven-game winning streak. They have an over/under record of 6-7. 

The Colts are 8-5 ATS this season. Indianapolis is 7-3 ATS in their last ten games. Indianapolis has compiled an over/under record of 8-5. 

New England has won the last eight matchups between the Patriots and Colts. 

New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Odds

Betonline has the Colts listed as 2.5-point favorites entering Saturday. BetUS also has Indianapolis as 2.5-point favorites at home against New England.

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How To Bet On: New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts NFL – Betting lines

The Colts are favored to win by the majority of top sportsbooks despite the extremely impressive play of New England in recent weeks. While this likely surprises most of you, it is difficult to overlook the solid year that Indianapolis has had. 

At home, the Colts are going to attack early. The eye-catching statistic is that the Patriots have actually been worse than league average against the run. The team allows 114.46 rushing yards per game which ranks 19th overall. 

Jonathan Taylor is likely aware of that stat and is chomping at the bit to take on this New England defense. 

Bill Belichick is the key to the Patriots upsetting the odds. He is one of the few coaches where you can truly see his impact on the game. 

This was no more clear than the game against the Bills when Belichick limited Mac Jones to just three passes. A coach doing that is almost unheard of in today’s day and age, yet the decision led the Patriots to the win. 

Expect him to formulate a game plan which will upset the Colts. 

I like New England in this game. This defense is strong enough to limit Indianapolis even with Jonathan Taylor in the backfield, and the offense should score enough to give the Patriots a chance to win.

OBS Betting Picks for New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts NFL

Take the New England Patriots -1.5.

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